Mohun Bagan Super Giant vs Mohammedan SC Prediction & Betting Tips - Indian Super League

India - Indian Super League

Mohun Bagan Super Giant
28/02/2026 09:00
Mohammedan SC

Prediction :

 

Less than 3.5 goals

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Indian Super League Predictions

The 2025-26 Indian Super League (ISL) leaders Mohun Bagan will look to continue their impressive start when they play a struggling Mohammedan SC on matchday three. This match on Saturday at the Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan between the second-placed Mariners and the 13th-placed ‘Black and White Brigade’ comes with our prediction of under 3.5 goals.

With two wins out of two, both coming with a clean sheet, the hosts are second in the standings, level on points with leaders East Bengal ahead of this round. Mohammedan have zero points after losing both games and are one of the bottom four sides.

The defending ISL champions started this campaign with back-to-back 2-0 wins in their first two matches. After defeating Kerala Blasters on the opening matchday, the Mariners got the better of Chennaiyin last weekend.

It’s their home form that could trouble any visiting side, as Mohun Bagan have four wins and two draws from their last six games here, while keeping a clean sheet each time.

Mohammedan finished last in the previous ISL campaign and started this season almost similarly. They were beaten 1-0 away at Jamshedpur on the opening matchday, before a 2-0 home defeat to Goa last weekend.

Their away form is equally worrisome, as Mohammedan won just one of their last five away matches in all competitions (D1, L3).

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Mohun Bagan Super Giant v Mohammedan SC Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.05 9.2 26
Melbet
1.02 11.2 26
Betwinner
1.02 11.2 26
Bet365
1.06 11 29
Roobet
1.06 10 25
Check all Mohun Bagan Super Giant vs Mohammedan SC odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Mohun Bagan Super Giant and Mohammedan SC?

Our prediction for the Mohun Bagan Super Giant vs Mohammedan SC match is: less than 3.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/02/2026 between Mohun Bagan Super Giant and Mohammedan SC in Indian Super League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 76.43% for a win of Mohun Bagan Super Giant against Mohammedan SC with odds of 1.08 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Mohun Bagan Super Giant vs Mohammedan SC is 11.41% with odds of 11.2 at Melbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 12.16% chance ⭐ for a win of Mohammedan SC vs Mohun Bagan Super Giant with odds of 29 at Bet365.

Mohun Bagan Super Giant - Mohammedan SC Prediction and Best Odds:

Mohun Bagan Super Giant Mohammedan SC Prediction Probability Odds
Mohun Bagan Super Giant wins 76.43% 1.08 at Shangrila
Over 2.5 goals 59.32% 1.16 at Bet365
Both Team To Score: No 75%
Half-time / Full-time : Mohun Bagan Super Giant/Mohun Bagan Super Giant 54.19% 1.3 at Bet365

Mohun Bagan Super Giant vs Mohammedan SC Form

Mohun Bagan Super Giant and Mohammedan SC's standings in the Indian Super League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Mohun Bagan Super Giant
26 13 7 5 1 +14
14 Mohammedan SC
3 13 0 3 10 -25

Mohun Bagan Super Giant and Mohammedan SC Last Matches

Mohun Bagan Super Giant
Mohun Bagan Super Giant Last matches
L W D D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

23 Feb 2026 - Indian Super League

Mohun Bagan Super Giant
2 :  0
Chennaiyin FC

14 Feb 2026 - Indian Super League

Mohun Bagan Super Giant
2 :  0
Kerala Blasters

31 Oct 2025 - Indian Super Cup

Mohun Bagan Super Giant
0 :  0
East Bengal

28 Oct 2025 - Indian Super Cup

Mohun Bagan Super Giant
0 :  0
Dempo SC

25 Oct 2025 - Indian Super Cup

Mohun Bagan Super Giant
2 :  0
Chennaiyin FC

17 Aug 2025 - Durand Cup

Mohun Bagan Super Giant
1 :  2
East Bengal
L W D D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

23 Feb 2026 - Indian Super League

Mohun Bagan Super Giant
2 :  0
Chennaiyin FC

14 Feb 2026 - Indian Super League

Mohun Bagan Super Giant
2 :  0
Kerala Blasters

31 Oct 2025 - Indian Super Cup

Mohun Bagan Super Giant
0 :  0
East Bengal

28 Oct 2025 - Indian Super Cup

Mohun Bagan Super Giant
0 :  0
Dempo SC

25 Oct 2025 - Indian Super Cup

Mohun Bagan Super Giant
2 :  0
Chennaiyin FC

17 Aug 2025 - Durand Cup

Mohun Bagan Super Giant
1 :  2
East Bengal
W W D L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

9 Aug 2025 - Durand Cup

Diamond Harbour FC
1 :  5
Mohun Bagan Super Giant

26 Apr 2025 - Indian Super Cup

Kerala Blasters
1 :  2
Mohun Bagan Super Giant

3 Apr 2025 - Indian Super League

Jamshedpur FC
2 :  1
Mohun Bagan Super Giant

1 Mar 2025 - Indian Super League

Mumbai City
2 :  2
Mohun Bagan Super Giant

15 Feb 2025 - Indian Super League

Kerala Blasters
0 :  3
Mohun Bagan Super Giant

1 Feb 2025 - Indian Super League

Mohammedan SC
0 :  4
Mohun Bagan Super Giant
Mohammedan SC
Mohammedan SC Last matches
W L L L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
0% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

20 Feb 2026 - Indian Super League

Mohammedan SC
0 :  2
FC Goa

15 Feb 2026 - Indian Super League

Jamshedpur FC
1 :  0
Mohammedan SC

5 Nov 2025 - Indian Super Cup

Gokulam Kerala FC
3 :  0
Mohammedan SC

2 Nov 2025 - Indian Super Cup

Mohammedan SC
0 :  3
Punjab FC

30 Oct 2025 - Indian Super Cup

Bengaluru FC
2 :  0
Mohammedan SC

7 Aug 2025 - Durand Cup

Bsf FC
0 :  3
Mohammedan SC
L L D L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

20 Feb 2026 - Indian Super League

Mohammedan SC
0 :  2
FC Goa

2 Nov 2025 - Indian Super Cup

Mohammedan SC
0 :  3
Punjab FC

28 Jul 2025 - Durand Cup

Mohammedan SC
1 :  2
Diamond Harbour FC

10 Mar 2025 - Indian Super League

Mohammedan SC
2 :  2
Punjab FC

20 Feb 2025 - Indian Super League

Mohammedan SC
0 :  2
Jamshedpur FC

16 Feb 2025 - Indian Super League

Mohammedan SC
1 :  3
East Bengal
L L W L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

15 Feb 2026 - Indian Super League

Jamshedpur FC
1 :  0
Mohammedan SC

5 Nov 2025 - Indian Super Cup

Gokulam Kerala FC
3 :  0
Mohammedan SC

30 Oct 2025 - Indian Super Cup

Bengaluru FC
2 :  0
Mohammedan SC

7 Aug 2025 - Durand Cup

Bsf FC
0 :  3
Mohammedan SC

31 Jul 2025 - Durand Cup

Mohun Bagan Super Giant
3 :  1
Mohammedan SC

24 Apr 2025 - Indian Super Cup

Northeast United
6 :  0
Mohammedan SC

Mohun Bagan Super Giant vs Mohammedan SC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Mohun Bagan Super Giant

100 %

Draw

0 %

Mohammedan SC

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.67
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
3.33
Goals scored
0.33
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

31 Jul 2025 - Durand Cup

Mohun Bagan Super Giant
3 :  1
Mohammedan SC

1 Feb 2025 - Indian Super League

Mohammedan SC
0 :  4
Mohun Bagan Super Giant

5 Oct 2024 - Indian Super League

Mohun Bagan Super Giant
3 :  0
Mohammedan SC

Mohun Bagan Super Giant against Mohammedan SC Lineups: Starting 11

Mohun Bagan Super Giant

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

1
V. Kaith
27
T. Abhishek Singh
21
A. Rodriguez
4
A. Ranawade
45
Apuia
22
D. Tangri
11
M. Singh
10
Robinho
6
A. Thapa
35
J. Cummings
29
J. MacLaren
29
F. Lalremsanga
17
A. Singh
99
Lalngaihsaka
52
R. Mahitosh
10
Lalthankima
8
A. Singh Kiyam
20
H. Mondal
6
H. Sajad
4
G. Bora
3
P. Meitei
31
S. Bhattacharjee

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Mohammedan SC

Substitutes

Mohun Bagan Super Giant
Mohun Bagan Super Giant
Goalkeeper

S. Hussain Bukhari

Defender

T. Aldred

J. Cummings 59'

M. Singh

S. Bose

Midfielder

S. Samad

A. Ranawade 74'

Forward

L. Colaco

D. Tangri 60'

K. Nassiri Giri

A. Thapa 75'

A. Suhail

D. Petratos

Robinho 39'

Mohammedan SC
Mohammedan SC
Goalkeeper

N. Deka

Defender

Z. Ralte

J. Mazumder

J. Lalmuanawma

Midfielder

T. Ragui

Lalngaihsaka 46'

Y. Chickro

Forward

M. Winkle Chote

A. Singh 46'

M. Molla

F. Lalremsanga 46'

I. Dewan

Lalthankima 72'

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Mohun Bagan Super Giant
CD Huachipato Mohammedan SC
Top Goalscorer
Australia J. MacLaren (10 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
India R. Mahitosh (2 Goals) India A. Singh (2 Goals)
Best assists
India L. Colaco (4 Assists)
Best assists
India Lalngaihsaka (2 Assists)
India H. Mondal (2 Assists)

Mohun Bagan Super Giant - Mohammedan SC Key Points

  1. Mohun Bagan kept a clean sheet in each of their last five competitive matches.
  2. Mohun Bagan’s last five competitive games have seen two or fewer goals scored.
  3. Mohun Bagan haven’t conceded in their last six home competitive matches, each producing under three goals.
  4. Mohammedan have failed to score in their last three away competitive matches.
  5. Ten of Mohammedan’s last 11 competitive matches have produced under 3.5 goals.
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Our Mohun Bagan Super Giant vs Mohammedan SC Prediction

It has been a serene start to the season for Mohun Bagan, who won both their games by a 2-0 scoreline. The defending champions are looking to continue their impressive start with another win to retain their 100% winning start. Mohammedan ended last season bottom of the points tally with just 13 points and started this ISL campaign with back-to-back defeats.

The visitors have struggled to score, while the hosts have been consistently keeping clean sheets. That’s why our Mohun Bagan Super Giant vs Mohammedan SC prediction is less than 3.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Less than 3.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Mohun Bagan Super Giant Mohammedan SC

Mohun Bagan Super Giant vs Mohammedan SC Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Mohun Bagan Super Giant wins 1.1 1.08 -1.8%
Draw 8.25 11.2 +35.8%
Mohammedan SC wins 21 29 +38.1%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Mohun Bagan Super Giant is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.8% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 90.9% and is now 92.6% (1.7%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Mohun Bagan Super Giant vs Mohammedan SC Prediction