Europe - Champions League
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by Ita Emmanuel in Champions League Predictions
After their disappointments on matchday one, Borussia Dortmund and Athletic Bilbao will both look to bounce back as they lock horns in this 2025-26 Champions League matchday two cracker on Wednesday. Can Die Borussen leverage home advantage to overcome the visitors? Read through for further details and our prediction for the match.
Borussia Dortmund haven't just been Champions League regulars but seasoned campaigners, who know their way around the competition. The Bundesliga giants have won the competition once and reached the final in 2013 and 2024. After their opening-week stalemate against Juventus, the Black and Yellow will eye nothing less than a declared comeback.
Athletic Bilbao are on humble grounds in the UEFA Champions League annals. It's their third appearance in the competition's main phase and they haven't progressed to the knockout stages on the previous two occasions. The Red and Whites appear set for another disappointing campaign following their matchday one defeat at home against Arsenal. However, they boast a proud record against German opposition in Europe (W4, D2). Can they leverage this to bounce back at Signa Iduna Park? Let's dive into detailed analysis!
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The Best Betting Odds for Borussia Dortmund v Athletic Bilbao Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.83 | 3.7 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.75 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.6 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.6 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.82 | 3.75 | 4.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Borussia Dortmund and Athletic Bilbao?
Our prediction for the Borussia Dortmund vs Athletic Bilbao match is: Borussia Dortmund wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/10/2025 between Borussia Dortmund and Athletic Bilbao in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 74.68% for a win of Borussia Dortmund against Athletic Bilbao with odds of 1.86 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Borussia Dortmund vs Athletic Bilbao is 9.35% with odds of 3.9 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 15.96% chance ⭐ for a win of Athletic Bilbao vs Borussia Dortmund with odds of 4.54 at 22bet.
Borussia Dortmund vs Athletic Bilbao Form
Borussia Dortmund and Athletic Bilbao's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
15
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
|
30
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 |
Borussia Dortmund and Athletic Bilbao Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Sep 2025 - Champions League
13 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga
31 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga
31 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
25 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Sep 2025 - Champions League
13 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
18 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
23 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
20 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
16 Sep 2025 - Champions League
13 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
4 Sep 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
16 Sep 2025 - Champions League
13 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
4 Sep 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
17 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
20 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
31 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
9 Aug 2025 - Emirates Cup
4 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Borussia Dortmund - Athletic Bilbao: Form Analysis
Borussia Dortmund took their fans through the wringers in their pulsating opening UCL clash against Juventus in Turin. The traveling fans were celebrating a two-goal lead at the 86th minute before Dusan Vlahovic and Lloyd Kelly's stoppage-time goals, two minutes apart, forced the Prussians to surrender three points at the death in an eight-goal thriller!
However, Die Borussen have enjoyed a remarkable start to their campaign this season apart from the Turin stalemate. They defeated Mainz 2-0 in the Bundesliga at the weekend to maintain their unbeaten start to the season (W5, D2). They are also unbeaten in their last four Champions League home matches, winning two.
Borussia Dortmund manager Niko Kovač is unbeaten in his 10 matches in the main phase of UEFA Champions League, winning seven and drawing three.
Athletic Bilbao kicked off their Champions League campaign with a 2-0 defeat to last season's semifinalists Arsenal. Leandro Trossard scored and assisted as the visitors stunned the Bilbao crowd to seal victory.
Ernesto Valverde's men also suffered defeat at the weekend, losing 1-0 to Villarreal in La Liga. This result extends their winless run to five matches, including four defeats and a draw. Their away record in Europe is also a concern as they remain winless in their recent four trips to face continental opposition.
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Borussia Dortmund vs Athletic Bilbao last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
E. Can
A. Anselmino
ForwardJ. Duranville
U. Egiluz
MidfielderB. Prados
ForwardN. Williams
Borussia Dortmund & Athletic Bilbao Squad Analysis
Serhou Guirassy is expected to lead the attack for Borussia Dortmund. The French-born Guinea international has a staggering 15 UCL goals in 19 appearances and is already the team's leading goalscorer this season with five to his name. Karim Adeyemi has also been a key weapon in Dortmund's attack lately and was on target at the weekend versus Mainz, including the opener against Juventus.
Karim Adeyemi has scored in each of his last three matches for Borussia Dortmund.
Athletic Bilbao will also have to watch out for prolific playmaker Julian Brandt, who ranks among the top 2% of chance creators (0.46 per match) in Europe in the past 12 months.
Athletic Bilbao will lose their depth in the midfield following Beñat Prados Díaz's recent ACL blow ruling the latter out of the season. The cracks in the team's attack on the wings have also been evident lately due to Nico Williams absence and the Lions go one match more again without their prolific winger.
Meanwhile, Ernesto Valverde will bank on new acquisition Aymeric Laporte's experience to provide defensive solidity against Dortmund's prolific attack while Gorka Guruzeta returns to lead the attack.
Most goals and assists
Borussia Dortmund
Athletic Bilbao
M. Jauregizar
(1 Goals)
,
A. Paredes
(1 Goals)
,
O. Sancet
(1 Goals)
,
M. Sannadi
(1 Goals)
,
N. Williams
(1 Goals)
,
R. Navarro
(1 Goals)
J. Ryerson
(2 Assists)
, 
M. Sabitzer
(2 Assists)
, 
J. Brandt
(2 Assists)
,
K. Adeyemi
(2 Assists)
N. Williams
(2 Assists)
Borussia Dortmund and Athletic Bilbao Stats in Champions League
Borussia Dortmund - Athletic Bilbao Key Points
- Borussia Dortmund are unbeaten in their seven matches this season, winning five.
- Borussia Dortmund are unbeaten in their last four Champions League home matches.
- Athletic Bilbao are winless in their last four trips to face European opponents.
- Athletic Bilbao are winless in their last six matches, losing five.
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Our Borussia Dortmund vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction
The two teams have a lot to prove entering this match. Borussia Dortmund will look to reaffirm their Champions League credentials after the stalemate in Turin while Athletic Bilbao aim at clawing back momentum to improve their chances.
Athletic Bilbao stand a slim chance of coming out with a result from Signal Idunna Park given their recent poor form. Meanwhile, Dortmund have relished a stellar start to their campaign and should comfortably ace this tie. Our Borussia Dortmund vs Athletic Bilbao prediction is Borussia Dortmund wins the match.
Borussia Dortmund vs Athletic Bilbao - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
We expect plenty of goals in this match. Athletic Bilbao have conceded in each of their last seven matches while Borussia Dortmund have scored in their last 11 competitive fixtures. Moreover, most of Borussia Dortmund's recent matches have ended with over 2.5 goals hence our prediction.
Win free tickets to Borussia Dortmund vs. Athletic Bilbao at Bet365!
With the UEFA Champions League 2025/26 season starts, bet365 offers free tickets for their users, including Borussia Dortmund vs. Athletic Bilbao match!
To be in with a chance of winning tickets to any of the UEFA Champions League matchdays throughout the 2025/26 season, all fans must do is enter into the free-to-enter weekly ticket draws on the bet365 website or app*.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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