Brest vs Marseille Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Marseille are looking to end their recent slump when they take on Brest in Ligue 1 this Friday. Heading into this game, Marseille have dropped to fourth in the standings, while hosts Brest are 12th. Let’s have a look at the match prediction here.
Brest have managed to inject some stability into their campaign with a three-game unbeaten run in the league. That run includes two draws and a win. The latest of them was a 1-1 draw with Lille.
Les Pirates actually avoided defeat against sides above them in the last two matches. The last time they faced off with a top four side, however, it ended in defeat as they fell 2-1 to Lyon.
Playing at home will be welcome, as they’ve collected 18 of their 27 points there.
Marseille started life after Roberto De Zerbi in disappointing fashion, though not as bad as with their 5-0 defeat to PSG earlier. Les Phoceens took a 2-0 lead against Strasbourg last time out but squandered it, in the end drawing 2-2.
They were dejected at conceding the equalizer in the seventh minute of injury time. That extended the turmoil at the team, which currently has the side on one win in the last five outings.
That was in the French Cup, with Marseille recently getting eliminated from the Champions League. This poor run has Marseille trailing league leaders Lens by 12 points.
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Brest v Marseille Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.9 | 3.8 | 1.92 |
|
|
3.88 | 3.74 | 1.89 |
|
|
3.88 | 3.74 | 1.89 |
|
|
3.8 | 3.8 | 1.9 |
|
|
3.75 | 3.7 | 1.89 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Brest and Marseille?
Our prediction for the Brest vs Marseille match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/02/2026 between Brest and Marseille in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.88% for a win of Brest against Marseille with odds of 4.04 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brest vs Marseille is 25.06% with odds of 3.9 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.06% chance ⭐ for a win of Marseille vs Brest with odds of 1.96 at 888Starz.
Brest - Marseille Prediction and Best Odds:
| Brest Marseille Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Marseille wins | 38.06% | 1.96 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.29% | 1.8 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score: No | 59.58% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Marseille/Marseille | 16.09% | 3 at Bet365 |
Brest vs Marseille Form
Brest and Marseille's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
59 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | +18 |
|
12
|
39 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -12 |
Brest and Marseille Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Dec 2025 - French Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
3 Feb 2026 - French Cup
31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
3 Feb 2026 - French Cup
24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
13 Jan 2026 - French Cup
8 Jan 2026 - Trophée des Champions
Brest vs Marseille Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
18 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
26 Aug 2023 - Ligue 1
27 May 2023 - Ligue 1
Brest against Marseille Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Substitutes
R. Majecki
DefenderS. Coulibaly
B. Locko
L. Zogbe
R. Le Guen
MidfielderH. Makalou
L. Tousart
P. Mboup
R. Lascary
J. De Lange
DefenderC. Egan Riley
F. Medina
MidfielderH. Traore
H. Abdelli
B. Nadir
G. Kondogbia
ForwardP. Aubameyang
E. Nwaneri
Missing players
M. Balde
L. Balerdi
Most goals and assists
Brest
Marseille
R. Del Castillo
(9 Goals)
M. Greenwood
(16 Goals)
L. Ajorque
(9 Assists)
M. Greenwood
(8 Assists)
Brest - Marseille Key Points
- Marseille conceded 12 goals in their last four away matches.
- Marseille’s last 10 matches in all competitions had over 2.5 goals.
- 19 goals were netted in these two sides’ last five meetings at Brest.
- Brest conceded 3+ in each of their last three meetings with Marseille.
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Our Brest vs Marseille Prediction
Marseille have done poorly in their recent outings, but facing Brest should inspire some confidence of a turnaround. They’ve won four times in the last five matches against Brest, and these wins were quite comfortable ones. In the last three meetings between them, Marseille scored at least three goals.
The most recent of them was in the reverse meeting, which Marseille won 3-0. Brest will, however, see a window of opportunity in Marseille’s struggles and will look to go for the kill. This match has the makings of a high-scoring encounter. Our prediction for Brest v Marseille is for more than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Brest Marseille
| Brest vs Marseille | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brest wins | 4.43 | 4.04 | -8.8% |
| Draw | 3.85 | 3.9 | +1.3% |
| Marseille wins | 1.89 | 1.96 | +3.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Marseille is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 3.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.9% and is now 51.0% (-1.9%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
