Bournemouth vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

England - Premier League

Bournemouth
20/12/2025 09:00
Burnley

Prediction :

 

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 by Steve Ashfield in Premier League Predictions

After a thrilling 4-4 draw at Old Trafford on Monday, Bournemouth host Burnley this weekend. The Cherries are 13th in the Premier League with the visitors only having Wolves below them in the table. Read our match prediction below.

It may have been a great game to watch on Monday but it was a frustrating one for Bournemouth. Scoring four goals on the road really should have ended their winless run. Their defence is so leaky though (28 league goals conceded this season) that all they earned was a point. The Cherries are still only five points adrift of the final Champions League place but are only eight above the relegation zone.

Burnley are in the bottom three but have only won two fewer league games than Bournemouth. They are six points from safety and another brief stay in the Premier League is looking likely. Losing seven out of eight away league games hasn't exactly helped the Clarets. Can they win this weekend?

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The Best Betting Odds for Bournemouth v Burnley Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.48 4.5 6.5
Betfred
1.44 4.5 7
William Hill
1.44 4.33 6
Unibet
1.47 4.4 6.75
Betway
1.48 4.33 6
Check all Bournemouth vs Burnley odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Bournemouth and Burnley?

Our prediction for the Bournemouth vs Burnley match is: both teams to score.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/12/2025 between Bournemouth and Burnley in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 59.1% for a win of Bournemouth against Burnley with odds of 1.53 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bournemouth vs Burnley is 20.84% with odds of 4.63 at 888Starz.
  • Our prediction model gives a 20.06% chance ⭐ for a win of Burnley vs Bournemouth with odds of 7 at Betfred.

Bournemouth vs Burnley Form

Bournemouth and Burnley's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
13
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
21 16 5 6 5 -3
19
Burnley
Burnley
10 16 3 1 12 -15

Bournemouth and Burnley Last Matches

Bournemouth
Bournemouth Last matches
L D L L D D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

15 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
4 :  4
Bournemouth

6 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  0
Chelsea

2 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  1
Everton

29 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
3 :  2
Bournemouth

22 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  2
West Ham

9 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
4 :  0
Bournemouth
D W W D L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

6 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  0
Chelsea

2 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  1
Everton

22 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  2
West Ham

26 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  0
Nottingham Forest

3 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
3 :  1
Fulham

21 Sept 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  0
Newcastle
D D L L L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
3.17 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

15 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
4 :  4
Bournemouth

29 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
3 :  2
Bournemouth

9 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
4 :  0
Bournemouth

2 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  1
Bournemouth

18 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
3 :  3
Bournemouth

27 Sept 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
2 :  2
Bournemouth
Burnley
Burnley Last matches
L L L L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

6/6 (100%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

13 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
2 :  3
Fulham

6 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  1
Burnley

3 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  1
Crystal Palace

29 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  1
Burnley

22 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  2
Chelsea

8 Nov 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
3 :  2
Burnley
L W L L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

13 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
2 :  3
Fulham

3 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  1
Crystal Palace

22 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  2
Chelsea

1 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  2
Arsenal

18 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
2 :  0
Leeds

23 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup

Burnley
1 :  2
Cardiff
L L W L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2.83 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

6 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  1
Burnley

29 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  1
Burnley

8 Nov 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
3 :  2
Burnley

26 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
2 :  3
Burnley

5 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Burnley

27 Sept 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
5 :  1
Burnley

Bournemouth vs Burnley Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Bournemouth

50 %

Draw

0 %

Burnley

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83
Total goals
33%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored (home team)
1.5
Goals scored (away team)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

3 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  2
Bournemouth

28 Oct 2023 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  1
Burnley

7 Jan 2023 - FA Cup

Bournemouth
2 :  4
Burnley

9 Feb 2021 - FA Cup

Burnley
0 :  2
Bournemouth

22 Feb 2020 - Premier League

Burnley
3 :  0
Bournemouth

21 Dec 2019 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  1
Burnley

Bournemouth - Burnley: Form Analysis

Seven Premier League games have been played by Bournemouth since their last win. Their last two league games have both been drawn but that first win since the end of October remains an elusive one.

Home form is disappointing for the Cherries.

Bournemouth have failed to win any of their last three home league games. Two of those matches were drawn, most recently a goalless draw against Chelsea. Four of their eight home league games have been won with the only loss being inflicted by Everton.

Those four wins came during their impressive start to this season. They need to recapture some of that form after failing to score in their last two home league fixtures.

Burnley are in the relegation zone and battling hard to avoid an immediate return to the Championship. The Clarets lost at home to Fulham last weekend, their 12th league defeat of the season. They are points from safety and can’t let that gap widen too much more.

Away form has been a big problem for them since they returned to the Premier League. Like most teams, they won at Wolves but Burnley’s other seven away league games have all been lost with 23 goals conceded, including the last three.

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Bournemouth vs Burnley last Lineups

Bournemouth

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
D. Petrovic
15
A. Smith
18
B. Diakite
5
M. Senesi
3
A. Truffert
16
M. Tavernier
12
T. Adams
20
A. Jimenez
19
J. Kluivert
24
A. Semenyo
9
Evanilson
7
J. Bruun Larsen
27
A. Broja
9
L. Foster
16
Florentino
24
J. Cullen
8
L. Ugochukwu
3
Q. Hartman
5
M. Esteve
18
H. Ekdal
6
A. Tuanzebe
1
M. Dubravka

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Burnley

Missing players

Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Defender

M. Akinmboni

Midfielder

B. Doak

L. Cook

V. Milosavljevic

Forward

R. Christie

Burnley
Burnley
Defender

C. Roberts

L. Beyer

B. Humphreys

Midfielder

H. Mejbri

Forward

Z. Amdouni

Bournemouth & Burnley Squad Analysis

Ghana failed to qualify for the Africa Cup of Nations tournament. Bad news for them but not Bournemouth as it means key player Antoine Semenyo won't be among the many African players in the Premier League who will be playing in that tournament.

It may be the final weeks that Semenyo is a Bournemouth player with several top Premier League clubs looking to sign him in January. Also not going to Africa is Amine Aldi who failed to make it into Morocco's squad. Tyler Adams will miss this game due to injury.

The 4-4 draw at Old Trafford was good and bad news for Bournemouth. It was good to see them scoring four goals but they so need to tighten up at the back if they want to get into European contention. Some more bad results could see them dragged into a relegation battle.

Big problems for Burnley.

Burnley must start earning some points on the road. Just three have been earned so far this season with seven out of eight games being lost. They don't have a strong home record to fall back on either.

Now comes a busy festive period and the news regarding the Africa Cup of Nations isn't so good for the Clarets. Lyle Foster, Hannibal Mejbri and Axel Tuanzebe are all playing in the tournament.

With several injuries to deal with as well, Burnley have a massive battle on their hands.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Bournemouth
CD Huachipato Burnley
Top Goalscorer
Ghana A. Semenyo (7 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands Z. Flemming (6 Goals)
Best assists
Ghana A. Semenyo (3 Assists)
Argentina M. Senesi (3 Assists)
Best assists
Netherlands Q. Hartman (4 Assists)

Bournemouth and Burnley Stats in Premier League

Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Burnley
Burnley
31%
Wins
19%
38%
Draw
6%
31%
Losses
75%
3.31
Total goals per match
3.19
1.56
Goals scored per match
1.13
1.75
Goals conceded per match
2.06
63%
Over 2.5
56%
38%
Under 2.5
44%
56%
BTTS
56%
31%
Clean Sheet
13%

Bournemouth - Burnley Key Points

  1. Two of the last three games between Bournemouth and Burnley have seen both teams score.
  2. Both teams have scored in three of Bournemouth's last five games.
  3. Between them these two clubs have conceded 61 goals in this season's Premier League.
  4. Four of the last six Burnley games have seen both teams get on the scoresheet.
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Our Bournemouth vs Burnley Prediction

Both clubs will be hoping for a pre-Christmas confidence boost this weekend. Bournemouth may have scored four goals at Old Trafford but their defence remains untrustworthy. A good run of results though would again see them challenging for a place in European competition next season.

Burnley can only dream of that and avoiding relegation is their target. The Clarets have managed to score 11 away league goals this season but 23 have been conceded. Our main Bournemouth v Burnley prediction is both teams to score.

Prediction :

 

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Bournemouth vs Burnley - Other Interesting Predictions

Antoine Semenyo to score or make an assist

Odds 1.66
Antoine Semenyo has scored seven league goals and made three assists this season. He looks good to bet on this weekend.
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Bournemouth vs Burnley match : Frequently asked questions

This Premier League fixture between Bournemouth and Burnley is being played on Saturday December 20, beginning at 15:00 UK time.

Bournemouth are the home team in this Premier League match. The game will be played at the Vitality Stadium in Bournemouth.

With this being a 15:00 UK time kick-off on a Saturday afternoon, it will not be shown live on television. To follow all that is happening in this game, pay a visit to our Premier League livescore to read the live text commentary and updated statistics.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Bournemouth vs Burnley Prediction