Canada vs USA Prediction & Betting Tips - IIHF World Championship
International - IIHF World Championship
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by Devesh Jaganath | in IIHF World Championship Predictions
The 2026 IIHF World Championship quarter-final kicks off with a rematch of the Olympic final, as Canada prepare to face the USA on Thursday. Each of the last three matches between Team Canada and Team USA has delivered fewer than six goals, and we are leaning toward another low-scoring encounter here as our match prediction.
Canada got through Group B with little trouble, winning all seven of their games, with the only minor blemish coming against Norway, where they needed overtime to secure the victory.
Team Canada’s attack has been led by their captain, Macklin Celebrini, who has five goals and six assists, while Sidney Crosby has also been a standout performer, now on nine assists.
Canada are now on a nine-match win streak across all competitions. Their last defeat was against this very opponent in the Olympic Games championship game in February.
Meanwhile, the USA endured a much tougher group stage and only managed to clinch the fourth and final qualification spot on the last day with a 4-1 victory over Austria.
Team USA’s record in the group stage was W3 OTW1 L3. Thomas Novak has been their most productive player with one goal and seven assists, followed by Matthew Tkachuk (G4 A3).
The USA have won seven of their last 10 matches in all competitions. Notably, the last two games between these sides needed overtime to decide.
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Canada v USA Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.35 | 6.75 |
|
|
1.38 | 6.4 |
|
|
1.37 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.31 | 6.6 |
|
|
1.32 | 6.6 |
|
Canada vs USA Form
Canada and USA Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
26 May 2026 - IIHF World Championship
24 May 2026 - IIHF World Championship
22 May 2026 - IIHF World Championship
21 May 2026 - IIHF World Championship
18 May 2026 - IIHF World Championship
16 May 2026 - IIHF World Championship
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
22 May 2026 - IIHF World Championship
21 May 2026 - IIHF World Championship
18 May 2026 - IIHF World Championship
15 May 2026 - IIHF World Championship
22 Feb 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament
20 Feb 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
26 May 2026 - IIHF World Championship
24 May 2026 - IIHF World Championship
16 May 2026 - IIHF World Championship
13 May 2026 - International Friendly Games
10 May 2026 - International Friendly Games
12 Feb 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
26 May 2026 - IIHF World Championship
25 May 2026 - IIHF World Championship
23 May 2026 - IIHF World Championship
20 May 2026 - IIHF World Championship
18 May 2026 - IIHF World Championship
17 May 2026 - IIHF World Championship
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
26 May 2026 - IIHF World Championship
25 May 2026 - IIHF World Championship
20 May 2026 - IIHF World Championship
15 May 2026 - IIHF World Championship
20 Feb 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament
18 Feb 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
23 May 2026 - IIHF World Championship
18 May 2026 - IIHF World Championship
17 May 2026 - IIHF World Championship
10 May 2026 - International Friendly Games
22 Feb 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament
12 Feb 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament
Canada vs USA Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
22 Feb 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament
Players list
J. Greaves
C. Talbot
D. Mateychuk
E. Bouchard
D. DeMelo
M. Rielly
D. Nurse
P. Wotherspoon
Z. Whitecloud
P. Martone
F. Minten
D. Holloway
D. Cozens
R. O'Reilly
M. Celebrini
E. Finnie
C. Brown
M. Scheifele
J. Tavares
R. Thomas
G. Vilardi
S. Crosby
D. Cooley
J. Woll
R. Ufko
M. Lohrei
D. Carlile
J. Faulk
C. Clifton
W. Borgen
R. Lindgren
M. Coronato
P. Cotter
J. Hagens
M. Sasson
O. Moore
R. Leonard
D. Nelson
I. Howard
A. Steeves
T. Novak
M. Tkachuk
S. Lafferty
M. Olivier
Most goals and assists
Canada
USA
M. Celebrini
(6 Goals)
R. Leonard
(4 Goals)
,
M. Tkachuk
(4 Goals)
S. Crosby
(9 Assists)
T. Novak
(7 Assists)
Canada - USA Key Points
- Five of Canada’s seven games in this competition ended with under 6.5 goals.
- Canada are averaging just 1.8 goals conceded per game in this competition.
- Five of Canada’s seven games in this competition ended with under 6.5 goals in normal time.
- Fewer than seven goals were scored in eight of the last nine matches between these teams.
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Our Canada vs USA Prediction
Canada were the best team in Group B of this competition, and with momentum behind them, they will see this as the perfect opportunity to exact their revenge for their loss to this opponent at the Olympics.
The USA have not been at their very best in this competition, but they did notch up two impressive wins at the end of the group stage, which would have given them a massive morale boost. Matches between these two are generally closely contested, and we’re expecting that to be the case here. Our Canada vs USA prediction is less than 6.5 goals.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
