Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi in Bundesliga Predictions
It’s top versus bottom as Mainz’s new coach faces a baptism by fire when he takes his side to Bundesliga leaders Bayern Munich in a matchday 14 fixture on Sunday. This match at the Allianz Arena between the Bavarians and the 18th-placed 05ers comes with our prediction of Bayern Munich -2 European Handicap.
Bayern’s 37 points (W12, D1) give them an eight-point lead over Leipzig ahead of this round. Mainz have six points (W1, D3, L9) and are six points behind the safety zone.
A 3-1 win at home against Sporting in the midweek Champions League fixture was the fourth in a row in all competitions. They are in brilliant form in the league too, dropping points in just one game all season long.
The Bavarians won 5-0 at Stuttgart last weekend and have won all seven home league games this season. With the hosts scoring at least three goals in six of those seven wins, they look set for a big win.
Mainz drew 1-1 away at Lech Poznan to stop a three-game losing streak in all competitions. They are still winless in six competitive games (D2, L4), throwing concerns over their form.
The 05ers lost 1-0 at home to Monchengladbach last weekend, and they have now been beaten in seven of their last nine Bundesliga games. That included four defeats on the road.
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The Best Betting Odds for Bayern Munich v 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.09 | 11 | 21 |
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1.09 | 10 | 23 |
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1.1 | 11 | 19 |
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1.11 | 10 | 17 |
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|
1.08 | 11 | 21 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bayern Munich and 1 Fsv Mainz 05?
Our prediction for the Bayern Munich vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 match is: Bayern Munich -2 European Handicap.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/12/2025 between Bayern Munich and 1 Fsv Mainz 05 in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 85.61% for a win of Bayern Munich against 1 Fsv Mainz 05 with odds of 1.12 at Bwin.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bayern Munich vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 is 8.27% with odds of 12.2 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 6.12% chance ⭐ for a win of 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich with odds of 25 at 888Starz.
Bayern Munich vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Form
Bayern Munich and 1 Fsv Mainz 05's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
37 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 40 |
|
18
|
6 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -13 |
Bayern Munich and 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
3 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
18 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
3 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
29 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
5 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
30 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
27 Nov 2025 - Conference League
21 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Nov 2025 - Conference League
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
23 Oct 2025 - Conference League
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
30 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
27 Nov 2025 - Conference League
9 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
Bayern Munich vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
26 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
30 Oct 2024 - DFB Pokal
9 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
21 Oct 2023 - Bundesliga
22 Apr 2023 - Bundesliga
Bayern Munich vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Missing players
J. Musiala
ForwardL. Diaz
R. Zentner
DefenderM. Dal
A. Caci
P. Mwene
MidfielderD. Gleiber
P. Nebel
D. Kohr
Most goals and assists
Bayern Munich
1 Fsv Mainz 05
H. Kane
(27 Goals)
N. Amiri
(5 Goals)
M. Olise
(11 Assists)
B. Hollerbach
(2 Assists)
, 
K. Sano
(2 Assists)
Bayern Munich and 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Stats in Bundesliga
Bayern Munich - 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Key Points
- Bayern won 12 of their 13 league matches this season and nine of those victories came by a 3+ goal margin.
- Bayern won four of their last five away league matches by a margin of three or more goals.
- Mainz lost four of their last six competitive matches.
- Mainz lost their last four away league games, two by a four-goal margin.
- Bayern won three of their last four matches against Mainz in all competitions, each with a 3+ goal margin.
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Our Bayern Munich vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Prediction
Mainz made a managerial change, and Urs Fischer couldn’t have asked for a tougher match than this. Bayern Munich are the red-hot team of Europe, and they dropped points just once in this entire league campaign. They are the best scoring side in the league by a margin, netting 49 goals in 13 matches. To go with that, they conceded just nine, so Mainz’s task gets tougher.
The visitors have the joint-lowest scoring tally in the season, and that could further hamper their chances. Our Bayern Munich vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 prediction is Bayern Munich -2 European Handicap.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
