England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
Saturday’s Premier League action brings us a crucial clash in the nation’s capital, as Arsenal and West Ham United prepare to lock horns in a London Derby laden with legacy and consequence. The Gunners are in second place in the league standings, while the Hammers are second-bottom after six games this season. Check out our match prediction below!
Last term, Arsenal spent a total of 57 days at the top of the Premier League table but ultimately ended up settling for second place for the third season in a row. After Liverpool dropped points last week, Mikel Arteta’s side enter this match with the opportunity to return to the summit of the English top flight for the first time this season - even if it is for only a couple of hours.
Standing in their way, though, is West Ham, who now have Nuno Espirito Santo at the helm and are coming off a much-improved showing against Everton last week. The Hammers were one of only two teams to leave the Emirates with three points in each of the last two top-flight seasons. But can they defy the odds for a third time in a row? Let’s get into the key stats!
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The Best Betting Odds for Arsenal v West Ham Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.18 | 7 | 15 |
|
|
1.2 | 7 | 15 |
|
|
1.22 | 6 | 13 |
|
|
1.2 | 6.5 | 13 |
|
|
1.19 | 6.75 | 15 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Arsenal and West Ham?
Our prediction for the Arsenal vs West Ham match is: under 3.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/10/2025 between Arsenal and West Ham in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 65.08% for a win of Arsenal against West Ham with odds of 1.22 at William Hill.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Arsenal vs West Ham is 12.68% with odds of 7 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 22.25% chance ⭐ for a win of West Ham vs Arsenal with odds of 15 at Bet365.
Arsenal - West Ham Prediction and Best Odds:
| Arsenal West Ham Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 65.08% | 1.22 at William Hill |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.23% | 1.53 at Betfred |
| Both Team To Score | 42.5% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Arsenal/Arsenal | 36.32% | 1.7 at Ladbrokes |
Arsenal vs West Ham Form
Arsenal and West Ham's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
26 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 15 |
|
18
|
10 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -10 |
Arsenal and West Ham Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
28 Sept 2025 - Premier League
24 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
21 Sept 2025 - Premier League
16 Sept 2025 - Champions League
13 Sept 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
21 Sept 2025 - Premier League
13 Sept 2025 - Premier League
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
9 Aug 2025 - Emirates Cup
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sept 2025 - Premier League
24 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
16 Sept 2025 - Champions League
31 Aug 2025 - Premier League
17 Aug 2025 - Premier League
25 May 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Sept 2025 - Premier League
20 Sept 2025 - Premier League
13 Sept 2025 - Premier League
31 Aug 2025 - Premier League
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
22 Aug 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2025 - Premier League
13 Sept 2025 - Premier League
22 Aug 2025 - Premier League
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Sept 2025 - Premier League
31 Aug 2025 - Premier League
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
16 Aug 2025 - Premier League
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Arsenal vs West Ham Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
30 Nov 2024 - Premier League
11 Feb 2024 - Premier League
28 Dec 2023 - Premier League
1 Nov 2023 - Carabao Cup
16 Apr 2023 - Premier League
Arsenal - West Ham: Form Analysis
Arsenal will step into this match brimming with confidence after maintaining a perfect start to their Champions League campaign by beating Olympiacos 2-0 at this venue in midweek.
That result followed a dramatic last-minute 2-1 victory over Newcastle last week and took the Gunners to five matches unbeaten across all competitions. They have only suffered one loss this term, which came against Liverpool in August.
The hosts have played four matches at home across all competitions this season and have yet to taste defeat (W3 D1), while they also kept clean sheets in three of those games.
Arsenal have the best defensive record and lowest xGC in the Premier League this season!
Meanwhile, despite only having one full day in his new role before facing Everton, Nuno Espirito Santo managed to lead his side to a hard-fought point against the Toffees last week on Merseyside.
The new boss has a massive task on his hands to try and turn his side’s fortunes around after a disastrous start to the season under Graham Potter, in which they only earned three points in five games.
Notably, though, the Hammers' four points this season came from their last two away games (W1 D1), and they were able to shut out this opponent in their last two league visits to this venue.
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Arsenal against West Ham Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Missing players
P. Hincapie
ForwardG. Jesus
K. Havertz
N. Madueke
J. Todibo
MidfielderT. Soucek
G. Earthy
Arsenal & West Ham Squad Analysis
After scoring the winner in the 96th minute against Newcastle, Gabriel Magalhaes was withdrawn after 75 minutes in midweek due to a knock. However, reports suggest it was a precautionary move and the Brazilian is in contention for this match.
Gabriel Martinelli has scored in his last two home games for the Gunners, including a last-gasp equaliser off the bench against Man City last month, and he will be hoping for a starting role here.
In terms of absentees for this match, the hosts will have to make do without Piero Hincapie (groin), Noni Madueke (knee), Kai Havertz (knee) and Gabriel Jesus (ACL).
Bukayo Saka will make his 200th Premier League appearance if he features this weekend!
Jarrod Bowen scored the all-important equalising goal for West Ham against Everton last week, and he will have fond memories of the Emirates, having netted the winner at this venue last season.
Nuno’s biggest selection conundrums this week will likely be choosing between Niclas Fullkrug and Callum Wilson up top, and whether to retain Soungoutou Magassa in midfield ahead of James Ward-Prowse.
Tomas Soucek will be serving the final of his three-match suspension this week, while Aaron Wan-Bissaka is listed as day to day owing to a stomach issue.
Most goals and assists
Arsenal
West Ham
B. Saka
(6 Goals)
, 
V. Gyokeres
(6 Goals)
L. Paqueta
(4 Goals)
L. Trossard
(4 Assists)
,
D. Rice
(4 Assists)
E. Diouf
(3 Assists)
Arsenal - West Ham Key Points
- Each of Arsenal’s last seven games have ended with under 3.5 goals.
- Arsenal have kept clean sheets in three of their four home games in all competitions this season.
- Arsenal have the best defensive record and lowest xGC in the Premier League this season.
- Five of West Ham’s six league games this season have ended with under 3.5 goals.
- West Ham have failed to score in two of their three away league matches this season.
- Fewer than four goals were scored in each of the last four matches between these sides.
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Our Arsenal vs West Ham Prediction
Arsenal are massive favourites in this fixture, and rightfully so given that they have only been beaten by Liverpool this season and enter this match unbeaten in five across all competitions (W4 D1 L0).
However, this could be a slightly closer contest than the odds suggest, with West Ham picking up positive results in their last two visits to the Emirates and having shown significant improvement under their new boss last week. We’re opting for the safe route as our primary wager - Our Arsenal vs West Ham prediction is under 3.5.
Arsenal vs West Ham - Other Interesting Predictions
Arsenal wins and BTTS (NO)
Arsenal have the best defensive record and lowest xGC in the Premier League this season. Additionally, the Gunners are unbeaten at home and have kept three clean sheets in their four games at the Emirates this season.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Arsenal West Ham
| Arsenal vs West Ham | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 1.29 | 1.18 | -8.5% |
| Draw | 5.25 | 7 | +33.3% |
| West Ham wins | 10 | 15 | +50.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Arsenal is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 8.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 77.5% and is now 84.7% (7.2%)
Arsenal vs West Ham match : Frequently asked questions
The Premier League match between Arsenal and West Ham will take place on October 4 at 15:00 BST.
The Premier League match between Arsenal and West Ham will be played at the Emirates Stadium in London.
The Premier League match between Arsenal and West Ham will not be broadcast live on TV in the UK.
However, you can keep up with all the action using our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
