Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Liga Portugal Predictions
It has been back to dropping points for Estoril and Casa Pia after their matchday five wins in the Primeira Liga. The two sides are set to face off, looking to rise from the dangerously low reaches of the league. We have a prediction for the match below.
Having garnered seven points, hosts Casa Pia are two better than Estoril. They are coming off a 2-1 loss to Moreirense, a game in which they came from a winning position to lose. Casa Pia scored first, after just seven minutes.
However, Moreirense responded with a quick equalizer before winning it all in the 70th minute.
Estoril are coming from back-to-back defeats but will be confident heading to Rio Maior. They lost 1-0 to Sporting Lisbon in their last game, having earlier fallen 2-0 to Gil Vicente.
But why would Los Canarinhos be confident going into this away match? Well, they have never lost a Primeira Liga match away to Casa Pia! They’ve actually avoided defeat to this opponent in the last five matches, either in the topflight or second tier. As they come into this game winless in the last four matches, Estoril will be looking to end the poor run here.
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The Best Betting Odds for Casa Pia Lisbon v Estoril Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.75 | 3.2 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.1 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.62 | 3.1 | 2.62 |
|
|
2.75 | 3 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.3 | 2.7 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Casa Pia Lisbon and Estoril?
Our prediction for the Casa Pia Lisbon vs Estoril match is: Estoril will win or draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/10/2025 between Casa Pia Lisbon and Estoril in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.79% for a win of Casa Pia Lisbon against Estoril with odds of 2.75 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Casa Pia Lisbon vs Estoril is 29.83% with odds of 3.3 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.38% chance ⭐ for a win of Estoril vs Casa Pia Lisbon with odds of 2.8 at Bwin.
Casa Pia Lisbon - Estoril Prediction and Best Odds:
| Casa Pia Lisbon Estoril Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Estoril wins | 35.38% | 2.8 at Bwin |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.55% | 2.1 at William Hill |
| Both Team To Score | 46.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Estoril | 15.95% | 6.1 at Unibet |
Casa Pia Lisbon vs Estoril Form
Casa Pia Lisbon and Estoril's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
13 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
|
15
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -11 |
Casa Pia Lisbon and Estoril Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
21 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
14 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
30 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
24 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
15 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
30 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
8 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
10 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
12 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
14 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
24 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
15 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
4 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
21 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
13 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
6 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
31 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
13 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
6 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
11 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
31 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
Casa Pia Lisbon vs Estoril Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
15 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
8 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal
10 Nov 2023 - Liga Portugal
21 May 2023 - Liga Portugal
16 Jan 2023 - Liga Portugal
Casa Pia Lisbon against Estoril Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Missing players
R. Batista
DefenderD. Tchamba
ForwardC. Mendes
K. Nsona
K. Silva
G. Costa
MidfielderXeka
J. Orellana
Most goals and assists
Casa Pia Lisbon
Estoril
J. Livolant
(3 Goals)
Y. Begraoui
(5 Goals)
J. Livolant
(3 Assists)
J. Holsgrove
(3 Assists)
, 
J. Carvalho
(3 Assists)
Casa Pia Lisbon - Estoril Key Points
- Estoril are unbeaten in five away matches against Casa Pia.
- Casa Pia have suffered three defeats in their last five matches.
- Casa Pia are winless at home in three matches, drawing the latest.
- In these teams’ last four meetings, Estoril avoided defeat in three.
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Our Casa Pia Lisbon vs Estoril Prediction
Both Estoril and Casa Pia are coming into this game off the back of poor performances. The two won on matchday five, but in the two rounds since, they haven't managed a win, only picking up a point across the four matches. We don’t expect much to change in that regard here.
Casa Pia have grown weak, but against a fellow struggler, they should come good, or at least avoid defeat. Our prediction for Casa Pia v Estoril is that Estoril will win or draw.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Casa Pia Lisbon Estoril
| Casa Pia Lisbon vs Estoril | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia Lisbon wins | 2.55 | 2.75 | +7.8% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.2 | -1.5% |
| Estoril wins | 2.65 | 2.5 | -5.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Estoril is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 5.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 37.7% and is now 40.0% (2.3%)
bet365 - Bet Boost
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
