Atletico Madrid vs Valencia Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Valencia carries a four-match unbeaten run to the capital when they come up against Atletico Madrid next in La Liga. Two straight losses have left hosts Atletico fourth in the standings, while Valencia are 16th. Read on for our prediction of this match.
After three straight games on the road, Atletico will be happy to return home. They rose from a goal down in the Champions League in midweek to beat PSV 3-2 in Eindhoven.
That marked their first win in three matches, but their earlier two league matches ended in defeat. Atletico lost 3-1 to Barcelona and 1-0 to Athletic Bilbao.
They haven't kept many clean sheets lately but are unbeaten in eight home league games. At home, they are the third-best-performing team in La Liga.
Valencia have won six matches less than Atletico this season, but with a five-game unbeaten run, they will be hoping to take down their hosts. Four of the said five matches ended in draws at 90 minutes, with Valencia only beating Levante in that run.
In that period, their latest outing ended in a 1-1 draw with Sevilla. The last three times Valencia came into this game, they lost. The 3-0 loss in February marked a third straight outing in which they failed to score against Atletico and an eighth loss in 10.
Los Che have managed just one win in this matchup across the last 10 meetings with Atletico.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Atletico Madrid v Valencia Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.35 | 5.6 | 8.8 |
|
|
1.33 | 5.35 | 8.9 |
|
|
1.29 | 5.5 | 10 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.5 | 10 |
|
|
1.31 | 5.2 | 9 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico Madrid and Valencia?
Our prediction for the Atletico Madrid vs Valencia match is: Atletico Madrid to win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/12/2025 between Atletico Madrid and Valencia in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 64.51% for a win of Atletico Madrid against Valencia with odds of 1.37 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico Madrid vs Valencia is 16.72% with odds of 5.6 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 18.77% chance ⭐ for a win of Valencia vs Atletico Madrid with odds of 11.5 at LSbet.
Atletico Madrid - Valencia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Atletico Madrid Valencia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 64.51% | 1.37 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.1% | 1.61 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 54.17% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Atletico Madrid/Atletico Madrid | 34.67% | 1.83 at Bet365 |
Atletico Madrid vs Valencia Form
Atletico Madrid and Valencia's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
69 | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | +18 |
|
9
|
49 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | -9 |
Atletico Madrid and Valencia Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
2 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
23 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
8 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
18 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
2 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
23 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
27 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
4 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
1 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
21 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
9 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
1 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
21 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
9 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
25 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
30 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
20 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
1 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
1 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
28 Oct 2025 - Copa del Rey
20 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
4 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
Atletico Madrid vs Valencia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
0 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
15 Sept 2024 - LaLiga
28 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
16 Sept 2023 - LaLiga
18 Mar 2023 - LaLiga
29 Aug 2022 - LaLiga
Atletico Madrid against Valencia Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
J. Musso
DefenderC. Lenglet
J. Bonar
R. Le Normand
D. Martinez Moreno
MidfielderJ. Galan
C. Gallagher
J. Cardoso
A. Griezmann
C. Martin
G. Raspadori
T. Almada
S. Dimitrievski
DefenderA. Panach
R. Iranzo
J. Gaya
L. Nunez
B. Santamaria
J. Guerra Moreno
A. Danjuma
L. Ramazani
D. Raba
L. Beltran
D. Otorbi
Missing players
J. Gimenez
M. Llorente
MidfielderA. Baena
C. Tarrega
Most goals and assists
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
A. Sorloth
(13 Goals)
H. Duro
(10 Goals)
G. Simeone
(6 Assists)
L. Rioja
(6 Assists)
,
J. Guerra Moreno
(6 Assists)
Atletico Madrid - Valencia Key Points
- Valencia won once in their last 11 away matches.
- Atletico Madrid have nine wins in their nine home matches.
- Valencia has one win in their last 10 meetings with Atletico Madrid.
- Atletico Madrid kept clean sheets in their last three meetings with Valencia.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Atletico Madrid vs Valencia Prediction
Getting to play at home for the first time since the end of November is expected to end well for Atletico Madrid. The last time they played here, they registered a ninth straight win at the Wanda Metropolitano.
Coming fresh off a midweek away win in the Champions League, Atletico has all the needed motivation going into this game. Additionally, they’ve dominated this particular fixture and even kept clean sheets in the last three meetings with Valencia. Our prediction for Atletico Madrid v Valencia is for Atletico Madrid to win to nil.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Atletico Madrid Valencia
| Atletico Madrid vs Valencia | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 1.31 | 1.37 | +4.6% |
| Draw | 6.23 | 5.6 | -10.1% |
| Valencia wins | 11 | 11.5 | +4.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Atletico Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 4.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 76.3% and is now 73.0% (-3.3%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
