Valencia vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Valencia
07/11/2026 15:00
Real Madrid

Prediction :

 

Real Madrid to win and over 3.5 goals

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions

Valencia will host in-form Real Madrid in their search for a first La Liga home win of the season. A tough season so far has Valencia second from bottom but hoping to shock Real Madrid, who are third in the standings. This prediction definitely backs Real Madrid, who have won 13 of their 15 competitive matches.

Valencia are going into their 12th match of the season, having only won twice in their 11 matches. Los Che warmed up well for this game with that second win, beating Elche 1-0 away from home.

It was also their fourth clean sheet of the season, and they have a reason to feel positively about the Real match.

This is an interesting weekend for Real Madrid. With Atletico Madrid and Barcelona facing off in the weekend's biggest match, Real are sure of moving to second, with only one condition – they have to win.

On the other hand, whatever happens, they are assured of not dropping below fourth in the rankings.

Los Blancos, who haven’t conceded a goal against Valencia in the last two meetings, will have the upper hand coming into this encounter, and they have won five times in their last 10 away matches against Valencia.

Jose Mourinho’s men twice came from behind to beat AEK Athens 3-2 in the Champions League in their latest outing.

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Valencia v Real Madrid Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus
Stake
9.20 6.20 1.24
1xbet
10.60 6.12 1.32
Melbet
8.60 5.60 1.32
Betwinner
8.60 5.60 1.32
22bet
10.00 5.90 1.28
Check all Valencia vs Real Madrid odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Valencia and Real Madrid?

Our prediction for the Valencia vs Real Madrid match is: Real Madrid to win and over 3.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/11/2026 between Valencia and Real Madrid in LaLiga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 14.35% for a win of Valencia against Real Madrid with odds of 10.6 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Valencia vs Real Madrid is 20.01% with odds of 6.5 at Betway.
  • Our prediction model gives a 65.64% chance ⭐ for a win of Real Madrid vs Valencia with odds of 1.32 at 1xbet.

Valencia vs Real Madrid Form

Valencia and Real Madrid's standings in the LaLiga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Real Madrid
27 11 9 0 2 +18
19 Valencia
9 11 2 3 6 -9

Valencia and Real Madrid Last Matches

Valencia
Valencia Last matches
W L D D L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

1 Nov 2026 - LaLiga

Elche
0 :  1
Valencia

24 Oct 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
1 :  2
Villarreal

17 Oct 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
0 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

11 Oct 2026 - LaLiga

Racing Santander
2 :  2
Valencia

20 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
2 :  3
Real Sociedad

15 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Alavés
0 :  1
Valencia
D L L L D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

24 Oct 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
1 :  2
Villarreal

17 Oct 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
0 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

20 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
2 :  3
Real Sociedad

6 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
0 :  5
Barcelona

25 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
0 :  1
Betis

22 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
0 :  0
Celta Vigo
D L L W D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

1 Nov 2026 - LaLiga

Elche
0 :  1
Valencia

11 Oct 2026 - LaLiga

Racing Santander
2 :  2
Valencia

15 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Alavés
0 :  1
Valencia

11 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  0
Valencia

30 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

La Coruna
3 :  1
Valencia

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Stoke
1 :  1
Valencia
Real Madrid
Real Madrid Last matches
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

4 Nov 2026 - Champions League

AEK Athens
2 :  3
Real Madrid

1 Nov 2026 - LaLiga

Racing Santander
0 :  3
Real Madrid

25 Oct 2026 - LaLiga

Barcelona
1 :  2
Real Madrid

21 Oct 2026 - Champions League

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Leipzig

18 Oct 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Sevilla

14 Oct 2026 - Champions League

Roma
3 :  4
Real Madrid
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

21 Oct 2026 - Champions League

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Leipzig

18 Oct 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Sevilla

10 Oct 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
1 :  0
Villarreal

12 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

8 Sept 2026 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Inter Milan

30 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  0
Málaga
W L W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

4 Nov 2026 - Champions League

AEK Athens
2 :  3
Real Madrid

1 Nov 2026 - LaLiga

Racing Santander
0 :  3
Real Madrid

25 Oct 2026 - LaLiga

Barcelona
1 :  2
Real Madrid

14 Oct 2026 - Champions League

Roma
3 :  4
Real Madrid

20 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  1
Real Madrid

15 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Elche
2 :  3
Real Madrid

Valencia vs Real Madrid Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Valencia

17 %

Draw

17 %

Real Madrid

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.67
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
2.67
Goals conceded
83.33%
Over 2.5
16.67%
Under 2.5

8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga

Valencia
0 :  2
Real Madrid

1 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  0
Valencia

5 Apr 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
1 :  2
Valencia

3 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
1 :  2
Real Madrid

2 Mar 2024 - LaLiga

Valencia
2 :  2
Real Madrid

11 Nov 2023 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
5 :  1
Valencia
Valencia vs Real Madrid Prediction

Valencia vs Real Madrid last Lineups

Valencia

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

1
S. Dimitrievski
22
M. Arnau
18
Pepelu
5
C. Tarrega
14
J. Gaya
24
P. Maffeo
33
A. Mayol
2
G. Rodriguez
11
L. Rioja
8
J. Guerra Moreno
7
A. Danjuma
7
Vinicius Junior
10
K. Mbappe
25
Y. Diomande
5
J. Bellingham
6
E. Camavinga
20
B. Silva
17
M. Cucurella
22
A. Rudiger
3
E. Militao
24
D. Dumfries
1
T. Courtois

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Real Madrid

Substitutes

Valencia
Valencia
Goalkeeper

C. Rivero

Defender

J. Vazquez

D. Foulquier

M. Diakhaby

J. De Haas

Midfielder

R. Sato

A. Dieng

F. Ugrinic

Forward

A. Blazquez

H. Duro

U. Sadiq

D. Raba

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Goalkeeper

S. Mestre

A. Lunin

Defender

T. Alexander-Arnold

I. Konate

A. Carreras

D. Huijsen

Midfielder

T. Pitarch Pinar

F. Valverde

S. Martinez

Forward

B. Diaz

Endrick

C. Espi

Missing players

Valencia
Valencia
Goalkeeper

K. Van Oevelen

Defender

J. Copete

Midfielder

H. Elliott

Forward

S. Canos

D. Lopez

D. Otorbi

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Defender

F. Mendy

R. Asencio

Midfielder

A. Tchouameni

Forward

Vinicius Junior

Rodrygo

A. Guler

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Valencia
CD Huachipato Real Madrid
Top Goalscorer
Nigeria U. Sadiq (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France K. Mbappe (12 Goals)
Best assists
Spain J. Guerra Moreno (2 Assists)
Best assists
Turkey A. Guler (3 Assists) , 
England J. Bellingham (3 Assists) , 
Brazil Vinicius Junior (3 Assists)

Valencia and Real Madrid Stats in LaLiga

Valencia
Valencia
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
18%
Wins
82%
55%
Losses
18%
27%
Draws
0%
2.27
Average goals per match
3.45
0.73
Goals scored per match
2.55
1.55
Goals conceded per match
0.91
55%
Under 2.5 goals
18%
45%
Over 2.5 goals
82%
36%
No goals conceded
27%
36%
BTTS
64%

Valencia - Real Madrid Key Points

  1. Six of Real Madrid’s last 10 matches ended with 4+ goals scored.
  2. Real Madrid have won nine of their last 10 matches.
  3. Real Madrid’s last five away matches had 21 goals.
  4. Valencia haven’t won at home this season, losing four of the six games played.
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Our Valencia vs Real Madrid Prediction

Valencia are yet to win at home this season, and to make things worse, they lost four times in the six away matches they played. In one of them, against Barcelona, they conceded five times without response.

They will want to avoid a similar occurrence. Real Madrid last scored four away from home in this fixture in 2018. We are not ruling out a possible repeat, but we can expect a high-scoring outcome here. Our prediction for Valencia v Real Madrid is for Real Madrid to win and over 3.5 goals.                                                                                                                                                                                                    

Prediction :

 

Real Madrid to win and over 3.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.