England - Premier League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions
With four games to play in the Premier League, Brighton and Hove Albion are eighth in the table. Sunday sees them at home to Newcastle United who were third at the start of the weekend. Can the Magpies get a vital away win? Read our match prediction for this vital Premier League game.
Albion had been struggling for results before they beat West Ham United 3-2 at home last weekend. They are in the European qualifying positions but face a tough battle to stay there. Manchester City winning the FA Cup would help them as that means ninth in the table would be good enough to qualify.
Newcastle United are already assured of European football after they won the Carabao Cup. Their main aim though is another season in the Champions League but they do have a tough run-in. A win at Brighton would take them a step further to achieving that.
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The Best Betting Odds for Brighton v Newcastle Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.88 | 3.7 | 2.25 |
|
|
2.88 | 3.75 | 2.38 |
|
|
2.9 | 2.62 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.75 | 2.32 |
|
|
2.93 | 3.91 | 2.33 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Brighton and Newcastle?
Our prediction for the Brighton vs Newcastle match is: over 2.5 goals to be scored.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/05/2025 between Brighton and Newcastle in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.82% for a win of Brighton against Newcastle with odds of 2.93 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brighton vs Newcastle is 18.81% with odds of 3.91 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.38% chance ⭐ for a win of Newcastle vs Brighton with odds of 2.5 at Ladbrokes.
Brighton vs Newcastle Form
Brighton and Newcastle's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
62 | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 21 |
|
9
|
51 | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 1 |
Brighton and Newcastle Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2025 - Premier League
19 Apr 2025 - Premier League
12 Apr 2025 - Premier League
5 Apr 2025 - Premier League
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
29 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2025 - Premier League
12 Apr 2025 - Premier League
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
29 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
25 Feb 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2025 - Premier League
5 Apr 2025 - Premier League
15 Mar 2025 - Premier League
2 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2025 - Premier League
19 Apr 2025 - Premier League
16 Apr 2025 - Premier League
13 Apr 2025 - Premier League
7 Apr 2025 - Premier League
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2025 - Premier League
16 Apr 2025 - Premier League
13 Apr 2025 - Premier League
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
2 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
23 Feb 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2025 - Premier League
7 Apr 2025 - Premier League
16 Mar 2025 - Carabao Cup
10 Mar 2025 - Premier League
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
Brighton vs Newcastle Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
11 May 2024 - Premier League
2 Sep 2023 - Premier League
18 May 2023 - Premier League
13 Aug 2022 - Premier League
Brighton - Newcastle: Form Analysis
Brighton and Hove Albion had gone six games without a win before defeating West Ham United last weekend. That run looked like being extended to seven games as they trailed the Hammers 2-1 at home going into the 89th minute. Two goals in three minutes secured a much-needed victory.
The Seagulls are still on course for what would be only their second European campaign. They have won seven home league games this season. Each of their last 11 league fixtures have seen both teams get on the scoresheet.
Newcastle United cant afford any slip-ups.
Newcastle United will drop to fourth if Manchester City avoid defeat against Wolves on Friday evening. They are in a good position to again qualify for the Champions League but can't afford any slip-ups in their final four league games.
The Magpies won their last league game 3-0 at home to Ipswich Town. They have won eight away league games this season but lost 4-1 at Aston Villa in their most recent match on the road. Their last seven games have all had over 2.5 goals scored in them.
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Brighton vs Newcastle last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
J. Steele
DefenderF. Kadioglu
Igor
A. Webster
T. Lamptey
J. van Hecke
MidfielderJ. Milner
ForwardG. Rutter
J. Lascelles
S. Botman
L. Hall
Brighton & Newcastle Squad Analysis
Brighton have already beaten Newcastle twice this season. They won the reverse fixture and also knocked United out of the FA Cup. They bid to make it three victories but will be without the suspended striker Joao Pedro.
Georgino Rutter has been absent since March. He may play again this season but not against Newcastle.
No Joelinton for United.
Joelinton has been a key player for Newcastle United this season. However, he missed last weekend's game against Ipswich Town and coach Eddie Howe says that Joelinton is unlikely to play again this season and has returned home to Brazil.
Either Joe Willcock, Sean Longstaff or Lewis Miley may be the one to replace the Brazilian. Jamaal Lascalles will also be absent for this match. They will be looking for more goals from Aleksander Isak and Jacob Murphy who have both been in good scoring form.
Most goals and assists
Brighton
Newcastle
J. Pedro
(10 Goals)
A. Isak
(25 Goals)
J. Pedro
(6 Assists)
J. Murphy
(12 Assists)
Brighton and Newcastle Stats in Premier League
Brighton - Newcastle Key Points
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of the last 11 Brighton league fixtures.
- Three of the last five games between these two clubs have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of the last seven Newcastle matches.
- Five of the last seven Newcastle away league games have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
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Our Brighton vs Newcastle Prediction
Both of these clubs have difficult run-ins but will hope to achieve their targets. Brighton have been struggling in recent weeks but that last-gasp win over West Ham United should have boosted their confidence as they bid to qualify for another European campaign.
Newcastle are on course to reach the Champions League and have already won the Carabao Cup this season. Both of these clubs score regularly but have conceded 99 league goals between them. Our main Brighton v Newcastle prediction is over 2.5 goals to be scored.
Brighton vs Newcastle - Other Interesting Predictions
Second half to have the most goals scored
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Brighton vs Newcastle match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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