Italy - Serie A
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by Sridhar | in Serie A Predictions
Parma’s Serie A safety is still not guaranteed as they end their 2024/25 campaign with a trip to Atalanta. This match between the third-placed La Dea and the 16th-placed Crusaders on Sunday at Gewiss Stadium comes with our prediction of over 2.5 goals.
Atalanta have 74 points and are already assured of a third-place finish. Parma’s 33 points put them two points above the bottom three, and they are in a strange position where they could end up in a tie-breaker.
Atalanta secured a 3-2 away win at Genoa last weekend for a fifth win in their last six league games. That they have nothing to gain or lose hasn’t taken the excitement level out of their game.
La Dea still have work to do on their home form, where they have just two wins from their last ten matches played at home.
That record could boost Parma’s hopes as they go searching for at least a point to confirm safety. They held Napoli to a 0-0 draw last matchday, but that leaves them with seven draws from the last ten league games.
Parma could be under threat if they lose here, which is motivation to do well. They have four draws from their last five away league games, although they lost on their last such trip.
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The Best Betting Odds for Atalanta v Parma Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.73 | 3.7 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.75 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.75 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.88 | 3.6 | 4 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.75 | 4.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Atalanta and Parma?
Our prediction for the Atalanta vs Parma match is: over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/05/2025 between Atalanta and Parma in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.35% for a win of Atalanta against Parma with odds of 1.9 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atalanta vs Parma is 36.02% with odds of 3.9 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 16.63% chance ⭐ for a win of Parma vs Atalanta with odds of 5.25 at 888Starz.
Atalanta - Parma Prediction and Best Odds:
| Atalanta Parma Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atalanta wins | 47.35% | 1.9 at 22bet |
| Under 2.5 | 59.49% | 2.5 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 43.33% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Atalanta | 22.67% | 5.6 at Unibet |
Atalanta vs Parma Form
Atalanta and Parma's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
74 | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 41 |
|
16
|
36 | 38 | 7 | 15 | 16 | -14 |
Atalanta and Parma Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2025 - Serie A
12 May 2025 - Serie A
4 May 2025 - Serie A
27 Apr 2025 - Serie A
20 Apr 2025 - Serie A
13 Apr 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 May 2025 - Serie A
27 Apr 2025 - Serie A
13 Apr 2025 - Serie A
6 Apr 2025 - Serie A
16 Mar 2025 - Serie A
1 Mar 2025 - Serie A
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2025 - Serie A
4 May 2025 - Serie A
20 Apr 2025 - Serie A
30 Mar 2025 - Serie A
9 Mar 2025 - Serie A
23 Feb 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 May 2025 - Serie A
10 May 2025 - Serie A
3 May 2025 - Serie A
28 Apr 2025 - Serie A
23 Apr 2025 - Serie A
13 Apr 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 May 2025 - Serie A
3 May 2025 - Serie A
23 Apr 2025 - Serie A
5 Apr 2025 - Serie A
8 Mar 2025 - Serie A
22 Feb 2025 - Serie A
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2025 - Serie A
28 Apr 2025 - Serie A
13 Apr 2025 - Serie A
31 Mar 2025 - Serie A
15 Mar 2025 - Serie A
1 Mar 2025 - Serie A
Atalanta vs Parma Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
0 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Nov 2024 - Serie A
4 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
9 May 2021 - Serie A
6 Jan 2021 - Serie A
28 Jul 2020 - Serie A
6 Jan 2020 - Serie A
Atalanta against Parma Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Missing players
G. Scalvini
S. Kolasinac
ForwardG. Scamacca
G. Leoni
ForwardM. Kowalski
G. Charpentier
V. Mihaila
Most goals and assists
Atalanta
Parma
M. Retegui
(28 Goals)
A. Bonny
(6 Goals)
C. De Ketelaere
(11 Assists)
E. Valeri
(6 Assists)
Atalanta - Parma Key Points
- Atalanta’s matches produced 2.97 goals per fixture and only Inter average more.
- Atalanta’s home fixtures this season have seen 3.06 goals per game, with only two teams averaging more.
- Parma conceded two goals each in their last two away league matches.
- Parma’s last seven Serie A matches against Atalanta have seen three or more goals.
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Our Atalanta vs Parma Prediction
A point for Parma might not be enough to save their season, as four teams could end up on 34 points. All sorts of possibilities open up, and Parma will push hard to improve their chances of saving the season. Atalanta have nothing left to play for, as they are guaranteed to finish third in the campaign. Their matches have been entertaining, to say the least, and goals could once again be flowing here, especially with Parma also likely to push hard. Our Atalanta vs Parma prediction is over 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Atalanta Parma
| Atalanta vs Parma | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta wins | 1.57 | 1.73 | +10.2% |
| Draw | 4.5 | 3.7 | -17.8% |
| Parma wins | 5 | 4.75 | -5.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Atalanta is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 10.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 63.7% and is now 57.8% (-5.9%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Atalanta vs. Parma game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Atalanta and Parma? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Serie A! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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