France - Ligue 1
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Ligue 1 Predictions
The latest edition of Derby Breton features Brest and Nantes in a matchday seven fixture of the 2025-26 Ligue 1 campaign on Saturday. This match on Saturday in Brest between the ninth-placed Pirates and the 16th-placed Canaries comes with our prediction of a home win.
With seven points (W2, D1, L3), Brest are only two points above the relegation zone but three points behind the top six teams ahead of this round. Nantes have five points (W1, D2, L3) and start this round in the relegation play-off spot, only narrowly missing the safety zone as things stand after last round.
Brest won 2-0 away at Angers last weekend to make it two wins in a row in the league, following their 4-1 home win over Nice. These victories helped revive their season after winning just one point from the first four matchdays.
With four points from their three league matches this home season (W1, D1, L1), Brest haven’t set the world alight but are perhaps doing enough to keep winning.
Nantes drew 2-2 away at Toulouse last matchday, which was their second consecutive draw by the same scoreline. Their only win in this league season came on matchday when they won 1-0 against Auxerre.
Nantes still have to improve on the road, as they remain winless in league trips this season (D1, L2).
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The Best Betting Odds for Brest v Nantes Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.91 | 3.6 | 4 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.6 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.4 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.5 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.86 | 3.65 | 4.1 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Brest and Nantes?
Our prediction for the Brest vs Nantes match is: Brest wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/10/2025 between Brest and Nantes in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.54% for a win of Brest against Nantes with odds of 1.95 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brest vs Nantes is 28.84% with odds of 3.72 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 14.62% chance ⭐ for a win of Nantes vs Brest with odds of 4.33 at Betfred.
Brest - Nantes Prediction and Best Odds:
| Brest Nantes Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Brest wins | 56.54% | 1.95 at Betway |
| Under 2.5 | 57.86% | 1.94 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score | 52.92% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Brest | 23.13% | 5 at Bet365 |
Brest vs Nantes Form
Brest and Nantes's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
15
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -7 |
|
16
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -7 |
Brest and Nantes Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
20 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
20 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
13 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Ligue 1
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
13 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - Ligue 1
Brest vs Nantes Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
7 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Jan 2025 - French Cup
15 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
4 May 2024 - Ligue 1
17 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1
3 May 2023 - Ligue 1
Brest against Nantes Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
J. Bourgault
MidfielderL. Tousart
R. Del Castillo
ForwardM. Balde
R. Lascary
F. Centonze
T. Tati
MidfielderJ. Lepenant
F. Coquelin
Most goals and assists
Brest
Nantes
R. Del Castillo
(4 Goals)
B. Guirassy
(2 Goals)
,
M. Abline
(2 Goals)
, 
Y. El Arabi
(2 Goals)
, 
M. Mohamed
(2 Goals)
L. Ajorque
(3 Assists)
K. Amian
(1 Assists)
,
M. Abline
(1 Assists)
,
L. Leroux
(1 Assists)
,
B. Guirassy
(1 Assists)
Brest - Nantes Key Points
- Brest have won their last two league fixtures.
- At home, Brest won their latest league game against Nice.
- Nantes have three defeats from their six league games this season.
- Away from home, Nantes lost two of three league games this season, failing to score in each defeat.
- Brest have won the last three competitive matches against Nantes.
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Our Brest vs Nantes Prediction
There’s very little to separate these sides ahead of this round, on paper, as the teams prepare for the derby. That said, Brest will lay claim to improved form, having won their last two league fixtures. Nantes have struggled to win in recent weeks, especially on the road, where they are yet to win a game in this league campaign.
Recent results in matches between these sides saw Brest dominating the fixture, which could continue here. That’s why our Brest vs Nantes prediction is Brest wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Brest Nantes
| Brest vs Nantes | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brest wins | 1.9 | 1.91 | +0.5% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.6 | 0% |
| Nantes wins | 3.8 | 4 | +5.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Brest is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 0.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.6% and is now 52.4% (-0.3%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Brest vs. Nantes game!
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Try your luck on this year's Ligue 1! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
