Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United WFC Prediction & Betting Tips - Women's Champions League
Europe - Women's Champions League
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by Ian John | in Women's Champions League Predictions
There's a big game in the Women's Champions League Playoffs first leg this week as Atletico Madrid Femenina host Manchester United Women with a place in the quarterfinals on the horizon for whoever can progress from this two-legged fixture. Both teams missed out on a seeded spot into the quarterfinals of this tournament so will our match prediction back Los Colcheneros or the Red Devils to land the win?
In the league stage, United picked up 12 points from their six games, enough to finish sixth in the table earning a spot in the playoffs. Their opponents Atleti picked up five points fewer than United, taking seven from their six games, which saw them finish in 15th place in the table. Domestically, United lie second in the WSL, Atleti are fourth in their domestic league.
Heading into this game, Atleti do have a couple of wins following a miserable run of eleven games with just a cup win on penalties to show for their efforts. Recent results have included a 1-1 home draw with Granada and then an impressive 4-1 home win over Athletic Bilbao in the Copa de la Reina quarterfinal. At the weekend, they earned a solid 1-0 away win at Levante.
United have won all their last five games in all competitions including a 4-1 away win against Aston Villa in the WSL, followed by a 3-1 home win over rivals Liverpool. This weekend they earned a 2-0 win away to Leicester City.
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Atletico Madrid v Manchester United WFC Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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3.65 | 3.65 | 1.9 |
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3.78 | 4 | 1.8 |
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3.69 | 3.45 | 1.86 |
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3.5 | 3.9 | 1.8 |
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3.7 | 3.55 | 1.82 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Atletico Madrid and Manchester United WFC?
Our prediction for the Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United WFC match is: Manchester United wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/02/2026 between Atletico Madrid and Manchester United WFC in Women's Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 17.03% for a win of Atletico Madrid against Manchester United WFC with odds of 3.8 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United WFC is 30.37% with odds of 6.8 at BC Game.
- Our prediction model gives a 52.6% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester United WFC vs Atletico Madrid with odds of 3.6 at BC Game.
Atletico Madrid - Manchester United WFC Prediction and Best Odds:
| Atletico Madrid Manchester United WFC Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester United WFC wins | 52.6% | 3.6 at BC Game |
| Under 2.5 | 51.47% | 2 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Manchester United WFC/Manchester United WFC | 22.95% | 2.88 at LSbet |
Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United WFC Form
Atletico Madrid and Manchester United WFC Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - Liga F
4 Feb 2026 - Copa de la Reina
31 Jan 2026 - Liga F
20 Jan 2026 - Supercup, Women
17 Jan 2026 - Liga F
14 Jan 2026 - Liga F
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Feb 2026 - Copa de la Reina
31 Jan 2026 - Liga F
17 Jan 2026 - Liga F
10 Jan 2026 - Liga F
10 Dec 2025 - Women's Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - Liga F
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - Liga F
20 Jan 2026 - Supercup, Women
14 Jan 2026 - Liga F
21 Dec 2025 - Copa de la Reina
17 Dec 2025 - Women's Champions League
14 Dec 2025 - Liga F
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2026 - Women's Super League
1 Feb 2026 - Women's Super League
25 Jan 2026 - Women's Super League
21 Jan 2026 - FA Women's League Cup
18 Jan 2026 - Women's FA Cup
10 Jan 2026 - Women's Super League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2026 - Women's Super League
18 Jan 2026 - Women's FA Cup
21 Dec 2025 - FA Women's League Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Women's Super League
10 Dec 2025 - Women's Champions League
7 Dec 2025 - Women's Super League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2026 - Women's Super League
25 Jan 2026 - Women's Super League
21 Jan 2026 - FA Women's League Cup
10 Jan 2026 - Women's Super League
17 Dec 2025 - Women's Champions League
19 Nov 2025 - Women's Champions League
Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United WFC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Oct 2025 - Women's Champions League
Players list
L. Gallardo
DefenderA. Martín
A. Fernandez Diaz
S. Lloris
Lauren
C. Menayo Montero
MidfielderJ. Bartel
V. Boe Risa
ForwardF. Iannuzzi
A. Sarriegi Isasa
S. Kinden Jensen
P. Tullis-Joyce
DefenderA. Sandberg
M. Le Tissier
D. Janssen
J. Riviere
MidfielderJ. Zigiotti
J. Park
H. Miyazawa
ForwardE. Wangerheim
E. Terland
M. Malard
Substitutes
P. Juste
A. De Isidro Bucero
DefenderL. Rodriguez Pascual
X. Perez Alminana
N. Penalvo
K. Kuhl
D. Minambres Gutierrez
R. Otermin Abella
G. Garbelini
S. Guijarro
M. Portales Nieto
S. Middleton-Patel
K. Rendell
DefenderH. Lundkvist
G. George
S. Awujo
M. Turner
ForwardL. Naalsund
L. Schuller
Most goals and assists
Atletico Madrid - Manchester United WFC Key Points
- Atletico Madrid Femenina have won just two of their last 13 games.
- Manchester United are unbeaten in their last nine games (W7, D2).
- The teams met in the league stage in Madrid, with Manchester United winning 1-0.
- Man Utd have scored 15 goals in their last five games, conceding just two.
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Our Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United WFC Prediction
Our prediction for the Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United Women's Champions League Playoff First Leg is: Manchester United wins.
Atletico come into this playoff first leg in generally poor form. They failed to win a game (other than on penalties) in eleven matches before winning their last two. In contrast, Manchester United are on a long unbeaten run and have landed some very important wins in recent games. United beat Atletico in the league stage in Spain and we're backing them to do the same again here.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Atletico Madrid Manchester United WFC
| Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United WFC | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 2.8 | 3.8 | +35.7% |
| Draw | 3.7 | 6.8 | +83.8% |
| Manchester United WFC wins | 2.25 | 3.6 | +60.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Manchester United WFC is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 60.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 44.4% and is now 27.8% (-16.7%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.