Beneil Dariush vs Benoît Saint Denis Prediction & Betting Tips - UFC 322
UFC - UFC 322
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in UFC Predictions
This lightweight UFC 322 matchup between Beneil Dariush and Benoît Saint Denis at UFC 322 is honestly a nightmare for bettors because of how close this game is on paper. We’re talking about two of the best grapplers in the division, but with very different styles and recent histories. See our best Beneil Dariush vs Benoît Saint Denis match prediction here.
Dariush is the seasoned veteran whose recent ups and downs make him a bit of a tricky pick right now.Although he did break a two-fight losing streak in his last outing against Renato Moicano back in June, dominating with his wrestling and controlling the fight for a unanimous decision win. That win was huge for his confidence after back-to-back first-round knockout losses.
On the other side, we have Benoît Saint Denis, who’s currently riding a wave of momentum with two submission victories this year after also experiencing two losses in 2024. Saint Denis is a pure pressure fighter who is constantly pushing the pace on the feet and on the ground. However, that usually leaves him open to counters, which is something Dariush is especially ready to take advantage of in their bout.
Given Dariush’s elite-level BJJ and superior takedown defense, and Saint Denis’s relentless, high-volume attack, we’re leaning toward the veterans’ and technical brilliance to overcome this challenge.
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Beneil Dariush - Benoît Saint Denis Key Points
- Dariush has an 82% takedown defense rate, which is excellent against Saint Denis's high-volume 4.35 takedowns per 15 minutes.
- Denis absorbs a high volume of strikes (4.19 Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute) due to his constant pressure, which Dariush can exploit.
- Dariush’s last fight was a dominant three-round unanimous decision win, showing his ability to manage a fight and recover his momentum.
- Dariush holds a significant edge in control time on the ground and overall submission average per 15 minutes (0.8 vs. 1.6), which becomes a deciding factor if Saint Denis can't get his takedowns.
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Our Beneil Dariush vs Benoît Saint Denis Prediction
This fight is really going to be tricky, as both guys are absolutely happy to spend time on the mat. Saint Denis is going to come out like a train, throwing heavy leather and looking for the takedown, but Dariush is a whole different animal on the ground.
His defensive wrestling is just too sharp, and if Saint Denis's relentless pressure leaves any kind of opening, Dariush has the technical advantage to secure a submission or control the position. Hence, our Beneil Dariush vs Benoît Saint Denis match prediction is that Beneil Dariush wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
