Belgium vs Iran Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in World Cup Predictions
After contrasting draws from matchday one, Belgium and Iran will be desperate for their first win of the 2026 World Cup on Sunday in Los Angeles. Group G is finely balanced with all four teams on one point each, with the 'Red Devils' starting this round in third place and the 'Persian Cheetahs' in second. This match could be crucial for the progression hopes of both teams, so will it meet expectations with an exciting contest?
Belgium relied on Romelu Lukaku's performance to come back and draw 1-1 against Egypt. That extended their impressive record in the group stages of World Cup competitions, but another draw here will put pressure on their top-two chances when they face New Zealand on matchday three.
Iran also clawed back from a deficit, once in each half, to draw 2-2 against New Zealand in their first game. A victory here would enhance their chances of advancing beyond the group stage for the first time, but can they maintain their pursuit? Read more for our analysis, team news, and match predictions.
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Belgium v Iran Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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|
9.75 | 1.12 | 11.75 |
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|
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1.46 | 4.44 | 8.18 |
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|
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1.4 | 4.74 | 7.9 |
|
|
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1.41 | 4.56 | 8 |
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|
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1.43 | 4.59 | 8.68 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Belgium and Iran?
Our prediction for the Belgium vs Iran match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/06/2026 between Belgium and Iran in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.93% for a win of Belgium against Iran with odds of 12 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Belgium vs Iran is 34.63% with odds of 5.02 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 18.44% chance ⭐ for a win of Iran vs Belgium with odds of 15 at Betway.
Belgium - Iran Prediction and Best Odds:
| Belgium Iran Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Belgium wins | 46.93% | 12 at Betway |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.15% | 2.05 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score: No | 54.76% | 1.83 at 22bet |
| Half-time / Full-time : Belgium/Belgium | 22.58% | 2.2 at Shangrila |
Belgium vs Iran Form
Belgium and Iran's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +4 |
|
3
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Belgium and Iran Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
2 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Jun 2026 - World Cup
4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
29 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Jun 2026 - World Cup
4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
29 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
13 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
10 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - World Cup
Belgium - Iran: Form Analysis

Belgium conceded in the 20th minute to go 1-0 behind against Egypt, and only a 66th-minute own goal saved them the blushes. They are still unbeaten since March 2025, winning nine and drawing five, although they haven't been dominating matches.
Matchday one was also the fifth time in their last eight matches that Belgium have failed to keep a clean sheet. Improving at the back could be their way to improve, as the 'Red Devils' look to arrest the run of draws.
Belgium drew seven of their last 16 World Cup group stage games.
Iran had to come from behind twice to draw 2-2 against New Zealand and ended the game with better stats. They had more expected goals (1.50) and total shots (17); although with only four shots on target, the room for improvement is obvious.
The 'Persian Cheetahs' are also unbeaten in their last four matches (W3, D1), while a run of just one defeat during regulation time over their last eight games (W4, D3) is a sign of their dogged displays.
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Belgium against Iran Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
S. Lammens
M. Penders
DefenderA. Theate
J. Seys
K. De Winter
T. Castagne
A. Onana
H. Vanaken
D. Moreira
A. Witsel
ForwardC. De Ketelaere
M. Fernandez-Pardo
D. Lukebakio
P. Niazmand
H. Hosseini
DefenderM. Mohammadi
D. Iri
A. Yousefi
MidfielderA. Razaghinia
M. Torabi
R. Cheshmi
M. Ghorbani
A. Jahanbakhsh
A. Hosseinzadeh
M. Ghayedi
A. Alipour
S. Moghanloo
D. Dargahi
Missing players
Z. Debast
Belgium & Iran Squad Analysis
The Belgians played their usual 4-2-3-1 formation with Charles de Ketelaere lining up as the lone striker. Romelu Lukaku wasn't fit to start, but his performance after replacing Ketelaere could see him push for a starting berth.
Coach Rudi Garcia could still opt to use Lukaku as a super sub. Zeno Debast missed Egypt's clash with a leg injury and remains the only worry for the Red Devils ahead of this contest.
Lukaku's five World Cup goals have come in three Belgium wins.
Iran played the traditional 4-4-2 system rather than the 4-2-3-1 formation that they have been using lately. This allowed them to start both Mehdi Taremi and Shahriyar Moghanlou in the final third.
It was the full-back Ramin Rezaeian who stole the show for the Iranians, as he scored and assisted one goal each in their draw. He also created history by becoming the first player to score and assist in a World Cup match for Iran.
Most goals and assists
Belgium - Iran Key Points
- Three of Belgium’s last five matches saw both teams score goals.
- Belgium have scored in eight consecutive matches.
- Iran saw both teams score goals in three of their last five matches.
- Iran have scored at least two goals in their last four matches.
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Our Belgium vs Iran Prediction
Belgium had a tough game against Egypt, failing to assert themselves, and were only saved by Romelu Lukaku's brilliance. They had an underwhelming exit in the last World Cup, and avoiding the same fate could hinge on finding a positive result here. Iran were the entering side against New Zealand and have shown enough hunger to score goals. While their logistical issues cast a shadow over their preparations, Iran are still a strong opponent for Belgium.
Both these teams have had defensive concerns lately while being able to score consistently, and so our Belgium vs Iran prediction is BTTS.
Belgium vs Iran Alternative Predictions
Draw
Romelu Lukaku to Score Anytime
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Belgium Iran
| Belgium vs Iran | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium wins | 1.36 | 12 | +782.4% |
| Draw | 4.5 | 5.02 | +11.6% |
| Iran wins | 7.5 | 15 | +100.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Belgium is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 782.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 73.5% and is now 8.3% (-65.2%)
Belgium vs Iran - FAQs
The Belgium vs Iran World Cup match will be shown live on VRT and RTBF in Belgium, while Persiana Sports and Grand Sport are among the official broadcasters for Iran. In the UK, STV (Central and Northern Scotland), BBC, and ITV are the official broadcasters.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our World Cup Livescore page!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.