Avispa Fukuoka vs Shimizu S-Pulse Prediction & Betting Tips - J.League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Football Predictions
Saturday’s early kickoff in the J1 League will see Avispa Fukuoka taking on Shimizu S-Pulse at the Best Denki Stadium. Avi and S-Pa are 11th and 13th in the league standings after 26 league games, respectively. Let’s get into the match prediction.
With 36 points after 26 matches (W9 D9 L8) and barring a massive improvement or drop-off in results, Avispa Fukuoka are on course for another mid-table finish.
Avi played out a 1-1 draw away to Kashima Antlers last week, which extended their unbeaten run in the top flight to eight matches (W3 D5), dating back to May 24 against Osaka.
The hosts are also unbeaten in their last five home league matches (W1 D4) but have only earned 18 points in 13 home games this season (W4 D6 L3). They have drawn the joint-most league home matches in the division to date.
Meanwhile, back in the top flight, Shimizu S-Pulse will likely be content with their performance so far, having earned 31 points and currently sitting seven points above the drop.
S-Pa lost their last match 3-1 at home against Yokohama FM. They have now failed to score in three of their last five league games, but did beat this opponent in the reverse fixture.
On the road, the visitors have taken 12 points from 13 games this term (W3 D3 L7) and have scored the third-fewest goals (11) to date outside of the bottom three teams.
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Avispa Fukuoka v Shimizu S-Pulse Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.28 | 3.25 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.23 | 3.82 |
|
|
2.22 | 3.22 | 3.42 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.22 | 3.6 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.2 | 3.6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Avispa Fukuoka and Shimizu S-Pulse?
Our prediction for the Avispa Fukuoka vs Shimizu S-Pulse match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/08/2025 between Avispa Fukuoka and Shimizu S-Pulse in J.League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.21% for a win of Avispa Fukuoka against Shimizu S-Pulse with odds of 2.3 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Avispa Fukuoka vs Shimizu S-Pulse is 32.65% with odds of 3.3 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.15% chance ⭐ for a win of Shimizu S-Pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka with odds of 3.82 at 1xbet.
Avispa Fukuoka - Shimizu S-Pulse Prediction and Best Odds:
| Avispa Fukuoka Shimizu S-Pulse Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Avispa Fukuoka wins | 43.21% | 2.3 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 50.05% | 2.2 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 54.17% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Avispa Fukuoka | 24.07% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Avispa Fukuoka vs Shimizu S-Pulse Form
Avispa Fukuoka and Shimizu S-Pulse's standings in the J.League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
48 | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | -4 |
|
14
|
44 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | -10 |
Avispa Fukuoka and Shimizu S-Pulse Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - J.League
9 Aug 2025 - J.League
6 Aug 2025 - Emperor's Cup
27 Jul 2025 - J.League
21 Jul 2025 - J.League
16 Jul 2025 - Emperor's Cup
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jul 2025 - J.League
16 Jul 2025 - Emperor's Cup
28 Jun 2025 - J.League
21 Jun 2025 - J.League
11 Jun 2025 - Emperor's Cup
4 Jun 2025 - J. League Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - J.League
9 Aug 2025 - J.League
6 Aug 2025 - Emperor's Cup
27 Jul 2025 - J.League
15 Jun 2025 - J.League
8 Jun 2025 - J. League Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - J.League
10 Aug 2025 - J.League
6 Aug 2025 - Emperor's Cup
20 Jul 2025 - J.League
16 Jul 2025 - Emperor's Cup
5 Jul 2025 - J.League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - J.League
20 Jul 2025 - J.League
28 Jun 2025 - J.League
15 Jun 2025 - J.League
11 Jun 2025 - Emperor's Cup
25 May 2025 - J.League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2025 - J.League
6 Aug 2025 - Emperor's Cup
16 Jul 2025 - Emperor's Cup
5 Jul 2025 - J.League
21 Jun 2025 - J.League
1 Jun 2025 - J.League
Avispa Fukuoka vs Shimizu S-Pulse Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Apr 2025 - J.League
Avispa Fukuoka against Shimizu S-Pulse Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
M. Murakami
DefenderI. Oda
K. Moon-hyeon
Y. Hashimoto
M. Tashiro
M. Yuzawa
M. Shigemi
S. Zahedi
Wellington
Y. Oki
DefenderJ. Sumiyoshi
Y. Yoshida
K. Kitazume
MidfielderT. Inui
H. Nakahara
S. Yajima
A. Stephens
K. Kitagawa
Most goals and assists
Avispa Fukuoka
Shimizu S-Pulse
T. Miki
(6 Goals)
K. Kitagawa
(10 Goals)
S. Nago
(5 Assists)
K. Matsuzaki
(5 Assists)
Avispa Fukuoka - Shimizu S-Pulse Key Points
- Seven of Avispa Fukuoka’s last 10 league games have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Eight of Avispa Fukuoka’s last 10 home matches across all competitions have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Six of Shimizu S-Pulse’s last 10 league games have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Shimizu S-Pulse failed to score in three of their last five league games.
- Shimizu S-Pulse failed to score in regulation time in any of their last four away matches across all competitions.
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Our Avispa Fukuoka vs Shimizu S-Pulse Prediction
Avispa Fukuoka are having another steady season and are on course to surpass their 50-point total from last term. However, they’ve been guilty of leaving far too many points on the table this season, drawing nine league games to date - the joint-most in the division.
Shimizu S-Pulse look likely to survive their first season back in the top flight, but they will need to start picking up a few more points on the road to avoid a nervy end to the campaign. Given these sides' recent records, we feel this could be a tight, low-scoring contest. Our Avispa Fukuoka vs Shimizu S-Pulse prediction is under 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Avispa Fukuoka Shimizu S-Pulse
| Avispa Fukuoka vs Shimizu S-Pulse | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avispa Fukuoka wins | 2.46 | 2.3 | -6.5% |
| Draw | 3.17 | 3.3 | +4.1% |
| Shimizu S-Pulse wins | 3.03 | 3.82 | +26.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Avispa Fukuoka is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 40.7% and is now 43.5% (2.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
