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by Devesh Jaganath | in World Cup Predictions
Group E action at the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifiers resumes on Saturday evening with Bulgaria playing host to Turkey at the Vasil Levski National Stadium. The Lions are bottom of the group standings, while the Crescent Stars are third after two games. Let’s get into the match prediction!
Bulgaria have not qualified for a FIFA World Cup since 1998, and they already have a mountain to climb this year, having lost their first two qualification matches.
Those defeats came against Spain and Georgia in games one and two, respectively. The Lions failed to score in either of those matches and conceded a total of six goals in them combined.
The hosts are now winless in their last seven matches across all competitions (D2 L5) and have not won a home game since September 2024 against Northern Ireland.
Meanwhile, Turkey last featured at a World Cup in 2002 when they finished third, and they are widely expected to battle Georgia for the play-off berth in this group.
The Crescent Stars beat the Crusaders 3-2 in their opening match of this competition last month, but they suffered a painful 6-0 defeat at the hands of Spain three days later.
Still, the visitors have won four of their last six matches in all competitions, including three of their last four on the road. They have also beaten this opponent in their last two encounters.
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The Best Betting Odds for Bulgaria v Turkiye Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10 | 5.25 | 1.3 |
|
|
11 | 5.5 | 1.29 |
|
|
10 | 5 | 1.25 |
|
|
8 | 4.75 | 1.3 |
|
|
11.5 | 5.6 | 1.25 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Bulgaria and Turkiye?
Our prediction for the Bulgaria vs Turkiye match is: Turkey wins & over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/10/2025 between Bulgaria and Turkiye in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 20.31% for a win of Bulgaria against Turkiye with odds of 12 at BC Game.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bulgaria vs Turkiye is 22.25% with odds of 5.65 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 57.44% chance ⭐ for a win of Turkiye vs Bulgaria with odds of 1.36 at 22bet.
Bulgaria - Turkiye Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bulgaria Turkiye Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Turkiye wins | 57.44% | 1.36 at 22bet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.24% | 1.87 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 54.76% | 2.12 at Unibet |
| Half-time / Full-time: Turkiye/Turkiye | 24.08% | 1.85 at Ladbrokes |
Bulgaria vs Turkiye Form
Bulgaria and Turkiye's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
|
4
|
3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -16 |
Bulgaria and Turkiye Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
22 Jun 2024 - Euro
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
Bulgaria against Turkiye Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Most goals and assists
Bulgaria
Turkiye
F. Krastev
(1 Goals)
,
G. Rusev
(1 Goals)
,
R. Kirilov
(1 Goals)
K. Yildiz
(3 Goals)
Bulgaria - Turkiye Key Points
- Bulgaria are winless in their last seven games in all competitions.
- Four of Bulgaria’s last five matches have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Bulgaria have conceded two or more goals in each of their last three home games.
- Six of Turkey’s last seven matches have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Turkey have scored two or more goals in four of their last six away games.
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Our Bulgaria vs Turkiye Prediction
Bulgaria were the biggest outsiders in Group E coming into this competition, and based on how they have started these qualifiers, it’s tough to make much of a case for them qualifying for the World Cup.
Turkey, on the other hand, will know the importance of three points here, with Georgia and Spain set to face off in the other match in this group. We feel the visitors will get the job done in this one. Our Bulgaria vs Turkey prediction is Turkey wins & over 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bulgaria Turkiye
| Bulgaria vs Turkiye | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bulgaria wins | 19 | 10 | -47.4% |
| Draw | 6.5 | 5.25 | -19.2% |
| Turkiye wins | 1.14 | 1.3 | +14.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Turkiye is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 14.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 87.7% and is now 76.9% (-10.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Bulgaria vs. Turkiye game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Bulgaria and Turkiye? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's World Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
