Tip Bayer Leverkusen - Freiburg
Prediction published on May 11, 2022 at 7:53 AM
Bayer Leverkusen entertains Fribourg at the BayArena in this season ending match in the Bundesliga. The home team is in third place with 61 points while the visitors are in fifth place with 55 points. Bayer Leverkusen have secured their Champions League spot regardless of the result in this match. They have won their last three league matches and although they have gained more points on their travels than at home they have only lost twice at the Bay Arena since October 2021. Both those losses have come in the last four home matches. Leverkusen have lost their last two matches against Fribourg, as many as they have lost in the previous 15 matches. They have an excellent record on the final day as they have won their matches in the last four seasons while Fribourg have lost all seven of their final day away matches since the 1999/00 season.
Fribourg will be gutted with their 4-1 home defeat in their last match against Union Berlin. This result has taken their surge for a top four finish out of their control. They are currently in fifth spot, two points behind Leipzig who only need a draw to secure fourth spot thanks to their superior goal difference. Fribourg have only lost once in their last six matches across all competitions. They are unbeaten in their last five away matches and a win in this match will take their away points seasons tally to 29. This will equal their highest ever away points tally that was achieved in the 1994/95 season.
Key points Bayer Leverkusen - Freiburg
In three of Leverkusen’s last five matches there have been under 2.5 goals.
They have lost three of their last five home matches across all competitions.
Leverkusen have only kept two clean sheets in their last 12 home matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in Fribourg’s last seven matches.
They have only failed to score once in their last seven away matches.
Conclusion Bayer Leverkusen - Freiburg
Leverkusen don’t have much to play for in this match and this could play into the hands of Fribourg. The visitors know that nothing short of three points will help them claim fourth spot. Even a win will be in vain if Leipzig win or draw their match against Armenia Bielefeld. Fribourg will be counting on their excellent recent away form to get the win. We are backing Leverkusen to win or draw this match.
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