Burnley vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Championship Predictions
Burnley are facing an unusually slow start to the Championship and will be hoping for a rise when they host Middlesbrough. In stark contrast to 22nd-placed Burnley, Boro are up there in fifth. With these starts, our prediction here will favor an away win.
Burnley have only managed a point so far and are looking to rise from the relegation zone. It is not a position Burnley are used to in this league, but two defeats in three outings place them there.
Playing in the Premier League just a season ago, Burnley find themselves winless in regular time in their latest 18 matches. They lost 11 of those, the latest a 4-1 defeat at Norwich.
Middlesbrough have had a more productive start to the season, and here they take a two-game winning run. The visitors have only suffered one defeat in their first five matches of the campaign.
That was on matchday two against Blackburn, a 2-1 away loss. Ahead of this game, Middlesbrough have posted four wins in five.
Scoring three times in each of their last two matches will brew just the right amount of confidence needed for this encounter. Inspired by a Will Lankshear second-half brace, Boro overcame West Brom 3-1 in their latest outing.
The last two meetings between these sides were drawn.
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Burnley v Middlesbrough Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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2.75 | 3.45 | 2.36 |
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2.77 | 3.5 | 2.38 |
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2.77 | 3.5 | 2.38 |
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2.77 | 3.5 | 2.38 |
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2.77 | 3.5 | 2.38 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Burnley and Middlesbrough?
Our prediction for the Burnley vs Middlesbrough match is: Middlesbrough wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/09/2026 between Burnley and Middlesbrough in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 25.76% for a win of Burnley against Middlesbrough with odds of 2.92 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Burnley vs Middlesbrough is 48.1% with odds of 3.5 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.14% chance ⭐ for a win of Middlesbrough vs Burnley with odds of 2.5 at Betway.
Burnley vs Middlesbrough Form
Burnley and Middlesbrough's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +2 |
|
22
|
1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 |
Burnley and Middlesbrough Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2026 - Championship
26 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
23 Aug 2026 - Championship
16 Aug 2026 - Championship
8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2026 - Championship
8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2026 - Premier League
10 May 2026 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2026 - Championship
26 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
23 Aug 2026 - Championship
26 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2026 - Championship
25 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
22 Aug 2026 - Championship
15 Aug 2026 - Championship
7 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2026 - Championship
15 Aug 2026 - Championship
7 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
9 May 2026 - Championship
25 Apr 2026 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
22 Aug 2026 - Championship
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
23 May 2026 - Championship
12 May 2026 - Championship
2 May 2026 - Championship
Burnley vs Middlesbrough Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Dec 2024 - Championship
6 Dec 2024 - Championship
7 Apr 2023 - Championship
17 Dec 2022 - Championship
8 Apr 2017 - Premier League
26 Dec 2016 - Premier League
Burnley vs Middlesbrough last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
G. Coudert
DefenderJ. Worrall
H. Ekdal
S. Sambo
MidfielderU. Raghouber
ForwardM. Edwards
M. Tresor
Z. Amdouni
A. Hountondji
S. Brynn
DefenderA. Phillips
M. Arfsten
A. Jones
MidfielderS. Berhalter
L. Castledine
ForwardT. Conway
K. Joseph
D. Strelec
Missing players
J. Cullen
A. Phillips
Most goals and assists
Burnley and Middlesbrough Stats in Championship
Burnley - Middlesbrough Key Points
- Middlesbrough have won their last two matches.
- In their last 11 home games, Burnley haven’t managed a win.
- Burnley are winless in their three league games so far, losing twice.
- Across their last five games, Middlesbrough only lost once, winning four.
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Our Burnley vs Middlesbrough Prediction
Burnley are used to starting their seasons in the Championship so strongly that they look lost in the relegation region. The only point they’ve managed to bank so far was against a fellow relegated side - West Ham United. That was on matchday one, and they haven’t been able to build on it.
Middlesbrough find them on a 12-game winless run, and the visitors will love it that way, having won four of their last five matches. The Clarets’ troubles look likely to continue, and our prediction for Burnley v Middlesbrough is that Middlesbrough wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.