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Argentina vs South Africa Prediction & Betting Tips - The Rugby Championship

International - The Rugby Championship

Argentina
04/10/2025 07:00
South Africa

Prediction :

 

South Africa -15.5 handicap points

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in The Rugby Championship Predictions

The final round of the 2025 Rugby Championship will see South Africa square off against Argentina in a high-stakes second Test cracker on Saturday. The defending champions cruised past the Pumas in the first Test but can they repeat the feat to retain the Rugby Championship crown? Here is our prediction for the match.

South Africa are 80 minutes away from opening a new chapter in Rugby Championship history! The Springboks could become the first team to retain the coveted rugby silverware with a win against Argentina. They blew away the Pumas, winning 67-30 in the first Test but a tough test awaits the world champions on Saturday. 

Argentina, bottom of the standings with nine points, enter this match out of the race for the Rugby Championship title. However, Felipe Contepomi's men have proven a formidable force to reckon with in the tournament. They have bounced back to win both of their second tests against New Zealand and Australia after losing the earlier rounds. Can they recreate this on Saturday to shatter South Africa's Rugby Championship title dreams? Read on as we take you through further details! 

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The Best Betting Odds for Argentina v South Africa Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
6 34 1.13
Betway
6 21 1.15
Ladbrokes
6.5 41 1.14
Unibet
6.5 36 1.13
NetBet
5.1 27 1.04
Check all Argentina vs South Africa odds
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Argentina vs South Africa Form

Argentina and South Africa's standings in the The Rugby Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
South Africa
South Africa
14 5 3 0 2 55
4
Argentina
Argentina
9 5 2 0 3 -50

Argentina and South Africa Last Matches

Argentina
Argentina Last matches
W L W L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

27 Sep 2025 - The Rugby Championship

South Africa
67 :  30
Argentina

12 Sep 2025 - The Rugby Championship

Australia
26 :  28
Argentina

5 Sep 2025 - The Rugby Championship

Australia
28 :  24
Argentina

23 Aug 2025 - The Rugby Championship

Argentina
29 :  23
New Zealand

16 Aug 2025 - The Rugby Championship

Argentina
24 :  41
New Zealand

19 Jul 2025 - Test Matchs

Argentina
52 :  17
Uruguay
W L L W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

23 Aug 2025 - The Rugby Championship

Argentina
29 :  23
New Zealand

16 Aug 2025 - The Rugby Championship

Argentina
24 :  41
New Zealand

19 Jul 2025 - Test Matchs

Argentina
52 :  17
Uruguay

12 Jul 2025 - Test Matchs

Argentina
17 :  22
England

5 Jul 2025 - Test Matchs

Argentina
12 :  35
England

13 Jul 2024 - Test Matchs

Argentina
33 :  25
France
W L L L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

27 Sep 2025 - The Rugby Championship

South Africa
67 :  30
Argentina

12 Sep 2025 - The Rugby Championship

Australia
26 :  28
Argentina

5 Sep 2025 - The Rugby Championship

Australia
28 :  24
Argentina

22 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

France
37 :  23
Argentina

15 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

Ireland
22 :  19
Argentina

9 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

Italy
18 :  50
Argentina
South Africa
South Africa Last matches
W L W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

27 Sep 2025 - The Rugby Championship

South Africa
67 :  30
Argentina

13 Sep 2025 - The Rugby Championship

New Zealand
10 :  43
South Africa

6 Sep 2025 - The Rugby Championship

New Zealand
24 :  17
South Africa

23 Aug 2025 - The Rugby Championship

South Africa
30 :  22
Australia

16 Aug 2025 - The Rugby Championship

South Africa
22 :  38
Australia

19 Jul 2025 - Test Matchs

South Africa
55 :  10
Georgia
W W W L W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

27 Sep 2025 - The Rugby Championship

South Africa
67 :  30
Argentina

23 Aug 2025 - The Rugby Championship

South Africa
30 :  22
Australia

16 Aug 2025 - The Rugby Championship

South Africa
22 :  38
Australia

19 Jul 2025 - Test Matchs

South Africa
55 :  10
Georgia

12 Jul 2025 - Test Matchs

South Africa
45 :  0
Italy

5 Jul 2025 - Test Matchs

South Africa
42 :  24
Italy
W W W W L W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

13 Sep 2025 - The Rugby Championship

New Zealand
10 :  43
South Africa

6 Sep 2025 - The Rugby Championship

New Zealand
24 :  17
South Africa

23 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

Wales
12 :  45
South Africa

16 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

England
20 :  29
South Africa

10 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

Scotland
15 :  32
South Africa

28 Oct 2023 - Rugby World Cup

New Zealand
11 :  12
South Africa

Argentina vs South Africa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Argentina

0 %

Draw

0 %

South Africa

100 %

27 Sep 2025 - The Rugby Championship

South Africa
67 :  30
Argentina

5 Aug 2023 - Test Matchs

Argentina
13 :  24
South Africa

29 Jul 2023 - The Rugby Championship

South Africa
22 :  21
Argentina

Argentina - South Africa: Form Analysis

Argentina head into Saturday's showdown on the back of a win-loss rollercoaster. This includes the heavy first-Test loss in Durban – a result which marked their third defeat in five Rugby Championship matches. 

Overall, the Pumas have lost eight of their last 13 matches, five of which by wide margins. They have also struggled for results against South Africa, losing 10 of their last 11 encounters with the Springboks.

After their opening defeat to Australia, South Africa bounced back strongly in their next four Rugby Championship matches. They have won three of their last four matches in the tournament, including the first-Test victory over Argentina last week. 

South Africa have dominated Argentina, winning nine of their last 10 meetings

This recent impressive run has seen the team close in on their first-ever back-to-back Rugby Championship title. They sit top of the standings with 15 points – one better than closest contenders New Zealand.

Overall, the reigning world champions have won 11 of their last 13 matches, mostly by blowout margins. They enter this match as overwhelming favorites despite Argentina's intimidating second-Test comebacks in the tournament.

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Argentina & South Africa Squad Analysis

Felipe Contepomi has made big changes to Argentina's squad after the defeat in Durban. Santiago Grondona has been lined up to replace Joaquín Oviedo as the eighth man. The Bristol Bears flanker is renowned for his powerful runs and high work rate. 

Gerónimo and Simón Benítez Cruz constitute the new half-back pairing, replacing Santiago Carreras and Gonzalo García. The duo will spice up the Pumas' defense with their vigor and energy but may struggle to contain South Africa's terrific attack due to their inexperience.

Unlike their opponents, South Africa will parade a largely unchanged squad from the one that overpowered Argentina last week. Chief playmaker and legendary fly-half Handré Pollard will return to his No.10 role.

South Africa captain Siya Kolisi will make his 98th Test appearance for the team against Argentina

Argentina may also have to watch out for Western Province and Stormers fly-half Sacha Feinberg-Mngomezulu. Feinberg-Mngomezulu led the first-Test rout of the Pumas, scoring 37 points from three tries, eight conversions, and two penalties. South Africa rugby royalty and Sharks flanker Siya Kolisi returns to captain the side as he nears 100 Test appearances for the Springboks.

Argentina - South Africa Key Points

  1. South Africa have won three of their last four 2025 Rugby Championship matches, the last two by wide double-digit margins.
  2. South Africa have won 11 of their last 13 matches, mostly by blowout margins.
  3. Argentina have lost three of their five 2025 Rugby Championship matches, two of which by wide margins.
  4. Argentina have lost nine of their last 10 tests against South Africa.
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Our Argentina vs South Africa Prediction

South Africa enter this match in full confidence after their dominant first-Test win. Rassie Erasmus' side have both the Rugby Championship title on the line, including a chance to make history. For Argentina, this is not only a chance to avenge their first-Test loss, but play spoiler to the Springboks' title hopes. 

Meanwhile, South Africa remains our favorites to win this match given their remarkable recent form. They have won their recent matches, mostly by impressive margins. Our Argentina vs South Africa prediction is South Africa -15.5 handicap points.

Prediction :

 

South Africa -15.5 handicap points

 
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Argentina vs South Africa - Other Interesting Predictions

Under 54.5 total points

Odds 2.2

We expect a moderate-scoring affair, but one likely to end below the 55-point mark given the two teams' recent results. Three of Argentina's last four matches have ended with under 54.5 total points. Three of South Africa's last four matches have also ended with under 54.5 total points.

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Argentina vs South Africa Prediction
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