Brighton vs Wolves Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
Brighton & Hove Albion will continue their quest for European qualification when they face Premier League basement club Wolverhampton Wanderers at the Amex on Saturday afternoon. The Seagulls, currently in eighth place, can move as high as sixth with three points here. Given that Wolves have not won a game in over two months, our prediction is that the home side will win this match fairly comfortably.
After an excellent run of form since mid-April, Fabian Hurzeler’s side’s momentum was halted at St. James’ Park last weekend. However, the Seagulls are still firmly in the race for Europe, and they will be targeting maximum points from their next two games (Wolves and Leeds) before meeting Man United on the final day of the season.
As for the Old Gold, the final three games of the season are a mere formality, as they have known for a while now that they will be a part of the Championship next term. While they were able to take a point from the reverse fixture, this week’s visitors have not won a match at the Amex since 2021 and are massive underdogs in this one. Let’s get into the key stats!
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Brighton v Wolves Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.28 | 6.2 | 10 |
|
|
1.26 | 6.15 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.25 | 6.25 | 11 |
|
|
1.29 | 6 | 9 |
|
|
1.27 | 6 | 9.6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Brighton and Wolves?
Our prediction for the Brighton vs Wolves match is: Brighton wins & over 1.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/05/2026 between Brighton and Wolves in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 54.31% for a win of Brighton against Wolves with odds of 1.3 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brighton vs Wolves is 25.3% with odds of 6.49 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 20.38% chance ⭐ for a win of Wolves vs Brighton with odds of 11.6 at 888Starz.
Brighton - Wolves Prediction and Best Odds:
| Brighton Wolves Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Brighton wins | 54.31% | 1.3 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.53% | 1.53 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score: No | 59.17% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Brighton/Brighton | 24.62% | 1.83 at Bet365 |
Brighton vs Wolves Form
Brighton and Wolves's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
53 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +6 |
|
20
|
20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | -41 |
Brighton and Wolves Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Premier League
21 Apr 2026 - Premier League
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
11 Apr 2026 - Premier League
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Apr 2026 - Premier League
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
8 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Premier League
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
11 Apr 2026 - Premier League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Premier League
25 Apr 2026 - Premier League
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
10 Apr 2026 - Premier League
16 Mar 2026 - Premier League
6 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Premier League
25 Apr 2026 - Premier League
6 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
27 Feb 2026 - Premier League
18 Feb 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
10 Apr 2026 - Premier League
16 Mar 2026 - Premier League
22 Feb 2026 - Premier League
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
Brighton vs Wolves Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
50 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
10 May 2025 - Premier League
26 Oct 2024 - Premier League
18 Sept 2024 - Carabao Cup
28 Feb 2024 - FA Cup
22 Jan 2024 - Premier League
Brighton - Wolves: Form Analysis
Brighton & Hove Albion suffered a 3-1 defeat to Newcastle United on the road last weekend, which brought an end to their five-match unbeaten run since March 14 in the Premier League (W4 D1).
Notably, that was the first time that the Seagulls conceded three goals in a league match since December 3 against Aston Villa. They have allowed just 42 goals this season - the third-fewest in the top flight to date.
The hosts have won three of their last four home games - losing only to EPL leaders Arsenal in this period - and have earned 30 points from 17 league matches at the Amex this season (W8 D6 L3).
Only Arsenal and Man City have conceded fewer home goals than Brighton this season!
Meanwhile, Wolverhampton Wanderers played over an hour with a man advantage against Sunderland last week, but they were still held to a disappointing 1-1 draw by the Black Cats at Molineux.
The Old Gold are now winless in their last five league games and have still only won three EPL matches this term. They are also the lowest-scoring team in the top flight with 25 goals in 35 matches.
The visitors have conceded 10 goals in their last four away games and have earned just five points on the road (W0 D5 L12). They are the only team in the division that has failed to win a single away game this season.
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Brighton against Wolves Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
J. Steele
DefenderO. Boscagli
J. Veltman
J. Milner
Y. Ayari
S. March
M. O'Riley
ForwardG. Rutter
C. Kostoulas
J. Gracey
DefenderL. Krejci
J. Tchatchoua
M. Doherty
D. Moller Wolfe
A. Gomes
J. Bellegarde
R. Gomes
T. Arokodare
Missing players
A. Webster
M. Wieffer
MidfielderD. Gomez
ForwardS. Tzimas
S. Johnstone
ForwardE. Gonzalez
L. Chiwome
Brighton & Wolves Squad Analysis
Danny Welbeck notched up an assist in the defeat to the Magpies last week and now has 14 Premier League goal contributions this season. He has also scored four goals in his last four home league matches.
Another player to keep an eye on this weekend is Jack Hinshelwood, who has scored in his last two league games and has been thriving since being moved into the number 10 role by Hurzeler in late February.
The Seagulls are expected to be without at least six players due to injury this week, including Mats Wieffer, Solly March, Diego Gomez, James Milner, Stefanos Tzimas and Adam Webster.
Welbeck has scored three goals in his last three home league games against Wolves!
Rob Edwards handed 19-year-old Pedro Lima a rare start against Sunderland last week. However, the teenager was hooked at the halftime break and is likely to be replaced by Rodrigo Gomes in the starting lineup this weekend.
Nigerian international Tolu Arokodare led the line last week from the off last week. While he was unable to get a goal, he did record five shots and achieved 0.58 xG, which could be enough to earn him a starting role again.
With Jose Sa and Sam Johnstone both sidelined, Daniel Bentley is expected to start in goal again this week. Ladislav Krejci, Enso Gonzalez and Leon Chiwome are also ruled out for this trip to the south coast.
Most goals and assists
Brighton
Wolves
D. Welbeck
(13 Goals)
R. Gomes
(3 Goals)
, 
S. Bueno
(3 Goals)
, 
T. Arokodare
(3 Goals)
,
M. Mane
(3 Goals)
Y. Minteh
(4 Assists)
D. Moller Wolfe
(2 Assists)
, 
H. Hee-chan
(2 Assists)
, 
H. Bueno
(2 Assists)
,
A. Armstrong
(2 Assists)
Brighton - Wolves Key Points
- Brighton have only lost one of their last six league matches.
- Brighton have scored two or more goals in four of their last five league games.
- Brighton are unbeaten in their last three home league games against this opponent.
- Wolves are winless in their five league games.
- Wolves have failed to win a single away league match this season.
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Our Brighton vs Wolves Prediction
Brighton & Hove Albion may have suffered a setback in their quest to qualify for Europe, but they have been one of the form teams in the EPL during the run-in and will be expecting to bounce back to winning ways this weekend.
Wolverhampton Wanderers have nothing to play for over the last three games, with their relegation already confirmed. They have failed to win a single away game this season, and we feel another defeat is on the way in this one. Our Brighton vs Wolves prediction is Brighton wins & over 1.5 goals.
Brighton vs Wolves Alternative Predictions
Danny Welbeck to score or assist
Danny Welbeck has 14 goal contributions in the EPL this season and has scored three goals in his last three home league games against Wolves.
Brighton wins
For all the same reasons mentioned in our main prediction, a straight-up victory for Brighton could be a banker and a lower-risk option for accumulators for the day.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Brighton Wolves
| Brighton vs Wolves | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton wins | 1.36 | 1.3 | -4.4% |
| Draw | 4.9 | 6.49 | +32.4% |
| Wolves wins | 7.6 | 11.6 | +52.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Brighton is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 73.5% and is now 76.9% (3.4%)
Brighton vs Wolves - FAQs
The Premier League match between Brighton and Wolves will take place on May 9 at 15:00 BST.
The Premier League match between Brighton and Wolves will be played at the Amex Stadium in Brighton.
The Premier League match between Brighton and Wolves will not be broadcast on TV in the UK.
However, you can follow all the action on our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
