Benfica Lisbon vs Arouca Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal
Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Liga Portugal Predictions
Benfica will hope to bounce back from the midweek defeat in the Champions League when they host Arouca in a Portuguese Primeira Liga matchday nine fixture. This match on Saturday at Estadio da Luz between the third-placed Eagles and the 11th-placed Wolves comes with our prediction of BTTS.
After eight rounds, Benfica’s 18 points (W5, D3) put them four points behind leaders Porto. Arouca’s nine points (W2, D3, L3) put them just three points above the relegation zone.
A 3-0 away defeat at Newcastle in the Champions League during the week underlined Benfica’s problems of inconsistency this season. They haven’t won consecutive games since the start of September.
Although they remain unbeaten in the league this season, Benfica have drawn three of their last five league matches (W2, D3). A 0-0 draw came away at Porto before the international break, while they have an unbeaten record at home in the league this season (W2, D2).
Arouca earned a crucial 2-1 away win at Portimonense in the Taca de Portugal last week. It was just their second win in the last eight competitive matches (W2, D3, L3).
Even in the league, the visitors won just once in their last seven matches (W1, D3, L3), although four points in their last two away league trips suggest they can be a tricky visitor.
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Benfica Lisbon v Arouca Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.17 | 7.4 | 14 |
|
|
1.18 | 7.3 | 11.6 |
|
|
1.14 | 9.7 | 14.5 |
|
|
1.18 | 7.2 | 12 |
|
|
1.11 | 8.5 | 13 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Benfica Lisbon and Arouca?
Our prediction for the Benfica Lisbon vs Arouca match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/10/2025 between Benfica Lisbon and Arouca in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 54.51% for a win of Benfica Lisbon against Arouca with odds of 1.2 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Benfica Lisbon vs Arouca is 27.68% with odds of 9.7 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 17.81% chance ⭐ for a win of Arouca vs Benfica Lisbon with odds of 17 at Shangrila.
Benfica Lisbon - Arouca Prediction and Best Odds:
| Benfica Lisbon Arouca Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Benfica Lisbon wins | 54.51% | 1.2 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.17% | 1.53 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 54.58% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Benfica Lisbon/Benfica Lisbon | 29.99% | 1.62 at Bet365 |
Benfica Lisbon vs Arouca Form
Benfica Lisbon and Arouca's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
80 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | +49 |
|
8
|
42 | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | -17 |
Benfica Lisbon and Arouca Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
17 Oct 2025 - Taca de Portugal
5 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
30 Sept 2025 - Champions League
26 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 Sept 2025 - Champions League
12 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Aug 2025 - Champions League
23 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
17 Oct 2025 - Taca de Portugal
5 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
30 Sept 2025 - Champions League
20 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
31 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - Taca de Portugal
5 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
20 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
14 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
30 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
14 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
9 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - Taca de Portugal
20 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
30 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
10 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
26 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
Benfica Lisbon vs Arouca Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
1 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
12 May 2024 - Liga Portugal
6 Jan 2024 - Liga Portugal
31 Oct 2023 - Portugal League Cup
31 Jan 2023 - Liga Portugal
Benfica Lisbon against Arouca Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
S. Soares
DefenderA. Silva
R. Obrador
MidfielderA. Schjelderup
F. Ivanovic
L. Barreiro
H. Araujo
I. Lima
J. Rego
N. Mantl
DefenderD. Monteiro
A. Dante
B. Popovic
MidfielderT. Fukui
N. Djouahra
H. Lee
R. Jansonas
B. Mansilla
Missing players
A. Bah
Most goals and assists
Benfica Lisbon
Arouca
V. Pavlidis
(22 Goals)
A. Trezza
(9 Goals)
A. Schjelderup
(6 Assists)
A. Trezza
(3 Assists)
, 
T. Fukui
(3 Assists)
, 
H. Lee
(3 Assists)
, 
J. Fontán
(3 Assists)
, 
T. Esgaio
(3 Assists)
Benfica Lisbon - Arouca Key Points
- Benfica’s last three home league games saw BTTS.
- In four of Benfica’s last six league matches, both teams scored goals.
- Arouca’s last three away league fixtures produced goals from both teams.
- In five of their last seven competitive matches, Arouca saw both teams score goals.
- The last league game between these sides ended in a 2-2 draw.
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Our Benfica Lisbon vs Arouca Prediction
Jose Mourinho will be under pressure to deliver after losing 3-0 to Newcastle United in the midweek Champions League fixture. They are yet to impress under Mourinho but will not look to lose ground here. Arouca have been impressive in recent times, but losing against Sporting by a 6-0 score and against FC Porto by a 4-0 score is an indicator of their weakness against top-three opposition. That said, Benfica struggled to keep a clean sheet in their last three home league games.
The visitors may surprise with a goal, and our Benfica Lisbon vs Arouca prediction is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Benfica Lisbon Arouca
| Benfica Lisbon vs Arouca | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica Lisbon wins | 1.17 | 1.2 | +2.6% |
| Draw | 7.5 | 9.7 | +29.3% |
| Arouca wins | 12.1 | 17 | +40.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Benfica Lisbon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 85.5% and is now 83.3% (-2.1%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
