Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA US Open

Prediction published on 09/09/2026, 06:19  by Daniel Ngulu | Modified on 09/09/2026 at 06:25 in Tennis Predictions

World No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka and No. 3 Jessica Pegula are set for an epic clash at the US Open. The two face off in the first semi-final, also marking their 14th career meeting. Both players lost a set in the quarter-finals, and our prediction is for the same here.

Sabalenka has dominated this fixture, winning nine. Three times in their previous meetings, it was at the Grand Slam level. The two times Sabalenka met Pegula at the US Open, she went on to lift the title and will hope lightning strikes a third time.

The top seed is coming from beating Linda Noskova 2-1, dropping a set for the first time in her quest for a third straight title here.

Sabalenka has lost a set just three times in her last 19 matches at Flushing Meadows. One of the opponents who forced her to three sets here was Pegula, last year.

This will be their second meeting this year, and in the first, Pegula won in three sets. That sets this up for a grueling encounter with Pegula also coming off a three-set win over Emma Navarro.

The American is gunning for her first Grand Slam title and will surely have more motivation coming into this encounter. This match will mark her second semi-final at a major, having earlier lost at the same stage at the Australian Open.