Barcelona vs Villarreal Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
A top pick in La Liga this weekend will be Barcelona hosting Villarreal as the league enters round 26. Heading into the match, Barca are top of the standings while Villarreal are third. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Though close in the standings, these two aides are 10 points apart. The hosts returned to the league summit courtesy of their 3-0 win over struggling Levante.
That was their first win in three matches, having lost the earlier two. Barcelona have a run of tough matches coming up, and they know just how crucial a win here will be.
After this they have Atletico Madrid and Athletic Bilbao on the horizon, and maintaining a good run and momentum is key.
Nine of the last 10 meetings between these teams were won by the away side. Villarreal will be looking at this as a sign. They aim to not only be the first to beat Barcelona at home this season but also record three straight wins on the road against them.
The last time they were here, in May 2025, they claimed a 3-2 win, the second straight time they scored 3+ against Barcelona. The Yellow Submarine have been improving in recent outings and come here with three wins in the last four matches.
They’ve lost just once in five games, but their away record isn’t very encouraging. A 1-0 victory at struggling Levante is their only win across five on the road.
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Barcelona v Villarreal Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.38 | 6 | 6.8 |
|
|
1.38 | 5.8 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.38 | 5.8 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.33 | 6 | 7 |
|
|
1.34 | 5.8 | 7 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Barcelona and Villarreal?
Our prediction for the Barcelona vs Villarreal match is: over 2.5 goals and BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/02/2026 between Barcelona and Villarreal in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 68.73% for a win of Barcelona against Villarreal with odds of 1.41 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Barcelona vs Villarreal is 8.19% with odds of 6.2 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.07% chance ⭐ for a win of Villarreal vs Barcelona with odds of 7.5 at LSbet.
Barcelona - Villarreal Prediction and Best Odds:
| Barcelona Villarreal Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Barcelona wins | 68.73% | 1.41 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 81.01% | |
| Both Team To Score: No | 50.42% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Barcelona/Barcelona | 33.45% | 1.91 at Bet365 |
Barcelona vs Villarreal Form
Barcelona and Villarreal's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
94 | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | +59 |
|
3
|
72 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | +26 |
Barcelona and Villarreal Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
16 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
12 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
7 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
3 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
31 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
7 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
25 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
11 Jan 2026 - Spanish Super Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Spanish Super Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
12 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
3 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
31 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
18 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
18 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
9 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
31 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
9 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
24 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
10 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
21 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
31 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
3 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
Barcelona vs Villarreal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
18 May 2025 - LaLiga
22 Sept 2024 - LaLiga
27 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
27 Aug 2023 - LaLiga
12 Feb 2023 - LaLiga
Barcelona against Villarreal Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
E. Aller
W. Szczesny
DefenderR. Araujo
J. Cancelo
MidfielderM. Casado
Pedri
R. Bardghji
T. Marques
ForwardM. Rashford
R. Lewandowski
A. Tenas
DefenderA. Freeman
R. Marin
MidfielderD. Parejo
T. Partey
ForwardA. Gonzales
T. Buchanan
T. Oluwaseyi
A. Pedraza
Missing players
M. Ter Stegen
DefenderA. Christensen
G. Martin
MidfielderF. De Jong
Gavi
J. Foyth
L. Costa
W. Kambwala
ForwardG. Moreno
P. Cabanes
Most goals and assists
Barcelona
Villarreal
F. Torres
(16 Goals)
,
L. Yamal
(16 Goals)
G. Mikautadze
(13 Goals)
L. Yamal
(11 Assists)
N. Pepe
(8 Assists)
Barcelona - Villarreal Key Points
- Villarreal’s last five away games have averaged 2.6 goals.
- A total of 16 goals were scored in Barcelona’s last five outings.
- Both teams scored in six of Villarreal’s last 10 matches.
- In each of their last five home matches, Barcelona scored at least three.
- In their last two visits to Barcelona, Villarreal scored three or more goals.
- In the last five meetings between these teams, 3+ goals were netted four times.
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Our Barcelona vs Villarreal Prediction
If there’s an expectation to carry into this game, it has to be that it will be a high-scoring match. While at it, both teams scoring should not be ruled out either. The two sides have a lot to play for here; thus, we should see an end-to-end encounter.
This match has a big bearing on both the top four and the title race, so neither team is expected to give in easily. Villarreal have done well in their recent away matches against Barcelona, while Barcelona have a strong run of form at home. Our prediction for Barcelona v Villarreal is for over 2.5 goals and BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Barcelona Villarreal
| Barcelona vs Villarreal | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona wins | 1.35 | 1.41 | +4.4% |
| Draw | 6.7 | 6.2 | -7.5% |
| Villarreal wins | 7.8 | 7.5 | -3.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Barcelona is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 4.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 74.1% and is now 70.9% (-3.2%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
