Canada vs USA Prediction & Betting Tips - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

International - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

Canada
22/02/2026 08:10
USA

Prediction :

 

Over 4.5 goals

 
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 by Matthew Newman | in Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament Predictions

Canada meet the USA in the Gold Medal Game in the Men’s Ice Hockey at the Winter Olympics on Sunday. The battle of North America is always a great watch, so let’s make a prediction on the match.

Canada were the pre tournament favourites and that should be no surprise as the nation who have dominated hockey through so much of its history. They were unbeaten in their group but had to really battle to overcome Finland in the semis.

It has been a cruise for the most part for the USA as well, comfortable winners of their group games but they have been a little looser on the blue line than they would have liked at times.

These teams have almost taken it in turns when it has come to winning against one another, 5-5 in their last 10 with four of those going under the usual 5.5 spread and six over. Eight were over 4.5, however.

This has a tight matchup written all over it, with these players knowing one another like the back of their hands. Goals could be at a premium even with the quality of players out on the ice.

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Canada v USA Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Melbet
2.33 2.7
Betwinner
2.32 2.7
Bet365
2.2 2.7
Roobet
2.34 2.6
BC Game
2.36 2.62

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Canada vs USA Form

Canada and USA Last Matches

Canada
Canada Last matches
L W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

20 Feb 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

Canada
3 :  2
Finland

18 Feb 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

Canada
4 :  3
Czechia

15 Feb 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

Canada
10 :  2
France

13 Feb 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

Canada
5 :  1
Switzerland

12 Feb 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

Czechia
0 :  5
Canada

22 May 2025 - IIHF World Championship

Canada
1 :  2
Denmark
L L W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

20 Feb 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

Canada
3 :  2
Finland

18 Feb 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

Canada
4 :  3
Czechia

15 Feb 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

Canada
10 :  2
France

13 Feb 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

Canada
5 :  1
Switzerland

22 May 2025 - IIHF World Championship

Canada
1 :  2
Denmark

19 May 2025 - IIHF World Championship

Canada
1 :  2
Finland
W W
Wins

2/2 (100%)

Losses

0/2 (0%)

12 Feb 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

Czechia
0 :  5
Canada

20 May 2025 - IIHF World Championship

Sweden
3 :  5
Canada
USA
USA Last matches
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

20 Feb 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

USA
6 :  2
Slovakia

18 Feb 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

USA
2 :  1
Sweden

15 Feb 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

USA
5 :  1
Germany

14 Feb 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

USA
6 :  3
Denmark

12 Feb 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

Latvia
1 :  5
USA

24 May 2025 - IIHF World Championship

Sweden
2 :  6
USA
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

20 Feb 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

USA
6 :  2
Slovakia

18 Feb 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

USA
2 :  1
Sweden

15 Feb 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

USA
5 :  1
Germany

14 Feb 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

USA
6 :  3
Denmark

22 May 2025 - IIHF World Championship

USA
5 :  2
Finland

17 May 2025 - IIHF World Championship

USA
6 :  3
Germany
W W W W
Wins

4/4 (100%)

Losses

0/4 (0%)

12 Feb 2026 - Ice hockey - Men's Olympic Tournament

Latvia
1 :  5
USA

24 May 2025 - IIHF World Championship

Sweden
2 :  6
USA

20 May 2025 - IIHF World Championship

Czechia
2 :  5
USA

18 May 2025 - IIHF World Championship

Kazakhstan
1 :  6
USA
Canada vs USA Prediction

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Canada
CD Huachipato USA
Top Goalscorer
Canada M. Celebrini (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
USA J. Hughes (4 Goals)
Best assists
Canada C. McDavid (11 Assists)
Best assists
USA Q. Hughes (7 Assists)

Canada - USA Key Points

  1. These teams met in the 2022 Olympics with the USA coming out on top 4-2.
  2. Their most recent big clash came in the final of the Four Nations last February when Canada won 3-2 in overtime.
  3. In their last 10 meetings, there have been more than 4.5 goals on eight occasions.
  4. More than 4.5 goals have been scored in all five of Canada's games at the the Olympics and in four of the USA's five.
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Our Canada vs USA Prediction

On paper, there looks to be very little between these two sides. It would not be a shock to anyone to see the gold medal game go to overtime as the two teams have played tight games almost every time that they have met in the last 10. Betway have made the goals spread an unusually low 4.5 and that could be the way to go. Our Canada vs USA prediction is more than 4.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Over 4.5 goals

 
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