Austria vs San Marino Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in World Cup Predictions
Austria will hope to go for a big win against San Marino when the sides meet on matchday seven of the 2026 World Cup qualification – UEFA Group H. This match will be played on Thursday at the Ernst Happel Stadion in Vienna, and our prediction is that Das Team is likely to cover the handicap -6 result over La Serenissima.
Austria have four wins out of four and are second behind Bosnia and Herzegovina, who have played one game more. San Marino are rooted to the bottom of the standings (L5) and are already out of the race to finish in the top two spots.
A narrow 2-1 away win over Bosnia and Herzegovina last matchday kept the winning run of Austria going. They have won their last four matches, including a 4-0 win in the reverse fixture.
The Austrians have won seven and drawn two of their last nine matches played at home. They are likely to push for a big win to claim the group's top spot.
San Marino were never in the race to qualify but are likely to play for pride and frustrate their hosts. They lost 3-1 away at Malta in an international friendly last time in September, while in this qualification their last foray was a 6-0 defeat at home to Bosnia.
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The Best Betting Odds for Austria v San Marino Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.01 | 34 | 51 |
|
|
1.01 | 50 | 100 |
|
|
1.01 | 40 | 25 |
|
|
1.01 | 24 | 49 |
|
|
1.01 | 20 | 50 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Austria and San Marino?
Our prediction for the Austria vs San Marino match is: Austria -6 European handicap.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/10/2025 between Austria and San Marino in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 77.92% for a win of Austria against San Marino with odds of 1.02 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Austria vs San Marino is 15.28% with odds of 50 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 6.8% chance ⭐ for a win of San Marino vs Austria with odds of 100 at 1xbet.
Austria - San Marino Prediction and Best Odds:
| Austria San Marino Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Austria wins | 77.92% | 1.02 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.84% | |
| Both Team To Score: No | 58.33% | 1.29 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : Austria/Austria | 54.01% | 1.06 at Bet365 |
Austria vs San Marino Form
Austria and San Marino's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
19 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +18 |
|
5
|
0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -37 |
Austria and San Marino Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
6 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sept 2025 - World Cup
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Sept 2025 - World Cup
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
13 Oct 2024 - International Friendlies
Austria vs San Marino Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
Austria against San Marino Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
N. Polster
A. Schlager
DefenderM. Friedl
L. Querfeld
P. Lienhart
P. Mwene
MidfielderC. Baumgartner
F. Grillitsch
A. Schopf
M. Grull
R. Florucz
N. Wurmbrand
P. Amici
M. Zavoli
DefenderM. Sammaritani
M. Pasolini
D. Rossi
A. Riccardi
MidfielderN. Sensoli
M. Valli Casadei
M. Mularoni
N. Giacopetti
G. Capicchioni
M. Vitaioli
Most goals and assists
Austria
San Marino
M. Arnautovic
(8 Goals)
S. Zannoni
(1 Goals)
,
N. Giacopetti
(1 Goals)
Austria - San Marino Key Points
- Austria won their last four matches, scoring nine goals in the process.
- San Marino lost their recent seven matches including friendlies.
- San Marino conceded 17 goals in their last four matches, each ending in a loss.
- Austria won the reverse fixture by a 4-0 scoreline.
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Our Austria vs San Marino Prediction
Only goal difference separates Austria from Bosnia and Herzegovina, although the Austrians have played one game less. That will be this match, coming against the punching bag of European football – San Marino. The visitors are already out of the qualification race and have conceded 18 goals in the qualifiers so far.
Austria are likely to go hard for goals to keep a healthy net run rate and anything less than a goal margin of five could be a setback. Our Austria vs San Marino prediction is Austria -6 European handicap.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Austria San Marino
| Austria vs San Marino | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austria wins | 1.01 | 1.02 | +1.0% |
| Draw | 28 | 50 | +78.6% |
| San Marino wins | 60 | 100 | +66.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Austria is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 99.0% and is now 98.0% (-1.0%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Austria vs. San Marino game!
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Try your luck on this year's World Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
