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14 April 2024 - 11:30 

- Day 33

England - Premier League

Arsenal
VS
Aston Villa

Prediction :

Arsenal to win and Over 2.5 Goals to be Scored

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Arsenal vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

 by Ian John | in Premier League Prediction

Table-toppers Arsenal host Aston Villa at the Emirates in Sunday's late afternoon clash (4.30pm Kick Off) in the Premier League. The Gunners seeking revenge for their 1-0 defeat at Villa Park back in December.
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The Best Betting Odds for Arsenal v Aston Villa Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.29 5.75 10
Betfred
1.25 6 11
Ladbrokes
1.28 5.5 11
NetBet
1.24 5.6 9.5
Check all Arsenal vs Aston Villa odds
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Who will win the Arsenal vs Aston Villa Football match?


The best predictions and winner betting odds for the match between Arsenal and Aston Villa of Premier League on 4/14/24 :

  • There is a probability of 56.6% ⭐ for Arsenal to win this match against Aston Villa ⚽ with odds of 1.29 found at Bet365.
  • Betfred ⭐ has the best odds for a draw prediction ⚽️ at 6 which implies a probability of 21.31%.
  • Currently, the best odds ⭐ for Aston Villa to win the match are about 11 at Betfred. That means a probability of 22.08%.

Arsenal - Aston Villa Prediction and Best Odds:

Arsenal vs Aston Villa prediction

Win Probability

Best Odds
Arsenal  is favoured to win56.6 %1.29
Draw21.31 %6
Aston Villa wins the game22.08 %11

Arsenal vs Aston Villa Form

Arsenal and Aston Villa's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Arsenal
Arsenal
89 38 28 5 5 62
4
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
68 38 20 8 10 15

Arsenal and Aston Villa Last Matches

Arsenal
Arsenal Last matches
W W D W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.17
BTTS
33%
Goals scored
1.67
Goals conceded
0.5
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

9 Apr 2024 - Champions League

Arsenal
2 :  2
Bayern Munich

6 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  3
Arsenal

3 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  0
Luton Town

31 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
0 :  0
Arsenal

12 Mar 2024 - Champions League

Arsenal
1 :  0
Porto

9 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Brentford
Aston Villa
Aston Villa Last matches
W D W L D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3.67
BTTS
67%
Goals scored
2.17
Goals conceded
1.5
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

11 Apr 2024 - Conference League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Lille Osc

6 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
3 :  3
Brentford

3 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
4 :  1
Aston Villa

30 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  0
Wolves

17 Mar 2024 - Premier League

West Ham
1 :  1
Aston Villa

14 Mar 2024 - Conference League

Aston Villa
4 :  0
Ajax

Arsenal against Aston Villa : Head to Head (H2H)

Arsenal

67 %

Draw

0 %

Aston Villa

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
2.67
BTTS
50%
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.67
Goals scored (Team 2)
1
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

9 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  0
Arsenal

18 Feb 2023 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  4
Arsenal

31 Aug 2022 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Aston Villa

19 Mar 2022 - Premier League

Aston Villa
0 :  1
Arsenal

22 Oct 2021 - Premier League

Arsenal
3 :  1
Aston Villa

6 Feb 2021 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  0
Arsenal
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Arsenal - Aston Villa: Form Analysis

Arsenal come into this game in sensational form in the Premier League. The Gunners have won 10 of their 11 games in the EPL in 2024, scoring an incredible 38 goals in those games and conceding just four. They have lost just once at home this season (to West Ham in December) but they do come into this game having only managed to draw with Bayern Munich in midweek in the Champions League at the Emirates. That 2-2 drew making next week's trip to the Allianz Arena a very tough one. 11 of their 15 home games this season have seen Over 2.5 goals scored in the matches and they have rattled in 38 goals in those games, conceding 13, which is two more than they have conceded on the road this season. 

Their opponents Aston Villa have the fourth best away record in the Premier League this season, taking 25 points from their 16 away games. They have lost both away games to other teams in the top three heavily, losing 3-0 at Liverpool in September 2023 and then in their last away game, they were well beaten by Manchester City 4-1 at the Etihad. However, they have won on the road at Tottenham and Chelsea this season which shows they are capable of landing a result against top teams in the capital. Villa have won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five on the road, with Over 2.5 goals in four of those games and both teams also scoring in four of them too. 

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Arsenal against Aston Villa Lineups: Starting 11

Arsenal

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

22
D. Raya
4
B. White
2
W. Saliba
6
Gabriel
35
O. Zinchenko
8
M. Odegaard
41
D. Rice
29
K. Havertz
7
B. Saka
9
G. Jesus
19
L. Trossard
11
O. Watkins
19
M. Diaby
22
N. Zaniolo
27
M. Rogers
8
Y. Tielemans
7
J. McGinn
12
L. Digne
14
P. Torres
3
D. Carlos
4
E. Konsa
1
E. Martinez

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Aston Villa

Missing players

Arsenal
Arsenal
Defender

J. Timber

Midfielder

B. Saka

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Defender

T. Mings

M. Cash

Midfielder

E. Buendia

B. Kamara

J. Ramsey

Y. Tielemans

N. Zaniolo

Forward

A. Moreno

M. Rogers

Arsenal & Aston Villa Squad Analysis

Arsenal boss Mikel Arteta has an almost perfectly healthy and full squad to pick from for the game with Aston Villa. Only long-term absentee Jurrien Timber, remains absent from the team and the feeling is that the Dutchman isn't too far away from a return, although it may be next season when he makes his full return. The Gunners have had so many players in great form this season, although notable stars have been the two wingers Bukayo Saka and Emilio Martinelli, center back pairing William Saliba and Gabriel, plus Declan Rice and Martin Odegaard in midfield.

Former Arsenal boss Unai Emery will be without several players for the game against his former club. Long term absentees Emi Buendia, Tyrone Mings and Boubacar Kamara are all out until next season at the earliest, while Matty Cash is unlikely to play as he continues to make his recover from a hamstring injury sustained on international duty with Poland. French defender Clement Lenglet was absent against Lille and remained a doubt for the weekend with what Emery said was a 'small' injury. A further blow is that influential midfielder Douglas Luiz, one of Villa's best and most consistent players, is out through suspension after reaching 10 bookings. He'll miss this game and Aston Villa's next EPL match with Bournemouth next weekend. More positively John McGinn and Ollie Watkins have both returned from niggling injuries and both played last weekend in the 3-3 draw with Brentford and in the midweek 2-1 win over Lille in the Europa Conference League. 

Arsenal - Aston Villa Key Points

  1. No team has scored more than Arsenal's 75 goals in the Premier League this season. Villa are ranked fourth in that list with 66 goals in their 32 games.
  2. Four of Arsenal's last five home games have seen over 2.5 goals scored. As have 10 of their last 12 games in the Premier League. They have won 10 of their last 11 EPL games.
  3. Nine of Aston Villa's last 11 games in the EPL have seen Over 2.5 goals scored.
  4. Villa have scored 12 goals in their last five away games, winning three, drawing one and losing one.
  5. Villa were 1-0 winners when the teams met back in December at Villa Park. 12 of the last 17 games between the two have seen Over 2.5 goals scored.
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Our Arsenal vs Aston Villa Prediction

Aston Villa may have beaten Arsenal back in December, but the current data suggests that this is going to be a very tough game for Unai Emery's team. Arsenal have been in superb form since the turn of the year, scoring lots of goals, conceding very few, and winning 10 of the 11 games they have played in the EPL. Cup competitions have proven tougher for Arsenal at home and away, but they should be confident of picking up a win here in a game that usually sees goals. Our Arsenal v Aston Villa prediction is for Arsenal to win and Over 2.5 Goals to be scored.

Prediction :

Arsenal to win and Over 2.5 Goals to be Scored

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Arsenal vs Aston Villa - Other Interesting Predictions

Bukayo Saka (Arsenal) to Score at Any Time

Arsenal's England winger has recovered from an injury and looks to be back in his best form. He scored against Bayern Munich in midweek, and was unlucky not to earn a late penalty. He has been one of the most consistent players for Arsenal this season and with 18 goals and 12 assists this season, he has been a massive part of Arsenal's success. Our second Arsenal v Aston Villa prediction therefore is for Bukayo Saka to score at any time.
Arsenal vs Aston Villa Prediction

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Arsenal vs Aston Villa match : Frequently asked questions

The Arsenal v Aston Villa Premier League match kicks off on Sunday at 4.30pm UK Time and it will be shown live on Sky Sports Premier League and Sky Sports Main Event.

If you can't tune in to the game but want to follow how it is going, SportyTrader's Premier League Livescore pages will have all the updates in real time on the Arsenal v Aston Villa matchup. 

Arsenal and Aston Villa first faced off against each other in 1904. They have played a total of 202 games since.

Arsenal have won the most matches between the two with 87 wins, though Villa have 70 victories over that time and there have been 45 draws between the two.

The last eight games between the two have seen four wins a piece. There hasn't been a draw in the last 17 games between the two (Arsenal winning 12, Villa 5), ??with the last draw coming back in November 2012 (a 0-0 draw at Villa Park).

David Coote will take charge of the game between Arsenal and Aston Villa in the Premier League on Sunday (4.30pm kick off).

It will be his 14th Premier League game refereed this season and the second time refereeing Arsenal, but the fourth time he has taken charge of an Aston Villa game. He has awarded 70 yellow cards in those 13 previous games, as well as three red cards. 

Mark Scholes and Tim Wood are designated assistant referees with Paul Tierney the fourth official. Peter Bankes will be the head VAR official assisted by Nick Hopton.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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