Atalanta vs Napoli Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Atalanta
18/01/2025 14:45
Napoli

Prediction :

 

Napoli wins

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

The most awaited game in the Italian Serie A this weekend must be Atalanta playing host to Napoli in the 21st week of matches. Atalanta start the week placed third after being deposed by Napoli, who have spent the better part of this season topping the standings. In this article we will offer two predictions on the possible outcome of this match. 

For either side, given their title ambitions, there’s almost no room at all for error. The outcome of this match will in the end play a massive role as to where the Serie A title eventually lands. Both teams are in the thick of it, Napoli seeking their fourth league title and Atalanta only eyeing their first. 

In a match that playing at home doesn’t count for much, will Atalanta be able to better their recent home run in this fixture? Read on for our preview of the 56th meeting between these two.

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Atalanta vs Napoli Form

Atalanta and Napoli's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Napoli
82 38 24 10 4 +32
3 Atalanta
74 38 22 8 8 +41

Atalanta and Napoli Last Matches

Atalanta
Atalanta Last matches
W W D L D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

14 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  1
Juventus

11 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
0 :  0
Atalanta

2 Jan 2025 - Italian Super Cup

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Atalanta

28 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  1
Atalanta

22 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
3 :  2
Empoli

18 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia

Atalanta
6 :  1
Cesena
W W L W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

14 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  1
Juventus

22 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
3 :  2
Empoli

18 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia

Atalanta
6 :  1
Cesena

10 Dec 2024 - Champions League

Atalanta
2 :  3
Real Madrid

6 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
AC Milan

10 Nov 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Udinese
W W W D L D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

11 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
0 :  0
Atalanta

2 Jan 2025 - Italian Super Cup

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Atalanta

28 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  1
Atalanta

14 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  1
Atalanta

2 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Roma
0 :  2
Atalanta

26 Nov 2024 - Champions League

BSC Young Boys
1 :  6
Atalanta
Napoli
Napoli Last matches
L W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

12 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  0
Hellas Verona

4 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  3
Napoli

29 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
1 :  0
Venezia

21 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  2
Napoli

14 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Udinese
1 :  3
Napoli

8 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  1
Lazio
W L W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
0% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

12 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  0
Hellas Verona

29 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
1 :  0
Venezia

8 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  1
Lazio

24 Nov 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
1 :  0
Roma

3 Nov 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  3
Atalanta

26 Oct 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
1 :  0
Lecce
D W L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

4 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  3
Napoli

21 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  2
Napoli

14 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Udinese
1 :  3
Napoli

5 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia

Lazio
3 :  1
Napoli

1 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Torino FC
0 :  1
Napoli

10 Nov 2024 - Serie A

Inter Milan
1 :  1
Napoli

Atalanta vs Napoli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Atalanta

33 %

Draw

0 %

Napoli

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored
1.5
Goals conceded
83.33%
Over 2.5
16.67%
Under 2.5

3 Nov 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  3
Atalanta

30 Mar 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  3
Atalanta

25 Nov 2023 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  2
Napoli

11 Mar 2023 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  0
Atalanta

5 Nov 2022 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  2
Napoli

3 Apr 2022 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  3
Napoli

Atalanta - Napoli: Form Analysis

Atalanta have two straight wins against Napoli, but both happened away in Naples. In their last three home matches against Napoli, they suffered defeat. 

This is their chance to address that but first they’ll want some stability. La Dea have lost form in recent matches and come here winless in the last four outings. 

In the latest of them, they came from a goal down to register a 1-1 draw with Juventus. That was their third straight draw in the league, a run that has seen them relinquish their place at the top of the Serie A standings. 

As Inter Milan play a day after them, Atalanta will go second with a win here.

Napoli have lost three times in the league, one of them against Atalanta.

Napoli are four points ahead of Atalanta and will come here the more confident of the two. They aren’t just buoyed by their recent form, Napoli claimed straight wins in their last three visits to Bergamo.

The league leaders weren’t part of the Super Cup lineup and it means they’ve played less games than Atalanta.

Being well-rested, this is a game they will be targeting a win in. After their back-to-back defeats to Lazio, Napoli are unbeaten ahead of this game. They won each of their last five matches and have the most wins in the league at the moment (15).

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Atalanta vs Napoli last Lineups

Atalanta

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

29
M. Carnesecchi
42
G. Scalvini
19
B. Djimsiti
4
I. Hien
16
R. Bellanova
13
Ederson
15
M. De Roon
22
M. Ruggeri
24
L. Samardzic
32
M. Retegui
11
A. Lookman
7
D. Neres
11
R. Lukaku
21
M. Politano
8
S. Mctominay
68
S. Lobotka
99
F. Anguissa
17
M. Olivera
5
J. Jesus
13
A. Rrahmani
22
G. Di Lorenzo
1
A. Meret

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Napoli

Substitutes

Atalanta
Atalanta
Goalkeeper

R. Patricio

F. Rossi

Defender

M. Palestra

R. Toloi

D. Zappacosta

M. Ruggeri 68'

Midfielder

M. Brescianini

G. Scalvini 83'

M. Pasalic

L. Samardzic 77'

Sulemana

N. Zaniolo

A. Lookman 77'

Forward

C. De Ketelaere

M. Retegui 68'

Napoli
Napoli
Goalkeeper

S. Scuffet

N. Contini

Defender

P. Mazzocchi

M. Politano 82'

L. Spinazzola

D. Neres 74'

R. Marin

Midfielder

P. Billing

B. Gilmour

L. Hasa

Forward

G. Simeone

R. Lukaku 84'

G. Raspadori

C. Ngonge

Missing players

Atalanta
Atalanta
Defender

O. Kossounou

Forward

G. Scamacca

Napoli
Napoli

Atalanta & Napoli Squad Analysis

Home fans are going to pin a lot of hopes on Ademola Lookman coming into this game. The Nigerian international has four goals in five matches against Napoli.

He scored a brace in the first leg win over Napoli and will be fired up for this too. Atalanta will also reap from the return of Mateo Retegui from injury.

The Italian announced his return with a goal in the 1-1 draw with Juventus. He was also on the mark in the first leg win over Napoli.

Atalanta’s injury list is easing now, with Gianluca Scamacca and Odilon Kossounou missing. Meanwhile Sead Kolasinac sits out on suspension.

Mateo Retegui scored his 13th league goal in Atalanta’s last match.

At Napoli, there’s a bit of gloom after their top player Khvicha Kvaratskhelia agreed to a move to PSG. Scorer of five league goals, the Georgian international will be missed.

David Neres will, however, offer some consolation as he has been in good form lately. He will ensure Romelu Lukaku upfront is well supported. 

Lukaku has had four goal contributions in the last two matches and will be hunting for goal number eight in the league in the season. Napoli will also be without Alessandro Buongiorno who is injured.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Atalanta
CD Huachipato Napoli
Top Goalscorer
Italy M. Retegui (25 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Belgium R. Lukaku (14 Goals)
Best assists
Italy R. Bellanova (9 Assists)
Best assists
Belgium R. Lukaku (10 Assists)

Atalanta - Napoli Key Points

  1. Napoli are on five straight wins.
  2. Napoli are unbeaten in nine away league matches.
  3. Atalanta are winless in their last four matches.
  4. Napoli won four times in six meetings with Atalanta.
  5. Atalanta lost all their last three home games against Napoli.
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Our Atalanta vs Napoli Prediction

Napoli are in great form coming into this game. They also have the advantage of not having played in the Super Cup, so they are well-rested. Additionally, the past few matches between these sides have favored the visiting team.

Napoli will want to tap on that and especially after winning there in three straight visits. Atalanta have the capacity to do well in this match but they haven't been on a really great run. Our prediction for Atalanta v Napoli is that Napoli wins the match.

Prediction :

 

Napoli wins

 
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Atalanta vs Napoli Alternative Predictions

Both teams to score

Odds 1.8

Six of the last 10 matches between these teams had both teams scoring. This game features two sides on good attacking runs and we expect goals here.

Napoli might have lost a key attacking cog, but they still have sharp players in attack. The same is true for Atalanta, and our second prediction is for both teams to score.

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Atalanta vs Napoli - FAQs

The Atalanta v Napoli match will be played on Saturday 18th January.

The Atalanta v Napoli match is set to be played at the Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo.

The Atalanta v Napoli match will be refereed by Andrea Colombo. Stefano Alassio and Giorgio Peretti will serve as the assistants.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Atalanta vs Napoli Prediction