Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Football Predictions
Cruzeiro will hope to halt their recent downslide as they face a tricky visit to Atletico Mineiro in a matchday 28 fixture of the Brazilian Serie A on Wednesday night local time. This match in Belo Horizonte between the 14th-placed Rooster and the third-placed ‘Black Beast’ comes with our prediction of under 2.5.
With 32 points, Atletico MG are one point outside the top 12 teams in the division ahead of this round. Cruzeiro’s 52 points see them start this round six points behind the leaders.
Atletico won 3-1 at home against Sport Recife in the last round, but that was only their second win across ten league games (W2, D3, L5). They have scored only 25 goals in the season, which is among the lowest tallies in the division.
Despite those troubles, Atletico have lost only at home this season in the league, winning six of their last ten league fixtures at this venue.
Cruzeiro had a 1-1 draw at home against Sport Recife last matchday, extending their winless run to three matches (D2, L1). This run negated the positives of four consecutive wins as the visitors look to return to winning ways.
On the road, Cruzeiro lost only one of their last ten away league trips but won only five (W5, D4, L1).
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Atletico MG v Cruzeiro Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.4 | 3 | 2.35 |
|
|
3.3 | 2.88 | 2.3 |
|
|
3.25 | 2.9 | 2.3 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.1 | 2.3 |
|
|
3.35 | 3.05 | 2.28 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico MG and Cruzeiro?
Our prediction for the Atletico MG vs Cruzeiro match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/10/2025 between Atletico MG and Cruzeiro in Brasileirão Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 27.76% for a win of Atletico MG against Cruzeiro with odds of 3.66 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico MG vs Cruzeiro is 33.83% with odds of 3.1 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.41% chance ⭐ for a win of Cruzeiro vs Atletico MG with odds of 2.6 at Stake.
Atletico MG - Cruzeiro Prediction and Best Odds:
| Atletico MG Cruzeiro Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro wins | 38.41% | 2.6 at Stake |
| Under 2.5 | 77.06% | 2.03 at 22bet |
| Both Team To Score | 31.25% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Cruzeiro | 21.47% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Atletico MG vs Cruzeiro Form
Atletico MG and Cruzeiro's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
68 | 35 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 27 |
|
13
|
45 | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | -2 |
Atletico MG and Cruzeiro Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
4 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
30 Sept 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
27 Sept 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
24 Sept 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
20 Sept 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
30 Sept 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
27 Sept 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
24 Sept 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
14 Sept 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
27 Aug 2025 - Copa do Brasil
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 Sept 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 Sept 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
11 Sept 2025 - Copa do Brasil
31 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
24 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
2 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
27 Sept 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Sept 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
15 Sept 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
11 Sept 2025 - Copa do Brasil
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Sept 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
11 Sept 2025 - Copa do Brasil
30 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
23 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
10 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
27 Sept 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
15 Sept 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
27 Aug 2025 - Copa do Brasil
18 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 Aug 2025 - Copa do Brasil
Atletico MG vs Cruzeiro Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
50 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
11 Sept 2025 - Copa do Brasil
27 Aug 2025 - Copa do Brasil
18 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
9 Feb 2025 - Mineiro, Modulo I
18 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
Atletico MG against Cruzeiro Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
Lyanco
MidfielderP. da Silva Campos
Alexsander
J. dos Santos Dutra
I. Gomes
ForwardT. Cuello
Fagner
F. Bruno
MidfielderJ. Janderson da Silva Marques
ForwardL. Sinisterra
Most goals and assists
Atletico MG
Cruzeiro
Hulk
(11 Goals)
K. Jorge
(21 Goals)
Hulk
(7 Assists)
William
(7 Assists)
,
K. Jorge
(7 Assists)
Atletico MG - Cruzeiro Key Points
- Atletico MG failed to score in five of their last eight league games.
- Cruzeiro have the second-best defensive record in the league ahead of this round.
- Atletico MG’s matches average 2.12 goals per game, which is lower than all teams bar Ceara in this league season.
- Cruzeiro’s matches average 2.22 goals per game this season.
- Six of Atletico’s last eight league games produced under 2.5 goals.
- In eight of Cruzeiro’s last nine away league games, two or fewer goals have been scored.
- The last six matches between these teams ended up with under 2.5 goals.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Atletico MG vs Cruzeiro Prediction
This is an intriguing clash between an Atletico MG side that has scored only 25 goals, which is the joint fourth-lowest, and a Cruzeiro side that has the second-best defensive record. Cruzeiro have lost a bit of steam in recent weeks but are still only six points behind leaders Palmeiras ahead of this round. Atletico, on the other hand, find themselves battling to remain in the top 14 places.
Goals have been scarce in matches involving these sides, and that’s why our Atletico MG vs Cruzeiro prediction is under 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Atletico MG Cruzeiro
| Atletico MG vs Cruzeiro | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico MG wins | 2.75 | 3.4 | +23.6% |
| Draw | 3 | 3 | 0% |
| Cruzeiro wins | 2.75 | 2.35 | -14.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Cruzeiro is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 14.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 36.4% and is now 42.6% (6.2%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Atletico MG vs. Cruzeiro game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Atletico MG and Cruzeiro? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Brasileirão Serie A! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
