England - Carabao Cup
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by Steve Ashfield | in Carabao Cup Predictions
Two Premier League clubs face each other in round three of the Carabao Cup. Brentford are home to Aston Villa with the visitors looking to get a good result after a poor start to this season's Premier League. Time for our match prediction.
Both teams drew on Saturday. Brentford had the better result as they came from behind to draw 2-2 at home to Chelsea. They had led in the first half of that match before conceding two goals.
The Bees have already beaten one side from the top flight in this season's Carabao Cup. The second round saw them win 2-1 away at Bournemouth. Brentford have already played Villa in this season's Premier League and beat them 1-0 at home.
Aston Villa received a bye into the third round of this competition as they are playing in Europe this season. They might not be next season though after a terrible start this time around. The Villans are in the relegation zone with two draws and the same number of defeats.
Their big problem is up front with not a single goal scored in their four league matches. Their most recent game saw them earn a goalless draw at Everton, their second 0-0 scoreline of the season.
We tip Brentford to win or draw this game.
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The Best Betting Odds for Brentford v Aston Villa Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.5 | 3.9 | 1.91 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.75 | 1.95 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.5 | 1.95 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.6 | 2 |
|
|
3.8 | 3.75 | 1.87 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Brentford and Aston Villa?
Our prediction for the Brentford vs Aston Villa match is: Brentford to win or draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/09/2025 between Brentford and Aston Villa in Carabao Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.22% for a win of Brentford against Aston Villa with odds of 3.8 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brentford vs Aston Villa is 28.9% with odds of 3.9 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.88% chance ⭐ for a win of Aston Villa vs Brentford with odds of 2.01 at LSbet.
Brentford - Aston Villa Prediction and Best Odds:
| Brentford Aston Villa Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Brentford wins | 37.22% | 3.8 at Unibet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.23% | 1.8 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 61.67% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Brentford/Brentford | 14.15% | 6 at Bet365 |
Brentford vs Aston Villa Form
Brentford and Aston Villa Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2025 - Premier League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
17 Aug 2025 - Premier League
8 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2025 - Premier League
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
8 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2025 - Premier League
4 May 2025 - Premier League
19 Apr 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
17 Aug 2025 - Premier League
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2025 - Premier League
31 Aug 2025 - Premier League
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
16 Aug 2025 - Premier League
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2025 - Premier League
16 Aug 2025 - Premier League
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 May 2025 - Premier League
3 May 2025 - Premier League
19 Apr 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2025 - Premier League
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Brentford vs Aston Villa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
6 Apr 2024 - Premier League
17 Dec 2023 - Premier League
22 Apr 2023 - Premier League
Players list
H. Valdimarsson
DefenderB. Arthur
N. Collins
R. Henry
S. Van den Berg
MidfielderY. Yarmoliuk
F. Carvalho
F. Onyeka
M. Kayode
R. Nelson
ForwardM. Damsgaard
M. Bizot
DefenderP. Torres
I. Maatsen
M. Cash
E. Konsa
MidfielderB. Kamara
J. McGinn
O. Watkins
ForwardJ. Jimoh
M. Rogers
E. Buendia
Substitutes
C. Kelleher
DefenderN. Collins
M. Kayode
M. Jensen
Y. Yarmoliuk
R. Nelson
K. Schade
M. Damsgaard
K. Lewis-Potter
S. Proctor
DefenderT. Mings
L. Digne
MidfielderJ. Jimoh
E. Buendia
B. Kamara
A. Borland
ForwardO. Watkins
M. Rogers
Missing players
P. Maghoma
ForwardG. Nunes
A. Garcia
A. Onana
R. Barkley
Most goals and assists
Brentford
Aston Villa
I. Thiago
(7 Goals)
E. Buendia
(3 Goals)
, 
J. McGinn
(3 Goals)
J. Henderson
(2 Assists)
, 
F. Onyeka
(2 Assists)
, 
K. Ajer
(2 Assists)
,
K. Lewis-Potter
(2 Assists)
B. Kamara
(3 Assists)
Brentford - Aston Villa Key Points
- Brentford beat Aston Villa 1-0 in the Premier League this season.
- Brentford won 2-1 at Bournemouth in the last round.
- Aston Villa are yet to win a game this season.
- Four games played by Villa this season have seen them fail to score a goal.
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Our Brentford vs Aston Villa Prediction
It's been a poor start to the new season for Aston Villa. After just missing out on Champions League football, the midlands side find themselves in the bottom three after the first four games of the new season. No wins and even worse, not a single goal.
They have already lost away to Brentford this season. The Bees have earned four points from their two home league games. Changes will be made by both clubs for this Carabao Cup tie. Our Brentford v Aston Villa prediction is Brentford to win or draw.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Brentford Aston Villa
| Brentford vs Aston Villa | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford wins | 2.75 | 3.5 | +27.3% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.9 | +14.7% |
| Aston Villa wins | 2.22 | 1.91 | -14.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Brentford is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 27.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 36.4% and is now 28.6% (-7.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Brentford vs. Aston Villa game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Brentford and Aston Villa? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Carabao Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
