Auxerre vs Nantes Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Auxerre and Nantes will lock horns at Stade de l’Abbe-Deschamps in Ligue 1 on Saturday evening. Les Ajaistes and Les Canaris are 16th and 17th in the standings, respectively. Let’s get into the match prediction.
After comfortably surviving the drop in their first season back in the top flight, Auxerre have experienced a serious dip this term and enter this fixture just five points above the dotted line.
The Blue and Whites played to a disappointing 1-1 draw against Le Havre on the road last weekend and have now managed just a single victory in their last six league matches (D3 L2).
The hosts have taken five points from their last four home games (W1 D2 L1), but they still have the third-worst home record in the division, with 15 points earned in 14 matches this season.
Meanwhile, Nantes spent the last two seasons battling the drop, and they are in serious danger this term, currently the first team below the dotted line, though they do have a game in hand.
The Canaries played out a goalless draw away to Metz last weekend. They are now winless in their last four league matches, following three consecutive defeats leading up to the international break.
Ten of the visitors' 18 points this season have come in away games (W2 D4 L7), but they have only won one of their last nine at this venue across all competitions.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Auxerre v Nantes Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.96 | 3.4 | 4.3 |
|
|
1.92 | 3.34 | 4.26 |
|
|
1.94 | 3.34 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.4 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.92 | 3.3 | 4.2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Auxerre and Nantes?
Our prediction for the Auxerre vs Nantes match is: Auxerre draw no bet.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/04/2026 between Auxerre and Nantes in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.89% for a win of Auxerre against Nantes with odds of 2.01 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Auxerre vs Nantes is 26.17% with odds of 3.47 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.94% chance ⭐ for a win of Nantes vs Auxerre with odds of 4.4 at Tonybet.
Auxerre - Nantes Prediction and Best Odds:
| Auxerre Nantes Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Nantes wins | 38.94% | 4.4 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 54.97% | 2.24 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 63.75% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Nantes | 19.26% | 9 at LSbet |
Auxerre vs Nantes Form
Auxerre and Nantes's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
15
|
34 | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | -10 |
|
17
|
23 | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | -23 |
Auxerre and Nantes Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
13 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
23 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
13 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
13 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
13 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
Auxerre vs Nantes Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
10 May 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
16 Apr 2023 - Ligue 1
1 Jan 2023 - Ligue 1
23 Jan 2018 - French Cup
Auxerre against Nantes Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Substitutes
T. De Percin
DefenderF. Sierralta
C. Akpa
MidfielderL. Sy
L. Coulibaly
N. Ahamada
A. Diousse
ForwardM. Cissokho
S. Mara
P. Carlgren
DefenderF. Centonze
C. Awaziem
U. Radakovic
MidfielderI. Sissoko
L. Leroux
R. Cabella
M. Mohamed
Y. El Arabi
Missing players
O. El Azzouzi
T. Tati
Most goals and assists
Auxerre
Nantes
L. Sinayoko
(12 Goals)
M. Abline
(6 Goals)
L. Sinayoko
(4 Assists)
M. Abline
(3 Assists)
Auxerre - Nantes Key Points
- Auxerre have only lost one of their last five games.
- Auxerre have kept clean sheets in three of their last four home games.
- Nantes are winless in their last four league matches.
- Nantes have only won one of their last seven away league games.
- Nantes have only won one of their last nine games at this venue across all competitions.
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Our Auxerre vs Nantes Prediction
This is a huge match for both these teams, and Auxerre will know that a victory here will give them some much-needed breathing room, as well as a very good chance of avoiding the drop this season.
The hosts have not been great at home this season, but they have dominated this fixture on their home patch in recent years, losing only one of their last nine encounters against this opposition in all competitions. Our Auxerre vs Nantes prediction is Auxerre draw no bet.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Auxerre Nantes
| Auxerre vs Nantes | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Auxerre wins | 2.14 | 2.01 | -6.1% |
| Draw | 3.38 | 3.47 | +2.7% |
| Nantes wins | 3.99 | 4.4 | +10.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Nantes is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 10.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 25.1% and is now 22.7% (-2.3%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Auxerre vs. Nantes game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Auxerre and Nantes when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Ligue 1!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
