Armenia vs Latvia Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League

Europe - UEFA Nations League

Armenia
25/09/2026 12:00
Latvia

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in UEFA Nations League Predictions

Armenia returns to international action, looking for a win in the UEFA Nations League after a 1-1 draw in its last outing. First, Armenia must beat Latvia, who have picked up consecutive 1-0 wins in their last two games in this competition. With both teams set for their first meeting since 2024, our Armenia vs Latvia match prediction is under 2.5 goals.

11 vilki’s most recent international game was a 1-0 loss to the Faroe Islands in the Baltic Cup. Latvia picked up two UEFA Nations League wins in 2026, after consecutive 1-0 victories over Gibraltar. Their goalscoring has been quite low, with the team scoring five goals in its past six games in this tournament. 

Still, their attacking threat is more potent than that of their next opponent, Armenia, who were held to a 1-1 draw in their last international game. In their past five UEFA Nations League games, Armenia has won only one, scoring three goals. Still, Armenia might be bolstered by their recent H2H meetings, which saw them win three of their past four games against 11 vilki.

Two low-scoring teams are set to face off in a game that could go either way. Havakakan have won their past two H2H meetings, so they will aim for another win. However, the low scoring of both sides makes us confident the game will end with fewer than three goals.

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Armenia v Latvia Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.71 3.7 4.6
1xbet
1.73 3.86 5.15
Melbet
1.71 3.74 4.94
Betwinner
1.73 3.74 4.84
22bet
1.69 3.8 5.05
Check all Armenia vs Latvia odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Armenia and Latvia?

Our prediction for the Armenia vs Latvia match is: Under 2.5 Goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/09/2026 between Armenia and Latvia in UEFA Nations League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.99% for a win of Armenia against Latvia with odds of 1.73 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Armenia vs Latvia is 25.03% with odds of 3.86 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 32.98% chance ⭐ for a win of Latvia vs Armenia with odds of 5.15 at 1xbet.

Armenia vs Latvia Form

Armenia and Latvia Last Matches

Armenia
Armenia Last matches
L L L L D D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Armenia
1 :  1
Moldova

6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Armenia
1 :  1
Kazakhstan

29 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Armenia
1 :  2
Belarus

16 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Portugal
9 :  1
Armenia

13 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Armenia
0 :  1
Hungary

14 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Ireland
1 :  0
Armenia
L W L L D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Armenia
1 :  1
Moldova

6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Armenia
1 :  1
Kazakhstan

29 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Armenia
1 :  2
Belarus

13 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Armenia
0 :  1
Hungary

9 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Armenia
2 :  1
Ireland

6 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Armenia
0 :  5
Portugal
L L D L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
4.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

16 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Portugal
9 :  1
Armenia

14 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Ireland
1 :  0
Armenia

11 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Hungary
2 :  0
Armenia

9 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Montenegro
2 :  2
Armenia

6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Kosovo
5 :  2
Armenia

23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League

Georgia
6 :  1
Armenia
Latvia
Latvia Last matches
D L W W D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

9 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup

Latvia
0 :  1
Faroe Islands

6 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup

Lithuania
1 :  1
Latvia

31 Mar 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Latvia
1 :  0
Gibraltar

26 Mar 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Gibraltar
0 :  1
Latvia

16 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Serbia
2 :  1
Latvia

13 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

North Macedonia
0 :  0
Latvia
D L D L W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

9 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup

Latvia
0 :  1
Faroe Islands

31 Mar 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Latvia
1 :  0
Gibraltar

14 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Latvia
0 :  5
England

11 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Latvia
2 :  2
Andorra

6 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Latvia
0 :  1
Serbia

10 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Latvia
1 :  1
Albania
L L D L W D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

6 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup

Lithuania
1 :  1
Latvia

26 Mar 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Gibraltar
0 :  1
Latvia

16 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Serbia
2 :  1
Latvia

13 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

North Macedonia
0 :  0
Latvia

9 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Albania
1 :  0
Latvia

24 Mar 2025 - World Cup

England
3 :  0
Latvia

Armenia vs Latvia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Armenia

75 %

Draw

0 %

Latvia

25 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.25
Total goals
75%
BTTS
2
Goals scored
1.25
Goals conceded
75%
Over 2.5
25%
Under 2.5

17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Latvia
1 :  2
Armenia

7 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Armenia
4 :  1
Latvia

12 Oct 2023 - Euro

Latvia
2 :  0
Armenia

19 Jun 2023 - Euro

Armenia
2 :  1
Latvia
Armenia vs Latvia Prediction

Armenia - Latvia Key Points

  1. Latvia’s last two games in the UEFA Nations League ended with 1-0 victories.
  2. Armenia has only scored three goals in its past five games in this competition.
  3. Latvia lost 1-0 against the Faroe Islands in its last international game.
  4. Armenia played a 1-1 draw in their last international game.
  5. The home side has scored five goals in its past five games in this competition.
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Our Armenia vs Latvia Prediction

Havakakan are eager to win their first UEFA Nations League game after zero victories in its past six international outings. Facing an Armenian side that has scored five in five UEFA Nations League games, the home side will likely concede. 

Additionally, their attacking threat is much smaller, as shown by their tally of three goals in the same number of games. Latvia is on the back of two straight wins in this tournament, and having a better attack could help them come out on top on Friday night. However, both teams are struggling in attack, so our Armenia vs Latvia prediction is Under 2.5 Goals.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.