Burnley vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Burnley
02/09/2026 15:00
Middlesbrough

Prediction :

 

Middlesbrough wins

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Championship Predictions

Burnley are facing an unusually slow start to the Championship and will be hoping for a rise when they host Middlesbrough. In stark contrast to 22nd-placed Burnley, Boro are up there in fifth. With these starts, our prediction here will favor an away win.

Burnley have only managed a point so far and are looking to rise from the relegation zone. It is not a position Burnley are used to in this league, but two defeats in three outings place them there.

Playing in the Premier League just a season ago, Burnley find themselves winless in regular time in their latest 18 matches. They lost 11 of those, the latest a 4-1 defeat at Norwich.

Middlesbrough have had a more productive start to the season, and here they take a two-game winning run. The visitors have only suffered one defeat in their first five matches of the campaign.

That was on matchday two against Blackburn, a 2-1 away loss. Ahead of this game, Middlesbrough have posted four wins in five.

Scoring three times in each of their last two matches will brew just the right amount of confidence needed for this encounter. Inspired by a Will Lankshear second-half brace, Boro overcame West Brom 3-1 in their latest outing.

The last two meetings between these sides were drawn.

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Burnley v Middlesbrough Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.75 3.45 2.36
1xbet
2.77 3.5 2.38
Melbet
2.77 3.5 2.38
Betwinner
2.77 3.5 2.38
22bet
2.77 3.5 2.38
Check all Burnley vs Middlesbrough odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Burnley and Middlesbrough?

Our prediction for the Burnley vs Middlesbrough match is: Middlesbrough wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/09/2026 between Burnley and Middlesbrough in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 25.76% for a win of Burnley against Middlesbrough with odds of 2.92 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Burnley vs Middlesbrough is 48.1% with odds of 3.5 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 26.14% chance ⭐ for a win of Middlesbrough vs Burnley with odds of 2.5 at Betway.

Burnley vs Middlesbrough Form

Burnley and Middlesbrough's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5 Middlesbrough
6 3 2 0 1 +2
22 Burnley
1 3 0 1 2 -5

Burnley and Middlesbrough Last Matches

Burnley
Burnley Last matches
L D D L D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Aug 2026 - Championship

Norwich
4 :  1
Burnley

26 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Bradford City FC
0 :  0
Burnley

23 Aug 2026 - Championship

West Brom
3 :  1
Burnley

16 Aug 2026 - Championship

Burnley
2 :  2
West Ham

8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Burnley
1 :  1
Notts County

2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Burnley
0 :  1
Torino FC
D D D L D D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

16 Aug 2026 - Championship

Burnley
2 :  2
West Ham

8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Burnley
1 :  1
Notts County

2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Burnley
0 :  1
Torino FC

29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Burnley
2 :  2
Espanyol

24 May 2026 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  1
Wolves

10 May 2026 - Premier League

Burnley
2 :  2
Aston Villa
D L L L D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

29 Aug 2026 - Championship

Norwich
4 :  1
Burnley

26 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Bradford City FC
0 :  0
Burnley

23 Aug 2026 - Championship

West Brom
3 :  1
Burnley

26 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Ajax
2 :  1
Burnley

15 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Real Salt Lake
4 :  1
Burnley

12 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Columbus Crew
1 :  1
Burnley
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough Last matches
D W W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

29 Aug 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
3 :  1
West Brom

25 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Doncaster
1 :  3
Middlesbrough

22 Aug 2026 - Championship

Blackburn
2 :  1
Middlesbrough

15 Aug 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  1
Lincoln City

7 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Middlesbrough
1 :  0
Wrexham

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Middlesbrough
3 :  3
Espanyol
W D D W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

29 Aug 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
3 :  1
West Brom

15 Aug 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  1
Lincoln City

7 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Middlesbrough
1 :  0
Wrexham

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Middlesbrough
3 :  3
Espanyol

9 May 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  0
Southampton

25 Apr 2026 - Championship

Middlesbrough
5 :  1
Watford
D L L D L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

25 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Doncaster
1 :  3
Middlesbrough

22 Aug 2026 - Championship

Blackburn
2 :  1
Middlesbrough

18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Celtic
1 :  1
Middlesbrough

23 May 2026 - Championship

Hull
1 :  0
Middlesbrough

12 May 2026 - Championship

Southampton
2 :  1
Middlesbrough

2 May 2026 - Championship

Wrexham
2 :  2
Middlesbrough

Burnley vs Middlesbrough Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Burnley

50 %

Draw

50 %

Middlesbrough

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.67
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored
0.5
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

29 Dec 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  0
Burnley

6 Dec 2024 - Championship

Burnley
1 :  1
Middlesbrough

7 Apr 2023 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  2
Burnley

17 Dec 2022 - Championship

Burnley
3 :  1
Middlesbrough

8 Apr 2017 - Premier League

Middlesbrough
0 :  0
Burnley

26 Dec 2016 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  0
Middlesbrough
Burnley vs Middlesbrough Prediction

Burnley vs Middlesbrough last Lineups

Burnley

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
M. Weiss
2
K. Walker
15
A. Ahmedhodzic
3
M. Alleyne
14
C. Roberts
28
H. Mejbri
29
J. Laurent
7
J. Bruun Larsen
21
A. Ramsey
12
D. Satpaev
19
Z. Flemming
7
W. Lankshear
16
J. Sarmiento
8
R. McGree
11
M. Whittaker
14
M. Peart-Harris
10
A. Morris
30
N. Borges
29
A. Malanda
12
L. Ayling
2
C. Brittain
1
R. Vitek

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Middlesbrough

Substitutes

Burnley
Burnley
Goalkeeper

G. Coudert

Defender

J. Worrall

H. Ekdal

S. Sambo

Midfielder

U. Raghouber

Forward

M. Edwards

M. Tresor

Z. Amdouni

A. Hountondji

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Goalkeeper

S. Brynn

Defender

A. Phillips

M. Arfsten

A. Jones

Midfielder

S. Berhalter

L. Castledine

Forward

T. Conway

K. Joseph

D. Strelec

Missing players

Burnley
Burnley
Midfielder

J. Cullen

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Defender

A. Phillips

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Burnley
CD Huachipato Middlesbrough
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands Z. Flemming (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England W. Lankshear (4 Goals)
Best assists
Denmark J. Bruun Larsen (1 Assists)
Best assists
Australia R. McGree (1 Assists)
England M. Whittaker (1 Assists)
England L. Ayling (1 Assists)

Burnley and Middlesbrough Stats in Championship

Burnley
Burnley
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
0%
Wins
67%
67%
Losses
33%
33%
Draws
0%
4.33
Average goals per match
3.33
1.33
Goals scored per match
2
3
Goals conceded per match
1.33
0%
Under 2.5 goals
0%
100%
Over 2.5 goals
100%
0%
No goals conceded
0%
100%
BTTS
100%

Burnley - Middlesbrough Key Points

  1. Middlesbrough have won their last two matches.
  2. In their last 11 home games, Burnley haven’t managed a win.
  3. Burnley are winless in their three league games so far, losing twice.
  4. Across their last five games, Middlesbrough only lost once, winning four.
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Our Burnley vs Middlesbrough Prediction

Burnley are used to starting their seasons in the Championship so strongly that they look lost in the relegation region. The only point they’ve managed to bank so far was against a fellow relegated side - West Ham United. That was on matchday one, and they haven’t been able to build on it.

Middlesbrough find them on a 12-game winless run, and the visitors will love it that way, having won four of their last five matches. The Clarets’ troubles look likely to continue, and our prediction for Burnley v Middlesbrough is that Middlesbrough wins.

Prediction :

 

Middlesbrough wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.