Germany - Bundesliga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Bundesliga Predictions
Borussia Dortmund are set to host RB Leipzig in their next Bundesliga match, as both look to build on good recent runs. Leipzig are just a point behind second-placed Dortmund. Read on for our prediction.
This is one of the highlight matches of the week, and Dortmund will hope home form plays out favorably. The hosts are coming from a morale-boosting 4-1 win over Athletic Club in the Champions League.
That was their eighth unbeaten match in all competitions. Meanwhile, having only dropped two points in the league represents their best start to the season in eight years. In the last four league matches, Dortmund haven't conceded a goal and has scored 2+ in three.
Leipzig have recovered tremendously in their last four matches, after their opening day thrashing. The visitors’ Bundesliga season started off with a 6-0 loss to Bayern Munich, and many indicated it could be the start of a tough campaign.
The visitors have, however, worked hard to rise above the unfortunate start. They come here on four straight wins, but the heavy loss means their goal difference is heavily impacted.
Having not had midweek engagements, we are sure to meet a fresher Leipzig, ready to push Dortmund. Coming from two straight wins, Leipzig have now managed three wins in their last 11 away league games.
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The Best Betting Odds for Borussia Dortmund v Leipzig Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.7 | 4.5 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.7 | 4.33 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.73 | 4.2 | 4 |
|
|
1.7 | 4.5 | 4 |
|
|
1.7 | 4.5 | 3.95 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Borussia Dortmund and Leipzig?
Our prediction for the Borussia Dortmund vs Leipzig match is: Borussia Dortmund wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/10/2025 between Borussia Dortmund and Leipzig in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.57% for a win of Borussia Dortmund against Leipzig with odds of 1.76 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Borussia Dortmund vs Leipzig is 6.02% with odds of 4.61 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.41% chance ⭐ for a win of Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund with odds of 4.35 at 22bet.
Borussia Dortmund vs Leipzig Form
Borussia Dortmund and Leipzig's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
13 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
|
3
|
12 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Borussia Dortmund and Leipzig Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
27 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Sep 2025 - Champions League
13 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga
31 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
21 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga
31 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Sep 2025 - Champions League
13 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
18 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga
20 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga
13 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga
30 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga
30 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Bundesliga
3 May 2025 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga
13 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Borussia Dortmund vs Leipzig Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
27 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
9 Dec 2023 - Bundesliga
5 Apr 2023 - DFB Pokal
3 Mar 2023 - Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund vs Leipzig last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
N. Sule
J. Ryerson
MidfielderE. Can
P. Gross
A. Anselmino
C. Campbell
ForwardJ. Duranville
B. Henrichs
M. Finkgrafe
K. Nedeljkovic
MidfielderX. Schlager
A. Haidara
Most goals and assists
Borussia Dortmund
Leipzig
J. Bakayoko
(2 Goals)
, 
Romulo
(2 Goals)
K. Adeyemi
(3 Assists)
, 
M. Sabitzer
(3 Assists)
Romulo
(1 Assists)
,
R. Baku
(1 Assists)
,
D. Raum
(1 Assists)
Borussia Dortmund and Leipzig Stats in Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund - Leipzig Key Points
- Leipzig have won three of their last 10 away matches.
- Dortmund are coming off four straight wins in the league.
- Dortmund are unbeaten in their eight matches this season.
- Leipzig lost five times in the last 10 away matches against Dortmund.
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Our Borussia Dortmund vs Leipzig Prediction
These two sides are coming into this game on strong runs, and this will be an interesting match to follow. Dortmund are unbeaten in their eight matches in the season so far.
While Leipzig have matched Dortmund’s results in recent weeks, they are let down by the fact that they’ve been weaker defensively. Apart from having suffered one defeat this season, Leipzig have also not been scoring as many as Borussia Dortmund. Our prediction for Borussia Dortmund v Leipzig is that Borussia Dortmund wins the match.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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