Burundi vs Chad Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON

Africa - AFCON

Burundi
31/03/2026 09:00
Chad

Prediction :

 

Burundi wins and over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Thobelani Moyo | in AFCON Predictions

Burundi will play host to Chad at the Intwari Stadium in the second leg of the Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers. The hosts have one foot in the door in progressing to the next round after an impressive first leg performance. Here's our match prediction. 

Burundi was ruthless in the first leg of the Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers against Chad. Four players got on the scoreboard as they secured a commanding 4-0 away victory. 

That triumph couldn't have come at a better time, as it halted a four-match losing streak. In fact, they were winless in five games since their 1-0 away victory against Guinea-Bissau in June 2025.

The Swallows return to their humble abode seeking a positive outcome. It hasn't been a great display, with the team losing three of their last five home matches. Additionally, they are winless in their last two games.

Chad have a mountain to climb in the return leg of the Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers, and that's overturning a four-goal deficit. 

Les Sao were outplayed in all aspects of the game, succumbing to a 4-0 home defeat. That was their fifth defeat in six games.

That result extended their winless run across all competitions to 21 games. During this period, they recorded 14 losses and seven draws. Their last triumph was a 2-1 away victory against Mauritius in March 2024.

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Burundi v Chad Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.48 4.1 6.6
Melbet
1.47 4.24 7.3
Betwinner
1.47 4.24 7.3
Roobet
1.46 3.75 6.8
BC Game
1.46 3.75 6.8
Check all Burundi vs Chad odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Burundi and Chad?

Our prediction for the Burundi vs Chad match is: Burundi wins and over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 31/03/2026 between Burundi and Chad in AFCON :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 57.93% for a win of Burundi against Chad with odds of 1.51 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Burundi vs Chad is 16.15% with odds of 4.39 at 888Starz.
  • Our prediction model gives a 25.92% chance ⭐ for a win of Chad vs Burundi with odds of 7.6 at 888Starz.

Burundi - Chad Prediction and Best Odds:

Burundi Chad Prediction Probability Odds
Burundi wins 57.93% 1.51 at 888Starz
Over 2.5 goals 51.2% 2.13 at 888Starz
Both Team To Score: No 83.33% 1.57 at LSbet
Half-time / Full-time : Burundi/Burundi 28.48% 2.15 at LSbet

Burundi vs Chad Form

Burundi and Chad Last Matches

Burundi
Burundi Last matches
W L L L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
0% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

27 Mar 2026 - AFCON

Chad
0 :  4
Burundi

14 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Gabon
2 :  0
Burundi

9 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Burundi
0 :  1
Kenya

9 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Gambia
2 :  0
Burundi

5 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Côte d'Ivoire
1 :  0
Burundi

6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Guinea-Bissau
0 :  1
Burundi
L L D L W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
0% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

9 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Burundi
0 :  1
Kenya

25 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Burundi
5 :  0
Seychelles

21 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Burundi
0 :  1
Côte d'Ivoire

14 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Burundi
0 :  0
Malawi

13 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Burundi
0 :  2
Burkina Faso

9 Sept 2024 - AFCON

Burundi
0 :  1
Senegal
L W L L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
0% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

27 Mar 2026 - AFCON

Chad
0 :  4
Burundi

14 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Gabon
2 :  0
Burundi

9 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Gambia
2 :  0
Burundi

5 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Côte d'Ivoire
1 :  0
Burundi

6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Guinea-Bissau
0 :  1
Burundi

19 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Senegal
2 :  0
Burundi
Chad
Chad Last matches
D L L L D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

27 Mar 2026 - AFCON

Chad
0 :  4
Burundi

17 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Chad
2 :  2
Mozambique

12 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Chad
2 :  3
Central African Republic

8 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Chad
0 :  2
Mali

8 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Madagascar
3 :  1
Chad

4 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Chad
1 :  1
Ghana
D D L L D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

27 Mar 2026 - AFCON

Chad
0 :  4
Burundi

17 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Chad
2 :  2
Mozambique

12 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Chad
2 :  3
Central African Republic

8 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Chad
0 :  2
Mali

4 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Chad
1 :  1
Ghana

13 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Chad
1 :  1
Sierra Leone
L L L D L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

8 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Madagascar
3 :  1
Chad

10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Kenya
2 :  1
Chad

7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Kenya
0 :  0
Chad

25 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Comoros
1 :  0
Chad

21 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Ghana
5 :  0
Chad

19 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Côte d'Ivoire
4 :  0
Chad

Burundi vs Chad Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Burundi

100 %

Draw

0 %

Chad

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4
Total goals
0%
BTTS
4
Goals scored
0
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

27 Mar 2026 - AFCON

Chad
0 :  4
Burundi

Burundi - Chad Key Points

  1. Burundi emerged 4-0 victors in the first leg of the Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers against Chad.
  2. Chad are winless in their last 21 matches across all competitions.
  3. Chad have lost five of their last six games.
  4. Chad are conceding 2 goals per game when playing away.
  5. Chad have seen over 2.5 goals in each of their last four matches.
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Our Burundi vs Chad Prediction

Burundi are overwhelming favourites to progress to the next round of the Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers after their terrific performance against Chad, which saw them put four past their opponents. Another commanding display is undeniably on the cards.

Chad have done little to convince anyone that better days are ahead, having gone 21 games without a win. Defence has also been a contributing factor to their demise, conceding a whopping 40 goals during that period. That said, expect Burundi to secure another win in a high-scoring affair. Our Burundi vs Chad prediction: Burundi wins and over 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Burundi wins and over 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Burundi Chad

Burundi vs Chad Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Burundi wins 1.79 1.51 -15.6%
Draw 3.79 4.39 +15.8%
Chad wins 5.07 7.6 +49.9%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Burundi is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 15.6% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 55.9% and is now 66.2% (10.4%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Burundi vs Chad Prediction