CA Penarol Montevideo vs Corinthians Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa Libertadores
South America - Copa Libertadores
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by Thobelani Moyo | in Copa Libertadores Predictions
Having become the first Brazilian team to qualify for the Copa Libertadores last 16, Corinthians will aim to build on their impressive run with a trip to Montevideo to lock horns with Penarol at Campeon del Siglo on matchday five. The hosts have yet to win a game and could struggle against the visitors, whom we believe are favorites to win, which strengthens our prediction.
It has been a real struggle for the Uruguayan club Penarol in the Copa Libertadores group stages, as they've yet to win any of their last four games.
In light of this, they are anchored at the bottom of the table in Group E with two points and can no longer catch up to first-placed Corinthians, who have ten points.
However, they are by no means out of the race for a spot in the knockout phase. They are five points behind second-placed Platense, who occupy the last automatic qualification spot.
Corinthians may have nothing to play for, but that doesn't rule out their hunger for a strong finish in the group stages.
In the fourth round of the Copa Libertadores group stages, the Big Team failed to make it four wins in a row, settling for a 1-1 draw on the road.
As for their opponents in this upcoming clash, the Uruguayan side also recorded a similar result against Platense at Estadio Ciudad de Vicente Lopez.
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CA Penarol Montevideo v Corinthians Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.48 | 2.9 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.46 | 2.88 | 3.32 |
|
|
2.45 | 2.88 | 3.38 |
|
|
2.38 | 2.9 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.38 | 2.86 | 3.3 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between CA Penarol Montevideo and Corinthians?
Our prediction for the CA Penarol Montevideo vs Corinthians match is: Corianthians wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/05/2026 between CA Penarol Montevideo and Corinthians in Copa Libertadores :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.16% for a win of CA Penarol Montevideo against Corinthians with odds of 2.82 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between CA Penarol Montevideo vs Corinthians is 28.59% with odds of 3.05 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 42.25% chance ⭐ for a win of Corinthians vs CA Penarol Montevideo with odds of 3.4 at Bet365.
CA Penarol Montevideo - Corinthians Prediction and Best Odds:
| CA Penarol Montevideo Corinthians Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Corinthians wins | 42.25% | 3.4 at Bet365 |
| Under 2.5 | 58.33% | 1.8 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 56.25% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Corinthians/Corinthians | 16.63% | 6 at Bet365 |
CA Penarol Montevideo vs Corinthians Form
CA Penarol Montevideo and Corinthians's standings in the Copa Libertadores
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 |
|
4
|
3 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4 |
CA Penarol Montevideo and Corinthians Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 May 2026 - Primera Division
11 May 2026 - Primera Division
7 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
4 May 2026 - Primera Division
30 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
26 Apr 2026 - Primera Division
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 May 2026 - Primera Division
4 May 2026 - Primera Division
20 Apr 2026 - Primera Division
16 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
13 Apr 2026 - Primera Division
29 Mar 2026 - Primera Division
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 May 2026 - Primera Division
7 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
30 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
26 Apr 2026 - Primera Division
9 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
4 Apr 2026 - Primera Division
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
6 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
3 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
30 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
30 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
26 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
15 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
12 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
6 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
3 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Apr 2026 - Copa do Brasil
18 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
9 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
CA Penarol Montevideo vs Corinthians Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
29 Apr 2021 - Copa Sudamericana
CA Penarol Montevideo against Corinthians Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
S. Britos
DefenderB. Barboza
L. Hernandez
K. Rodriguez
F. Alvez
T. Olase
G. Barbas
S. Muhlethaler
E. Remedi
ForwardF. Batista
L. Angulo
A. Hernandez
Kaue
DefenderMatheuzinho
Raniele
Ramalho
MidfielderCharles
R. Garro
B. Bidon
J. Lingard
Y. Alberto
G. Negao
A. Carrillo
Dieguinho
Most goals and assists
CA Penarol Montevideo
Corinthians
M. Arezo
(2 Goals)
G. Henrique
(3 Goals)
L. Angulo
(1 Assists)
,
D. Laxalt
(1 Assists)
,
J. Trindade
(1 Assists)
R. Garro
(4 Assists)
CA Penarol Montevideo - Corinthians Key Points
- Penarol are winless in their last five Copa Libertadores games, including last season.
- Corianthians are unbeaten in their last two away Copa Libertadores games.
- Penarol's last meeting against Corinthians in the Copa Libertadores ended in a 2-0 defeat.
- Corinthians have won ten of their last 15 Copa Libertadores game against Uruguayan opposition.
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Our CA Penarol Montevideo vs Corinthians Prediction
Penarol are in poor form at the moment. They've gone five matches without a win in the Copa Libertadores, a run that stretches to the previous season. Their last match against Corinthians was in this competition, losing 2-0 in the third round.
Corinthians should be able to complete a double over their opponents. Besides boasting a 66. 7% win rate against Uruguayan opposition in the Copa Libertadores, winning ten of the last 15 games (D5). This is also a side that has won four of their last five away fixtures of this kind. Our Penarol vs Corianthians prediction: Corianthians wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis CA Penarol Montevideo Corinthians
| CA Penarol Montevideo vs Corinthians | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| CA Penarol Montevideo wins | 2.82 | 2.82 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.05 | 3.05 | 0% |
| Corinthians wins | 2.58 | 3.4 | +31.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Corinthians is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 31.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 38.8% and is now 29.4% (-9.3%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
