Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
16/09/2026 10:00
Osasuna

Prediction :

 

Atletico Madrid to win & BTTS

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in LaLiga Predictions

Atletico Madrid aim to keep up the pace in La Liga when they host Osasuna on Wednesday. A return to winning ways saw Atletico rise to fifth, six places ahead of their visitors. With Osasuna coming off back-to-back defeats, our prediction here will not favor them.

Atletico go into this match high in confidence, having beaten Osasuna back-to-back last season. In their last game, a late flurry of goals against Real Sociedad saw Los Colchoneros win 3-0, hitting 10 points to wrap up a quartet of away games that included a trip to Liverpool in the Champions League.

Atletico will look up to Álex Baena, who has three goals and one assist this season, while the attacking threat posed by Jonathan David, who opened his Atletico account against Sociedad, cannot be overlooked.

Osasuna will fancy their chances, buoyed by the rich form of Ante Budimir, who has four goals in five starts. They will be well aware a win could move them level on points with their hosts.

However, Osasuna’s biggest impediment remains defensive frailty, which has seen them concede eight goals in five matches. Generally, Gorritxoak’s results aren’t trending in the right direction as they are coming here off a run of back-to-back defeats.

They first fell 5-2 to Alaves, then most recently 2-0 against Espanyol, leaving them on seven points from five games. Away form isn’t likely to favor them here, Osasuna having won once on the road in nine outings.

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Atletico Madrid v Osasuna Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
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1.4 4.9 7.6
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1.45 4.88 8.3
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1.4 4.7 8
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1.4 4.7 8
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What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico Madrid and Osasuna?

Our prediction for the Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna match is: Atletico Madrid to win & BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/09/2026 between Atletico Madrid and Osasuna in LaLiga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.11% for a win of Atletico Madrid against Osasuna with odds of 1.45 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna is 20.61% with odds of 5 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 31.28% chance ⭐ for a win of Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid with odds of 8.3 at 1xbet.

Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna Form

Atletico Madrid and Osasuna's standings in the LaLiga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5 Atletico Madrid
10 5 3 1 1 +4
11 Osasuna
7 5 2 1 2 -3

Atletico Madrid and Osasuna Last Matches

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid Last matches
W D W L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

13 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
0 :  3
Atletico Madrid

9 Sept 2026 - Champions League

Liverpool
2 :  1
Atletico Madrid

5 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
3 :  0
Atletico Madrid

29 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  3
Atletico Madrid

23 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  2
Villarreal

19 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  0
Málaga
D L W W W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

23 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  2
Villarreal

19 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  0
Málaga

29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Atletico Madrid
4 :  1
Getafe

17 May 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Girona

9 May 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
0 :  1
Celta Vigo

29 Apr 2026 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
1 :  1
Arsenal
L W W L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

13 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
0 :  3
Atletico Madrid

9 Sept 2026 - Champions League

Liverpool
2 :  1
Atletico Madrid

5 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
3 :  0
Atletico Madrid

29 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  3
Atletico Madrid

14 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
1 :  2
Atletico Madrid

9 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester City
3 :  1
Atletico Madrid
Osasuna
Osasuna Last matches
D D W W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

12 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
0 :  2
Espanyol

6 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Alavés
5 :  2
Osasuna

31 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
1 :  0
Getafe

27 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
1 :  2
Osasuna

24 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
0 :  0
Levante

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Arenas Club Getxo
1 :  1
Osasuna
L W L D W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

12 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
0 :  2
Espanyol

31 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
1 :  0
Getafe

24 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
0 :  0
Levante

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Osasuna
0 :  2
Al Ain FC

24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Osasuna
2 :  0
Racing Santander

17 May 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
1 :  2
Espanyol
W W L D W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

6 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Alavés
5 :  2
Osasuna

27 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
1 :  2
Osasuna

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Arenas Club Getxo
1 :  1
Osasuna

5 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Napoli
2 :  1
Osasuna

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Norwich
1 :  2
Osasuna

29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Ipswich Town
1 :  2
Osasuna

Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Atletico Madrid

67 %

Draw

0 %

Osasuna

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.33
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored
1.17
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

12 May 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
1 :  2
Atletico Madrid

18 Oct 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Osasuna

15 May 2025 - LaLiga

Osasuna
2 :  0
Atletico Madrid

12 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Osasuna

19 May 2024 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  4
Osasuna

28 Sept 2023 - LaLiga

Osasuna
0 :  2
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna Prediction

Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna last Lineups

Atletico Madrid

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

13
J. Oblak
14
M. Llorente
21
C. Romero
17
D. Hancko
18
M. Pubill
20
G. Simeone
10
A. Baena
23
M. Hjulmand
22
A. Grimaldo
7
L. Kang-in
11
A. Lookman
17
A. Budimir
11
K. Barja
9
R. Garcia
14
R. Garcia
8
I. Munoz
7
J. Moncayola
15
D. Rico
48
R. Yeboah
24
A. Catena
27
I. Arguibide
1
S. Herrera

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Osasuna

Substitutes

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Goalkeeper

J. Musso

S. Esquivel Gamez

Defender

R. Le Normand

J. Dominguez

D. Martinez Moreno

Midfielder

J. Castillo

Koke

J. Cardoso

O. Vargas

R. Mendoza

Forward

J. David

A. Ortiz

Osasuna
Osasuna
Goalkeeper

R. Fernandez

A. Fernandez

Defender

U. Santos

F. Boyomo

Midfielder

M. Echegoyen

A. Osambela

L. Torro

A. Bretones

R. Del Castillo

R. Moro

Forward

A. Bonel

J. Dubasin

Missing players

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Osasuna
Osasuna
Defender

V. Rosier

J. Herrando

Midfielder

M. Gomez

Forward

A. Oroz

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Atletico Madrid
CD Huachipato Osasuna
Top Goalscorer
Spain A. Baena (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Croatia A. Budimir (4 Goals)
Best assists
Slovakia D. Hancko (2 Assists)
Best assists
Spain R. Garcia (1 Assists)
Spain M. Gomez (1 Assists)

Atletico Madrid and Osasuna Stats in LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Osasuna
Osasuna
60%
Wins
40%
20%
Losses
40%
20%
Draws
20%
3.2
Average goals per match
2.6
2
Goals scored per match
1
1.2
Goals conceded per match
1.6
20%
Under 2.5 goals
60%
80%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
40%
No goals conceded
40%
40%
BTTS
40%

Atletico Madrid - Osasuna Key Points

  1. Atletico beat Osasuna in eight of their last 10 meetings in La Liga.
  2. This season, Atletico have won three of their five La Liga games.
  3. Osasuna have suffered six defeats in their last eight away matches.
  4. Osasuna’s Ante Budimir has four goals in five La Liga matches this season.
  5. Osasuna scored in five of their last seven away games in La Liga.
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Our Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna Prediction

Atletico Madrid have had their fair share of troubles this season, both domestically and in Europe, not to mention the Julian Alvarez transfer saga. A solid 3-0 win over Real Sociedad last time out, however, offered the needed reprieve.

Here they will be keen to avoid more slip-ups that could make things tougher, especially as they face Real Madrid next. Atletico’s recent head-to-head record, plus the vociferous home support at the Metropolitano, give Diego Simeone’s side an edge in this fixture. Our prediction for Atletico Madrid v Osasuna is for Atletico Madrid to win & BTTS.

Prediction :

 

Atletico Madrid to win & BTTS

 
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