Brentford vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

England - Premier League

Brentford
12/02/2026 15:00
Arsenal

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals & BTTS - No

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Premier League Predictions

Two in-form teams meet this week in the English Premier League when Brentford welcome Arsenal at the Gtech Community Stadium. After 25 rounds of play, Arsenal top the standings and are 17 points clear of their hosts, who sit in seventh place. Read on to find our prediction of this match.

Both sides are eyeing places in Europe, just that Arsenal’s case is much clearer and their ambitions loftier. The Gunners won the reverse match 2-0 to extend their unbeaten run against the London rivals to nine games. Mikel Arteta’s men are being backed by bookies to emerge victorious in this encounter, and it isn’t hard to see why.

Brentford will not be an easy opponent, as witnessed in their February form, having won both times so far. However, they lost in each of the last seven times they hosted a London derby. For Arsenal, a Thursday match could be jinxed; they haven't won or scored in three league games played on that day of the week.

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Brentford v Arsenal Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
5 3.95 1.7
Melbet
5.35 3.8 1.66
Betwinner
5.2 3.82 1.66
Bet365
5 3.75 1.67
Roobet
5 3.7 1.68
Check all Brentford vs Arsenal odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Brentford and Arsenal?

Our prediction for the Brentford vs Arsenal match is: under 2.5 goals & BTTS - No.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/02/2026 between Brentford and Arsenal in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 21.79% for a win of Brentford against Arsenal with odds of 5.49 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brentford vs Arsenal is 21.85% with odds of 4 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 56.36% chance ⭐ for a win of Arsenal vs Brentford with odds of 1.73 at 888Starz.

Brentford - Arsenal Prediction and Best Odds:

Brentford Arsenal Prediction Probability Odds
Arsenal wins 56.36% 1.73 at 888Starz
Over 2.5 goals 60.96% 2 at Stake
Both Team To Score 55.42%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Arsenal 24.09% 4.75 at Bet365

Brentford vs Arsenal Form

Brentford and Arsenal's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Arsenal
85 38 26 7 5 +44
9 Brentford
53 38 14 11 13 +3

Brentford and Arsenal Last Matches

Brentford
Brentford Last matches
W W L L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

7 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  3
Brentford

1 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
0 :  1
Brentford

25 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Brentford
0 :  2
Nottingham Forest

17 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  0
Brentford

10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Sheffield Wednesday
0 :  2
Brentford

7 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  0
Sunderland
W D W D W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

25 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Brentford
0 :  2
Nottingham Forest

7 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  0
Sunderland

1 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Brentford
0 :  0
Tottenham

27 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
4 :  1
Bournemouth

14 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
1 :  1
Leeds

29 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  1
Burnley
W W W L W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

7 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  3
Brentford

1 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
0 :  1
Brentford

17 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  0
Brentford

10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Sheffield Wednesday
0 :  2
Brentford

4 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Everton
2 :  4
Brentford

20 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
0 :  2
Brentford
Arsenal
Arsenal Last matches
W L W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

7 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
3 :  0
Sunderland

3 Feb 2026 - Carabao Cup

Arsenal
1 :  0
Chelsea

31 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  4
Arsenal

28 Jan 2026 - Champions League

Arsenal
3 :  2
Kairat Almaty

25 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  3
Manchester United

20 Jan 2026 - Champions League

Inter Milan
1 :  3
Arsenal
W D L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

7 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
3 :  0
Sunderland

3 Feb 2026 - Carabao Cup

Arsenal
1 :  0
Chelsea

28 Jan 2026 - Champions League

Arsenal
3 :  2
Kairat Almaty

25 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  3
Manchester United

8 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
0 :  0
Liverpool

30 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
4 :  1
Aston Villa
W W W D W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

31 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  4
Arsenal

20 Jan 2026 - Champions League

Inter Milan
1 :  3
Arsenal

17 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  0
Arsenal

14 Jan 2026 - Carabao Cup

Chelsea
2 :  3
Arsenal

11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Portsmouth
1 :  4
Arsenal

3 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  3
Arsenal

Brentford vs Arsenal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Brentford

0 %

Draw

17 %

Arsenal

83 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.17
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored
1.67
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

3 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  0
Brentford

12 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  1
Brentford

1 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
1 :  3
Arsenal

9 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Brentford

25 Nov 2023 - Premier League

Brentford
0 :  1
Arsenal

27 Sept 2023 - Carabao Cup

Brentford
0 :  1
Arsenal

Brentford - Arsenal: Form Analysis

Brentford are riding high as they seek a top-six finish. The Bees haven’t flinched since a mass exodus after last season. They’ve gotten better. Keith Andrews has transformed the team, and they are now on 12 wins and three draws, accumulating 39 points.

The Bees came from behind to beat Newcastle United 3-2 last time out. In beating the Magpies, Brentford have won their last two games, both on the road. That left them tied with sixth-placed Liverpool, just five points from the Champions League positions. Home form will give them some hope, having collected 24 of their 39 points in home games.

Arsenal have lost just once in 20 away London derbies, winning 14.

Arsenal are coming into this fixture six points clear at the top, having defeated Sunderland 3-0 at home to claim league win number 17. Mikel Arteta’s men have won the most games in the EPL, lost the fewest (3), and have conceded the least (17).

The Gunners are on four straight wins across all competitions since their fall at home to Manchester United. Having led for the better part of the season, Arsenal are the favorites to be crowned champions, but failure to win on Thursday will place their hopes in serious jeopardy. Second-placed Manchester City play a day earlier, and Arsenal will rightly brand this a must-win game.

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Brentford against Arsenal Lineups: Starting 11

Brentford

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
C. Kelleher
33
M. Kayode
20
K. Ajer
4
S. Van den Berg
3
R. Henry
18
Y. Yarmoliuk
27
V. Janelt
19
D. Ouattara
8
M. Jensen
23
K. Lewis-Potter
9
I. Thiago
19
L. Trossard
14
V. Gyokeres
20
N. Madueke
41
D. Rice
36
M. Zubimendi
10
E. Eze
5
P. Hincapie
6
G. Magalhaes
3
C. Mosquera
12
J. Timber
1
D. Raya

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Arsenal

Substitutes

Brentford
Brentford
Goalkeeper

H. Valdimarsson

Defender

E. Pinnock

N. Collins

A. Hickey

R. Henry 90'

Midfielder

J. Henderson

Y. Yarmoliuk 73'

R. Donovan

L. Bentt

Forward

M. Damsgaard

K. Lewis-Potter 73'

K. Furo

Arsenal
Arsenal
Goalkeeper

K. Arrizabalaga

Defender

R. Calafiori

P. Hincapie 81'

B. White

Midfielder

M. Lewis-Skelly

C. Norgaard

M. Odegaard

E. Eze 46'

Forward

B. Saka

N. Madueke 70'

G. Martinelli

L. Trossard 81'

G. Jesus

Missing players

Brentford
Brentford
Midfielder

J. Dasilva

F. Carvalho

A. Milambo

Arsenal
Arsenal
Midfielder

M. Merino

Forward

K. Havertz

Brentford & Arsenal Squad Analysis

Brentford will miss five key players for this clash. Fabio Carvalho, Antoni Milambo, and Joshua Dasilva are all injured. Kevin Schade, the Bees’ second leading scorer, is suspended, while loanee Reiss Nelson is ineligible to play against his parent club.

Top scorer Igor Thiago, who has netted an impressive 17 league goals, is, however, available and should lead the quest for goals on Thursday. Dango Ouattara was in fine form against Newcastle and should start here as he bids to add to his five goals.

Kai Havertz has had four goal involvements in Arsenal’s last four games.

Arsenal are famed for having not just a big squad but also the best assembled. However, they will be a bit short here, with Bukayo Saka and Mikel Merino, regulars in the squad, missing another matchday due to groin and foot injuries, respectively. Martin Odegaard has missed Arsenal’s last two matches but could return here.

This is the same designation for Leandro Trossard, who was withdrawn injured late on against Sunderland. Despite the injury concerns, the Gunners are well-stacked. Viktor Gyokeres has scored six goals in his last eight games and could earn a starting berth. In midfield, Martin Zubimendi and Declan Rice have been fantastic, with a combined 20 goal contributions in all competitions.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Brentford
CD Huachipato Arsenal
Top Goalscorer
Brazil I. Thiago (22 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Sweden V. Gyokeres (14 Goals)
Best assists
Denmark M. Damsgaard (4 Assists)
Germany V. Janelt (4 Assists)
Best assists
Belgium L. Trossard (6 Assists)
Norway M. Odegaard (6 Assists)

Brentford - Arsenal Key Points

  1. Kevin Schade is missing for Brentford.
  2. Arsenal have kept the most clean sheets in the EPL this term (13).
  3. Arsenal have kept four clean sheets in their last five league matches.
  4. Five of the last seven meetings between these two had under 2.5 goals.
  5. Brentford haven’t conceded more than two goals in any fixture at home this season.
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Our Brentford vs Arsenal Prediction

Our prediction for Brentford v Arsenal is for under 2.5 goals & BTTS - No. This match sees two teams in strong form come face-to-face. It might be a closely fought match with reduced goalmouth action. Though free-scoring, Arsenal are coming up against a host that has frustrated opponents.

This match has also been producing few goals in recent meetings. The Gunners are the best defensive team in the EPL and will likewise frustrate a Brentford team missing one of its key attackers.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals & BTTS - No

 
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Brentford vs Arsenal Alternative Predictions

Arsenal to win

Odds 1.7

Our second prediction is for Arsenal to win. The Gunners have been in great form this season and top the standings, having won more games and lost fewer fixtures than any other team.

As they haven’t lost any of the last nine meetings with Brentford and have won their last four games, Mikel Arteta’s men look strong for the win here.

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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Brentford Arsenal

Brentford vs Arsenal Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Brentford wins 5.64 5.49 -2.7%
Draw 3.91 4 +2.3%
Arsenal wins 1.72 1.73 +0.6%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Arsenal is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 0.6% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 58.1% and is now 57.8% (-0.3%)

Brentford vs Arsenal - FAQs

This match will be played on Thursday, 12 February.

This match will be played at Brentford’s Gtech Stadium in Brentford, London, England.

This match will be live on TNT Sports for viewers in the UK. Fans can also follow live proceedings of this and other Premier League fixtures this week via detailed updates on Sportytrader. 

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Brentford vs Arsenal Prediction