Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

England - Premier League

Arsenal
06/09/2026 11:30
Chelsea

Prediction :

 

Arsenal wins

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions

This has the potential of being of the match of the season so far. Defending Premier League champions Arsenal are second in the table, ahead of visitors fourth placed Chelsea on goal difference. The  Gunners have won three matches this season, all to nil. Our prediction is that they will beat Chelsea..

The Gunners have made an excellent start to the new season. After winning the Community Shield in Cardiff, Arsenal have won their first two league games to nil. They have had a good transfer window too and now face a tough challenge at the Emirates but it's one that they look capable of performing well in.

Things might calm down a little at Stamford Bridge after another hectic transfer window. It's been changes galore for them, but Chelsea have made a good start to the season with a couple of league wins. The goals are flowing at both ends of the pitch and their defending needs to improve if they are to do well at the Emirates.

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Arsenal v Chelsea Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.72 3.9 4.8
1xbet
1.76 3.91 5.23
Melbet
1.7 3.78 5
Betwinner
1.7 3.78 5
22bet
1.7 3.78 4.94
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What is the prediction for the football match between Arsenal and Chelsea?

Our prediction for the Arsenal vs Chelsea match is: Arsenal wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/09/2026 between Arsenal and Chelsea in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.56% for a win of Arsenal against Chelsea with odds of 1.76 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Arsenal vs Chelsea is 23.59% with odds of 3.94 at 888Starz.
  • Our prediction model gives a 23.85% chance ⭐ for a win of Chelsea vs Arsenal with odds of 5.23 at 1xbet.

Arsenal vs Chelsea Form

Arsenal and Chelsea's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Arsenal
6 2 2 0 0 +4
4 Chelsea
6 2 2 0 0 +2

Arsenal and Chelsea Last Matches

Arsenal
Arsenal Last matches
L L D W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

31 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
0 :  1
Arsenal

21 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
3 :  0
Coventry City

16 Aug 2026 - Community Shield

Arsenal
3 :  0
Manchester City

12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Arsenal
1 :  1
Como 1907

9 Aug 2026 - Emirates Cup

Arsenal
2 :  3
Borussia Dortmund

5 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Arsenal
1 :  3
Betis
W L L D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

21 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
3 :  0
Coventry City

16 Aug 2026 - Community Shield

Arsenal
3 :  0
Manchester City

12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Arsenal
1 :  1
Como 1907

9 Aug 2026 - Emirates Cup

Arsenal
2 :  3
Borussia Dortmund

5 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Arsenal
1 :  3
Betis

18 May 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  0
Burnley
D W W D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

31 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
0 :  1
Arsenal

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Girona
1 :  4
Arsenal

30 May 2026 - Champions League

PSG
1 :  1
Arsenal

24 May 2026 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
1 :  2
Arsenal

10 May 2026 - Premier League

West Ham
0 :  1
Arsenal

29 Apr 2026 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
1 :  1
Arsenal
Chelsea
Chelsea Last matches
W D W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

30 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
4 :  3
Brighton

27 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Chelsea
2 :  0
Luton Town

24 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Fulham
2 :  3
Chelsea

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
3 :  1
Real Sociedad

9 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Johor Darul Takzim
3 :  3
Chelsea

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
3 :  0
AC Milan
L L W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

30 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
4 :  3
Brighton

27 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Chelsea
2 :  0
Luton Town

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
3 :  1
Real Sociedad

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
3 :  0
AC Milan

5 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
0 :  1
Juventus

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
1 :  2
Tottenham
L L D L D W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

24 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Fulham
2 :  3
Chelsea

9 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Johor Darul Takzim
3 :  3
Chelsea

24 May 2026 - Premier League

Sunderland
2 :  1
Chelsea

9 May 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Chelsea

21 Apr 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  0
Chelsea

21 Mar 2026 - Premier League

Everton
3 :  0
Chelsea

Arsenal vs Chelsea Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Arsenal

67 %

Draw

33 %

Chelsea

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.33
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored
0.83
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

1 Mar 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Chelsea

3 Feb 2026 - Carabao Cup

Arsenal
1 :  0
Chelsea

14 Jan 2026 - Carabao Cup

Chelsea
2 :  3
Arsenal

30 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  1
Arsenal

16 Mar 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  0
Chelsea

10 Nov 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  1
Arsenal

Arsenal - Chelsea: Form Analysis

Arsenal have the Premier League title to defend this season and it's all gone well so far. They beat Manchester City 3-0 in the Community Shield to make a real statement of intent. After taking so long to finally win the title again, they have strengthened in the summer and are determined to finish top again this season.

The new league season began with a 3-0 win at home to Coventry City. It was tougher in their second fixture with a 1-0 away win at Aston Villa on Monday evening. The Gunners had the best home record in last season's Premier League with 15 wins and just two losses. Only 11 home league goals were conceded.

Chelsea have also won their first two league games of the season. A 3-2 win at Fulham was followed by another high-scoring match as they beat Brighton and Hove Albion 4-3 at home. Seven goals scored, but five conceded may be an indication of what life under Alonso is going to be.

Chelsea need to improve on the road.

The Blues only finished tenth in the Premier League last season  33 points behind Arsenal. Their away form produced seven league victories, but they lost the same number of games. That included three of the last four and that is something they can't afford this season.

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Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction

Arsenal vs Chelsea last Lineups

Arsenal

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
D. Raya
4
B. White
3
C. Mosquera
6
Gabriel
33
R. Calafiori
49
M. Lewis-Skelly
41
D. Rice
7
B. Saka
8
M. Odegaard
17
C. Tzolis
29
K. Havertz
9
Joao Pedro
17
M. Rogers
7
P. Neto
21
J. Hato
45
R. Lavia
10
C. Palmer
27
M. Gusto
6
L. Colwill
5
M. Lacroix
3
W. Fofana
26
E. Martinez

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Chelsea

Substitutes

Arsenal
Arsenal
Goalkeeper

K. Arrizabalaga

Defender

P. Hincapie

E. Konsa

Midfielder

M. Zubimendi

E. Eze

M. Merino

B. Guimaraes

Forward

N. Madueke

V. Gyokeres

Chelsea
Chelsea
Goalkeeper

M. Penders

Defender

R. James

P. Chavarria

J. Acheampong

Midfielder

M. Caicedo

V. Barco

Forward

D. Welbeck

J. Gittens

Estevao

Missing players

Arsenal
Arsenal
Defender

J. Timber

W. Saliba

C. Mosquera

Forward

G. Martinelli

Chelsea
Chelsea
Defender

M. Palestra

Midfielder

J. Henderson

M. Caicedo

Arsenal & Chelsea Squad Analysis

Arsenal did well to get a win at Villa Park on Monday but it has led to a busy time in their treatment room. Declan Rice (who always seems to be in the wars) and Cristhian Mosquera were both unable to complete the match. The latter missed their training session on Thursday. Bruno Guimaraes was also unable to train on Thursday. 

Rice is expected to be fit to play on Sunday.  If Mosquera is unable to play, there may be a full debut for Ezri Konsa. Jurrien Timber has also returned to training and may be part of their squad for this match. They will remain to be without William Saliba, though his absence doesn't seem to be doing their defence much harm.

Toughest task of the season for the Blues.

Chelsea also have six points after beating Fulham and Brighton and Hove Albion. This is going to be their toughest task of the season to date. A hectic transfer window ended with the departure of Enzo Fernandez and another problem for the Blues is that Moises Caicedo is doubtful for this match after being injured last Sunday.

Two league games have seen 12 goals scored, so a bet on this match having more than 2.5 goals may well be a winning one. Chelsea will also be without Jordan Henderson and Marco Palestra, but with Palmer and Pedro in form and Rogers settling in well, this could be a great match. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Arsenal
CD Huachipato Chelsea
Top Goalscorer
England B. Saka (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Joao Pedro (2 Goals) England C. Palmer (2 Goals)
Best assists
Italy R. Calafiori (2 Assists)
Best assists
Brazil Joao Pedro (2 Assists)

Arsenal and Chelsea Stats in Premier League

Arsenal
Arsenal
Chelsea
Chelsea
100%
Wins
100%
0%
Losses
0%
0%
Draws
0%
2
Average goals per match
6
2
Goals scored per match
3.5
0
Goals conceded per match
2.5
50%
Under 2.5 goals
0%
50%
Over 2.5 goals
100%
100%
No goals conceded
0%
0%
BTTS
100%

Arsenal - Chelsea Key Points

  1. Arsenal won 15 home league games last season.
  2. Arsenal only conceded 11 home league goals in the 25-26 season.
  3. Chelsea have lost three of their last four away league matches.
  4. Arsenal have played three competitive games this season and are yet to concede a goal.
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Our Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction

A 100 percent record is going to bite the dust here. Both Arsenal and Chelsea have won both of their opening two Premier League games but in different ways. Arsenal have won their two matches without conceding a goal and that's in stark contrast to their opponents.

Chelsea have also won their first two matches, but had five goals scored against them. They are dangerous in attack and will test the Gunners, however they need to improve at the back, Our main Arsenal v Chelsea prediction is Arsenal wins.

Prediction :

 

Arsenal wins

 
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Arsenal vs Chelsea Alternative Predictions

Bukayo Saka scores or assists

Odds 1.83
Bukayo Saka scored the winning goal against Aston Villa on Monday. He also scored in their opening league win over Coventry City.
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Arsenal vs Chelsea - FAQs

The Premier League match between Arsenal and Chelsea will take place on Sunday September 6 with a 16:30 UK time kick-off.
Arsenal are the home side in this Premier League match. Therefore, all the action will be taking place at the Emirates in North London.
To be able to watch this match live, you will need to be a subscriber to Sky Sports. Make a visit to our Premier League livescore to read updated statistics and live text commentary. All that information will help you if you're planning to make any in-play bets on this match.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.