Auxerre vs PSG Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1

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France - Ligue 1

Auxerre
23/01/2026 14:00
PSG

Prediction :

 

PSG wins & BTTS

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions

PSG will look to get back to winning ways when they travel to free-falling Auxerre in Ligue 1 this Friday. The visitors arrive for this game siting second in the league while Auxerre are second from bottom. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.

Auxerre are playing a second straight game against a top two side. Les Ajaistes did well against leaders Lens, just not enough to help them to at least a point.

That ended in a 1-0 defeat, making it four straight losses ahead of this one. Auxerre’s only win in the last 14 matches was against the side at the foot of Ligue 1, Metz. They lost 10 times in the process.

PSG will welcome Auxerre’s poor run of form because it also adds to Les Parisiens’ placing as outright favorites here. The visitors need a win here to keep the pace against Lens in the title race.

Things haven't really worked out well for the champions lately. They are coming off a late defeat in the Champions League, where they fell 2-1 to Sporting in Portugal.

Their brief bounce-back in a 3-0 defeat of Lille was just that, and they have managed just one clean sheet in five games.

Before beating Lille, les Rouge-et-Bleu had suffered a crushing 1-0 defeat to Paris FC, eliminating them from the French Cup.

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Auxerre v PSG Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
10 6 1.29
Melbet
8.5 5.05 1.36
Betwinner
11 5.7 1.26
Bet365
8 5 1.38
Roobet
8.2 4.9 1.36
Check all Auxerre vs PSG odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Auxerre and PSG?

Our prediction for the Auxerre vs PSG match is: PSG wins & BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/01/2026 between Auxerre and PSG in Ligue 1 :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 18.42% for a win of Auxerre against PSG with odds of 11.9 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Auxerre vs PSG is 18.56% with odds of 6 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 63.03% chance ⭐ for a win of PSG vs Auxerre with odds of 1.38 at Bet365.

Auxerre - PSG Prediction and Best Odds:

Auxerre PSG Prediction Probability Odds
PSG wins 63.03% 1.38 at Bet365
Over 2.5 goals 58.8% 1.61 at Melbet
Both Team To Score: No 53.33%
Half-time / Full-time: PSG/PSG 29.74% 2 at Bet365

Auxerre vs PSG Form

Auxerre and PSG's standings in the Ligue 1

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 PSG
76 34 24 4 6 +45
15 Auxerre
34 34 8 10 16 -10

Auxerre and PSG Last Matches

Auxerre
Auxerre Last matches
D W L L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Lens
1 :  0
Auxerre

4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest
2 :  0
Auxerre

21 Dec 2025 - French Cup

Auxerre
1 :  2
Monaco

14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
3 :  4
Lille

7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
3 :  1
Metz

29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
1 :  1
Auxerre
L L D W L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

21 Dec 2025 - French Cup

Auxerre
1 :  2
Monaco

14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
3 :  4
Lille

7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
3 :  1
Metz

23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
0 :  0
Lyon

1 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
0 :  1
Marseille

26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
0 :  1
Le Havre
D L L D L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Lens
1 :  0
Auxerre

4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest
2 :  0
Auxerre

29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
1 :  1
Auxerre

9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Angers
2 :  0
Auxerre

29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
3 :  0
Auxerre

19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Rennes
2 :  2
Auxerre
PSG
PSG Last matches
W W D L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

20 Jan 2026 - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  1
PSG

16 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  0
Lille

12 Jan 2026 - French Cup

PSG
0 :  1
Paris FC

8 Jan 2026 - Trophée des Champions

PSG
2 :  2
Marseille

4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG
2 :  1
Paris FC

20 Dec 2025 - French Cup

Vendee Fontenay Foot
0 :  4
PSG
W D W D L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

16 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  0
Lille

12 Jan 2026 - French Cup

PSG
0 :  1
Paris FC

8 Jan 2026 - Trophée des Champions

PSG
2 :  2
Marseille

4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG
2 :  1
Paris FC

17 Dec 2025 - FIFA Intercontinental Cup

PSG
1 :  1
Flamengo

6 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
5 :  0
Rennes
W L D W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

20 Jan 2026 - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  1
PSG

20 Dec 2025 - French Cup

Vendee Fontenay Foot
0 :  4
PSG

13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Metz
2 :  3
PSG

10 Dec 2025 - Champions League

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  0
PSG

29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Monaco
1 :  0
PSG

9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Lyon
2 :  3
PSG

Auxerre vs PSG Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Auxerre

0 %

Draw

20 %

PSG

80 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.8
Total goals
40%
BTTS
0.4
Goals scored
2.4
Goals conceded
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5

27 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
2 :  0
Auxerre

17 May 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  1
Auxerre

6 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
0 :  0
PSG

21 May 2023 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
1 :  2
PSG

13 Nov 2022 - Ligue 1

PSG
5 :  0
Auxerre

Auxerre against PSG Lineups: Starting 11

Auxerre

Formation : 5 - 4 - 1

16
D. Leon
27
L. Sy
20
S. Diomande
29
M. Senaya
92
C. Akpa
14
G. Mensah
17
O. El Azzouzi
8
N. Ahamada
5
K. Danois
10
L. Sinayoko
19
D. Namaso
7
K. Kvaratskhelia
9
G. Ramos
29
B. Barcola
49
I. Mbaye
17
Vitinha
24
S. Mayulu
21
L. Hernandez
4
Beraldo
6
I. Zabarnyi
33
W. Zaire-Emery
30
L. Chevalier

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

PSG

Substitutes

Auxerre
Auxerre
Goalkeeper

T. De Percin

Defender

F. Oppegard

Midfielder

L. Coulibaly

K. Danois 90'

R. Matondo

N. Ahamada 46'

E. Owusu

S. Diomande 85'

R. Faivre

L. Sy 85'

A. Diousse

Forward

S. Mara

D. Namaso 90'

J. Casimir

PSG
PSG
Goalkeeper

R. Marin

M. James

Defender

Marquinhos

W. Pacho

Midfielder

N. Nsoki

Forward

D. Doue

I. Mbaye 61'

O. Dembele

G. Ramos 61'

Missing players

Auxerre
Auxerre
Defender

F. Sierralta

PSG
PSG
Goalkeeper

M. Safonov

Defender

A. Hakimi

N. Mendes

Midfielder

F. Ruiz

L. Kang-in

J. Neves

Forward

Q. Ndjantou

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Auxerre
CD Huachipato PSG
Top Goalscorer
Mali L. Sinayoko (12 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France B. Barcola (11 Goals)
Best assists
Mali L. Sinayoko (4 Assists)
Best assists
Portugal Vitinha (8 Assists)

Auxerre - PSG Key Points

  1. PSG are unbeaten in eight games against Auxerre.
  2. PSG managed two clean sheets in the last eight matches.
  3. In five of their last seven home games, Auxerre suffered defeat.
  4. Auxerre suffered 10 defeats in their last 14 matches, only winning once.
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Our Auxerre vs PSG Prediction

Auxerre’s struggles will not get any better ahead of their meeting with the reigning Ligue 1 champions. Les Diplomates are coming off four straight defeats, making it 10 losses in the last 14 outings. Their case isn’t helped by the fact that they are winless in their last nine meetings with PSG.

The only worry for PSG coming into this game would be that they’ve been keeping really few clean sheets. Coming off two losses in their last three outings, this should be a winnable game. Our prediction for Auxerre v PSG is that PSG wins & BTTS.

Prediction :

 

PSG wins & BTTS

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Auxerre PSG

Auxerre vs PSG Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Auxerre wins 10.5 11.9 +13.3%
Draw 5.72 6 +4.9%
PSG wins 1.34 1.38 +3.0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • PSG is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 3.0% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 74.6% and is now 72.5% (-2.2%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Auxerre vs PSG Prediction