Bolivia vs Venezuela Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
by Joseph King in World Cup Predictions
Matchday seven of the CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying campaign sees ninth-place Bolivia looking to close the gap on the top six when they host fourth-placed Venezuela. Let’s get into the prediction and key stats for this matchup between La Verde and La Vinotinto.
Bolivia take to the field for the first time since being bounced from the Copa America, where they failed to win a single game. The result of only one goal scored and 10 conceded over the three group stage matches saw manager Antonio Carlos Zago get the sack.
New head coach Oscar Villegas will now make his debut on home turf at the Estadio Municipal de El Alto. While the national team usually plays their matches in La Paz, the Bolivian Football Federation has opted to play this match in the extreme altitude of El Alto, 4,150 meters above sea level.
It may seem like something of a desperation move as the BFF searches for a way to turn around the team’s fortunes. A 3-1 defeat to Panama in the final Copa America group stage match means that La Verde have now lost their last six in a row.
Venezuela, on the other hand, had a very successful Copa America tournament. They topped their group with three wins from three before a quarter-final exit on penalties to the Canadians. The 1-1 result in regulation time in that match means that Venezuela is now unbeaten over 90 minutes in their last five appearances, winning three.
La Vinotinto's record of 2-3-1 sees them currently occupying a qualification spot with their nine points putting them four above seventh-place Paraguay.
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The Best Betting Odds for Bolivia v Venezuela Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2 | 3.25 | 4 |
|
|
2 | 2.45 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.98 | 3.3 | 4.06 |
|
|
1.98 | 3.3 | 4.06 |
|
|
1.66 | 3.6 | 4.8 |
|
|
2.01 | 3.52 | 3.7 |
|
|
1.92 | 3.4 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.79 | 3.62 | 4.54 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.6 | 4.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bolivia and Venezuela?
Our prediction for the Bolivia vs Venezuela match is: Bolivia to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/09/2024 between Bolivia and Venezuela in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.31% for a win of Bolivia against Venezuela with odds of 2.01 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bolivia vs Venezuela is 27.14% with odds of 3.62 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 42.56% chance ⭐ for a win of Venezuela vs Bolivia with odds of 4.8 at Betobet.
Bolivia - Venezuela Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bolivia Venezuela Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Venezuela wins | 42.56% | 4.8 at Betobet |
| Under 2.5 | 50.16% | 1.95 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 47.92% | 2.2 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Venezuela | 15.23% | 9 at Ladbrokes |
Bolivia vs Venezuela Form
Bolivia and Venezuela's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 |
|
8
|
9 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -5 |
Bolivia and Venezuela Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jul 2024 - Copa America
27 Jun 2024 - Copa America
23 Jun 2024 - Copa America
15 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
12 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
31 May 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jul 2024 - Copa America
30 Jun 2024 - Copa America
26 Jun 2024 - Copa America
22 Jun 2024 - Copa America
24 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
Bolivia against Venezuela : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Jan 2022 - World Cup
3 Jun 2021 - World Cup
22 Jun 2019 - Copa America
Bolivia vs Venezuela last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Bolivia - Venezuela Key Points
- The match will be played 4,150 meters above sea level, where the Bolivians will have a marked advantage.
- Bolivia won their last match played on home soil 2-0 against Peru.
- The hosts are 4-1-4 in their last nine matches played above 3,000 meters in altitude.
- The last time Venezuela played on Bolivian soil saw them record a 3-1 defeat.
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Our Bolivia vs Venezuela Prediction
Players accustomed to playing at sea level often have a very difficult time in the oppressing conditions that the extreme altitude creates. We’ve seen results of this in club competitions such as the Copa Libertadores, with a prime example being Bolivar defeating Flamengo just a few weeks ago.
Bolivia are in desperate need of a result and there remains uncertainty as to how the Venezuelan players will react to the conditions. Therefore, backing the home side to get the win looks to be the way to play this one. Our Bolivia vs Venezuela prediction: Bolivia to win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bolivia Venezuela
| Bolivia vs Venezuela | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bolivia wins | 2 | 2 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.25 | -7.1% |
| Venezuela wins | 3.6 | 4 | +11.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Venezuela is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 11.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 27.8% and is now 25.0% (-2.8%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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