Auxerre vs Lyon Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1

France - Ligue 1

Auxerre
23/11/2025 09:00
Lyon

Prediction :

 

Lyon wins

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions

A poor spate of results stands out in the Lyon and Auxerre profiles as the two sides gear up for their Ligue 1 meeting this Sunday. Seventh placed Lyon are seeking to get back into the European slots, while their hosts, Auxerre, look to rise from the bottom. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.

The alarm bells should be up for Auxerre, as results in the last round left them three points behind their closest opponents. A 2-0 defeat at Angers in the last round also left them with a very inferior goal difference.

Auxerre have now lost four straight games and are the lowest scorers in the league with seven goals.

Visitors Lyon are also going through tough times, just not as bad as Auxerre’s. Before heading into the international break, Lyon failed to win any of their last three matches.

It was particularly painful in the most recent, as they fell 3-2 at home against PSG. Lyon had matched the champions blow for blow until the dying minutes when they lost it.

Nicolas Tagliafico was sent off in the 93rd minute, and Joao Neves stabbed home the winning goal two minutes later. Les Gones can only hope the break has enabled them to reflect well and prepare for a return to winning ways.

They are unbeaten in the last two matches against Auxerre and have won three times in five away against Auxerre.

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Auxerre v Lyon Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
3.65 3.4 2.12
Melbet
3.98 3.48 1.94
Betwinner
3.8 3.36 2.03
Bet365
3.9 3.5 1.95
Roobet
3.55 3.3 2.08
Check all Auxerre vs Lyon odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Auxerre and Lyon?

Our prediction for the Auxerre vs Lyon match is: Lyon wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/11/2025 between Auxerre and Lyon in Ligue 1 :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.4% for a win of Auxerre against Lyon with odds of 4 at Tonybet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Auxerre vs Lyon is 19.77% with odds of 3.54 at 888Starz.
  • Our prediction model gives a 50.83% chance ⭐ for a win of Lyon vs Auxerre with odds of 2.16 at 888Starz.

Auxerre - Lyon Prediction and Best Odds:

Auxerre Lyon Prediction Probability Odds
Lyon wins 50.83% 2.16 at 888Starz
Under 2.5 52.46% 1.91 at Stake
Both Team To Score: No 56.25%
Half-time / Full-time: Lyon/Lyon 20.88% 3.2 at LSbet

Auxerre vs Lyon Form

Auxerre and Lyon's standings in the Ligue 1

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4 Lyon
60 34 18 6 10 +13
15 Auxerre
34 34 8 10 16 -10

Auxerre and Lyon Last Matches

Auxerre
Auxerre Last matches
L D L L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Angers
2 :  0
Auxerre

1 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
0 :  1
Marseille

29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
3 :  0
Auxerre

26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
0 :  1
Le Havre

19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Rennes
2 :  2
Auxerre

4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
1 :  2
Lens
W L W L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

1 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
0 :  1
Marseille

26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
0 :  1
Le Havre

4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
1 :  2
Lens

21 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
1 :  0
Toulouse

13 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
1 :  2
Monaco

17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
1 :  0
Lorient
L L L D L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Angers
2 :  0
Auxerre

29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
3 :  0
Auxerre

19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Rennes
2 :  2
Auxerre

27 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
2 :  0
Auxerre

30 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

Nantes
1 :  0
Auxerre

23 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

Nice
3 :  1
Auxerre
Lyon
Lyon Last matches
W W D D L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Lyon
2 :  3
PSG

6 Nov 2025 - Europa League

Betis
2 :  0
Lyon

2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Brest
0 :  0
Lyon

29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
3 :  3
Lyon

26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Lyon
2 :  1
Strasbourg

23 Oct 2025 - Europa League

Lyon
2 :  0
FC Basel 1893
W W L W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Lyon
2 :  3
PSG

26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Lyon
2 :  1
Strasbourg

23 Oct 2025 - Europa League

Lyon
2 :  0
FC Basel 1893

5 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Lyon
1 :  2
Toulouse

2 Oct 2025 - Europa League

Lyon
2 :  0
Salzburg

19 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1

Lyon
1 :  0
Angers
W W L D D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

6 Nov 2025 - Europa League

Betis
2 :  0
Lyon

2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Brest
0 :  0
Lyon

29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
3 :  3
Lyon

18 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Nice
3 :  2
Lyon

28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1

Lille
0 :  1
Lyon

25 Sept 2025 - Europa League

Utrecht
0 :  1
Lyon

Auxerre vs Lyon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Auxerre

25 %

Draw

25 %

Lyon

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.5
Total goals
100%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

13 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
1 :  3
Lyon

27 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1

Lyon
2 :  2
Auxerre

17 Feb 2023 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
2 :  1
Lyon

31 Aug 2022 - Ligue 1

Lyon
2 :  1
Auxerre

Auxerre against Lyon Lineups: Starting 11

Auxerre

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

16
D. Leon
27
L. Sy
20
S. Diomande
92
C. Akpa
14
G. Mensah
23
R. Matondo
17
O. El Azzouzi
5
K. Danois
10
L. Sinayoko
9
S. Mara
19
D. Namaso
20
M. Satriano
17
A. Moreira
44
K. Merah
7
A. Karabec
6
T. Tessmann
8
C. Tolisso
16
A. Vinicius
19
M. Niakhate
22
C. Mata
98
A. Maitland-Niles
1
D. Greif

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Lyon

Substitutes

Auxerre
Auxerre
Goalkeeper

T. De Percin

L. Mezerette

Defender

E. Legros

E. Diamalunda

F. Oppegard

G. Mensah 84'

Midfielder

T. Devernois

A. Diousse

O. El Azzouzi 88'

Forward

I. Osman

L. Sinayoko 88'

J. Casimir

S. Mara 72'

Lyon
Lyon
Goalkeeper

R. Descamps

Defender

T. Barisic

Midfielder

F. Fall

M. De Carvalho

C. Mata 63'

T. Goncalves

Forward

A. Hamdani

A. Karabec 84'

A. Gomes Rodriguez

E. Honore Molebe

P. Sulc

K. Merah 46'

Missing players

Auxerre
Auxerre
Defender

F. Sierralta

M. Senaya

T. Siwe

Midfielder

E. Owusu

L. Coulibaly

Lyon
Lyon
Defender

N. Tagliafico

H. Hateboer

R. Kluivert

Midfielder

R. Ghezzal

O. Mangala

T. Morton

Forward

E. Nuamah

M. Fofana

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Auxerre
CD Huachipato Lyon
Top Goalscorer
Mali L. Sinayoko (12 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France C. Tolisso (11 Goals) Czech Republic P. Sulc (11 Goals)
Best assists
Mali L. Sinayoko (4 Assists)
Best assists
Portugal A. Moreira (7 Assists)
Brazil Endrick (7 Assists)

Auxerre - Lyon Key Points

  1. Lyon won three of their last five away matches at Auxerre.
  2. In their last 10 matches, Auxerre avoided defeat twice.
  3. Lyon posted four wins in their last 10 away matches.
  4. Auxerre have suffered four straight defeats.
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Our Auxerre vs Lyon Prediction

Lyon have had to endure a run of poor results in their recent matches and will hope to arrest that in this game. Auxerre will also head into this encounter harboring almost similar ambitions. In terms of recent form, however, this will be heavily leaning in favor of Lyon.

While they haven't been at their best on the road, four wins in 10 represent better stats than their hosts’. In 10 matches, Auxerre suffered eight defeats, and there’s a real possibility their troubles will continue beyond this weekend. Our prediction for Auxerre v Lyon is that Lyon wins.

Prediction :

 

Lyon wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Auxerre Lyon

Auxerre vs Lyon Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Auxerre wins 3.8 4 +5.3%
Draw 3.35 3.54 +5.7%
Lyon wins 1.97 2.16 +9.6%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Lyon is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 9.6% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 50.8% and is now 46.3% (-4.5%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Auxerre vs Lyon Prediction