Brest vs Lorient Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
The top six is in sight for Lorient as they head to Brest for the next installment of the Breton derby on Saturday. Brest, sitting 12th, will host the match as ninth-placed Lorient heads out in search of a fourth straight victory. Let’s have a look at the prediction here.
A 2-2 draw with Nice last time out halted Brest’s losing run, Les Pirates having fallen in the earlier two games. It could have been better had Brest not squandered a 2-0 lead.
Across their last six outings, Brest have one win to show, and that was against a side in the bottom three – Auxerre. With 15 points out of 23 won at home, Brest will be positive coming to the game.
Lorient have been on a good run in Ligue 1 and will be further motivated for this game after securing a French Cup quarter-final berth. For the first time since 2015/16, they’ve managed to reach that stage of the cup competition after beating Paris FC.
This has been an extension of their Ligue 1 form, which now has them among favorites to secure European football. Lorient are unbeaten in their last 12 matches, having produced eight wins in the process.
They are on four straight wins away from home, and Les Merlus will look to improve on their 3-3 draw in the reverse fixture.
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Brest v Lorient Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.36 | 3.15 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.34 | 3.14 | 3.26 |
|
|
2.34 | 3.14 | 3.26 |
|
|
2.3 | 3 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.32 | 3.1 | 3.2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Brest and Lorient?
Our prediction for the Brest vs Lorient match is: Lorient wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/02/2026 between Brest and Lorient in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 27.2% for a win of Brest against Lorient with odds of 2.43 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brest vs Lorient is 30.04% with odds of 3.3 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 42.76% chance ⭐ for a win of Lorient vs Brest with odds of 3.5 at Bet365.
Brest - Lorient Prediction and Best Odds:
| Brest Lorient Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lorient wins | 42.76% | 3.5 at Bet365 |
| Under 2.5 | 53.77% | 1.93 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score: No | 57.08% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Lorient | 16.78% | 7.5 at LSbet |
Brest vs Lorient Form
Brest and Lorient's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | -3 |
|
12
|
39 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -12 |
Brest and Lorient Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Dec 2025 - French Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Dec 2025 - French Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
16 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
10 Jan 2026 - French Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
16 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
10 Jan 2026 - French Cup
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
Brest vs Lorient Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
20 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1
7 May 2023 - Ligue 1
9 Oct 2022 - Ligue 1
Brest against Lorient Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
R. Majecki
DefenderR. Le Guen
L. Zogbe
MidfielderA. Lassus
E. Ebimbe
H. Makalou
L. Tousart
P. Mboup
B. Kamara
DefenderD. Yongwa
I. Silva
L. Leaudais
MidfielderN. Cadiou
D. Karim
B. Mohamed
T. Aiyegun
S. Soumano
Missing players
S. Coulibaly
B. Locko
ForwardM. Balde
B. Leroy
DefenderS. Toure
A. Faye
MidfielderB. Fadiga
Most goals and assists
Brest
Lorient
R. Del Castillo
(9 Goals)
P. Pagis
(10 Goals)
, 
B. Dieng
(10 Goals)
L. Ajorque
(9 Assists)
A. Kouassi
(6 Assists)
Brest - Lorient Key Points
- Lorient have won each of their last five matches.
- Lorient are unbeaten in their last six away matches.
- Brest suffered defeat in their latest home match.
- Across their last six matches, Brest lost three times and won once.
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Our Brest vs Lorient Prediction
Brest’s dominance in the recent matches against Lorient is in danger here, even as they play at home. The hosts have lost three times and won just once in their last six matches. Their latest home match ended in defeat, and in this shape, they may struggle against Lorient.
The visitors carry into this game a 12-match unbeaten run, with each of the last five having ended in wins. Lorient also scored 2+ in each of those five wins and will be well motivated for this one. Our prediction for Brest v Lorient is that Lorient wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Brest Lorient
| Brest vs Lorient | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brest wins | 2.07 | 2.43 | +17.4% |
| Draw | 3.59 | 3.3 | -8.1% |
| Lorient wins | 3.96 | 3.5 | -11.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lorient is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 11.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 25.3% and is now 28.6% (3.3%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
