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26 November 2022 - 14:00

World - World Cup

Day 2

Argentina
Argentina
VS
Mexico
Mexico

Tip :

No goals

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Argentina vs Mexico Predictions & Betting Tips (World Cup)

 by Ioannis |

Argentina host Mexico at the Lusail Iconic Stadium for the second match day of Group C. How quickly can a situation change. Argentina went from a formidable juggernaut on the cusp of equalling the all time international unbeaten record to suffering a shock 2-1 defeat by Saudi Arabia and placing their qualification to the next stage under serious jeopardy. In what was labelled by several analysts as the greatest upset in World Cup history, Argentina’s limitations coupled with superstar Lionel Messi’s dwindling influence were put to the fore and they now require a perfect score out of their remaining two group games to secure progression. Mexico conceded a strange scoreless draw against Poland, in the sense that they were both lucky and unlucky to claim just the point. While they dominated possession and boasted the better of the chances, they ultimately needed the heroics of perennial World Cup hero Guillermo Ochoa, who saved Robert Lewandowski’s penalty at a pivotal stage in the game.
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The best odds for betting

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.6 3.75 6.5
1xbet
1.52 4.05 7.97
Vbet
1.62 3.93 6.2
Shangrila
1.52 4.2 6.5
See all Argentina vs Mexico odds Up to $1000 to bet on Argentina - Mexico! 

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Despite their poor opening game performance, Argentina are offered as grand favourites for this one, with odds averaging 1.53 for their victory. Mexico are outsiders coming into this fixture, with their win found at odds of 6.50 and their double chance at odds of 2.40.

Form

Ranking

2e
Argentina
World Cup Group C
4e
Mexico

Last matches

Argentina
Argentina Last matches
W W W W W L

22 Nov 2022 - World Cup

Argentina
1 :  2
Saudi Arabia

16 Nov 2022 - International Friendlies

United Arab Emirates
0 :  5
Argentina

27 Sep 2022 - International Friendlies

Argentina
3 :  0
Jamaica

23 Sep 2022 - International Friendlies

Argentina
3 :  0
Honduras

5 Jun 2022 - International Friendlies

Argentina
5 :  0
Estonia

1 Jun 2022 - Finalissima 2022

Italy
0 :  3
Argentina
Mexico
Mexico Last matches
L W L W L D

22 Nov 2022 - World Cup

Mexico
0 :  0
Poland

16 Nov 2022 - International Friendlies

Mexico
1 :  2
Sweden

9 Nov 2022 - International Friendlies

Mexico
4 :  0
Iraq

27 Sep 2022 - International Friendlies

Mexico
2 :  3
Colombia

24 Sep 2022 - International Friendlies

Mexico
1 :  0
Peru

31 Aug 2022 - International Friendlies

Mexico
0 :  1
Paraguay

Head to head

Argentina

60 %

Draw

20 %

Mexico

20 %

10 Sep 2019 - International Friendlies

Argentina
4 :  0
Mexico

1 Aug 2019 - Pan American Games, Group A

Mexico
2 :  1
Argentina

20 Nov 2018 - International Friendlies

Argentina
2 :  0
Mexico

16 Nov 2018 - International Friendlies

Argentina
2 :  0
Mexico

8 Sep 2015 - International Friendlies

Argentina
2 :  2
Mexico

Form Analysis

The sheer magnitude of Argentina’s shock defeat is even more comprehensible if one takes a look at their pre-tournament numbers. The Albiceleste were unbeaten in their previous thirty-six internationals, just a game shy of equalling Italy’s all time record. They had won each of their last five games, scoring nineteen goals and conceding nine in the process. In addition, the last time they conceded more than once in a game was in June of 2021 against Colombia, while the fact that both goals were let in the space of five minutes makes the outcome even harder to grasp. Lionel Scaloni’s side were admittedly poor however, with Argentinian fans lambasting the players for their timid showing in the second half, in a tournament where expectations had been sky high. With regards to Mexico, their draw against Poland was the fifth winless game in their last seven, with the side exhibiting a dominant performance on Tuesday but lacking the needed clinical edge. The largest question mark has to be their poor recent record against Argentina when encountering them away from home, with the Mexican outfit losing five of their last seven against them and winning just once in the process. For the record, they failed to score in four of those meetings.
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Starting 11

Argentina

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

23
E Martinez
26
N Molina
19
N Otamendi
25
L Martinez
8
M Acuna
13
C Romero
7
R De Paul
24
E Fernandez
14
E Palacios
10
L Messi
9
J Alvarez
21
U Antuna
25
R Alvarado
24
L Chavez
14
E Gutierrez
16
H Herrera
23
J Gallardo
15
H Moreno
3
C Montes
2
N Araujo
9
R Jimenez
13
G Ochoa

Formation : 5 - 3 - 2

Mexico

Missing players

Argentina
Argentina
Midfielder G Rodriguez
Mexico
Mexico
Midfielder A Guardado

Squad analysis

The defeat to the Saudis raised a myriad of questions for this Argentina side. Firstly, the susceptibility of the team’s attackers to their opponents’ high line, with Leo Messi and Lautaro Martinez repeatedly caught out by Saudi Arabia’s offside trap, seeing three goals ruled out in the first half. Secondly, Leo Messi dwindling influence in the second half, which demonstrated that, with the superstar at the latter stages of his illustrious career, more players need to step up when things get tough. Thirdly, Scaloni’s preference to start Nicolas Otamendi in the centre of defence instead of the in-form Lisandro Martinez was not justified and attracted widespread criticism, so do not be be surprised if the Manchester United ace gets the nod ahead of this one. With regards to Mexico, their opener demonstrated their apparent weaknesses as well as their established strengths. On the one hand, Roberto Jimenez failed to provide lethal finishing into the mix, with the out of form attacker carrying his poor form with Wolves into the game against Poland. On the other hand, Ochoa’s performance and match-defining save reminded Mexico that they have the luxury to rely on one of the World Cup greats for moments like this, in what will surely be a psychological boost to their back-line.

Argentina - Mexico key points

  1. Argentina have kept clean sheets in each of their last five international games
  2. Thirteen of Argentina’s last sixteen games have failed to see both teams score
  3. Thirteen of Mexico’s last seventeen games have failed to see both teams score
  4. Mexico have kept clean sheets in three of their last five away games
  5. Mexico have failed to score in three of their last five games against South American teams
  6. Four of their last five meetings have produced at least one clean sheet
Up to $1000 to bet on Argentina - Mexico! 

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Our Argentina vs Mexico prediction

In what is expected to be a qualification defining game at Lusail, venturing into the goals markets, or rather lack of them, is the most prudent play. While logic dictates that both team’s will chase the win, Argentina have generally displayed defensively resolute performances over their recent encounters, while they should be more cautious at the back after the Saudi Arabia debacle. Mexico on the other hand were positive against Poland yet lack the clinical ability in the final third to be as prolific as they want to, while they tend to struggle on the attacking end when facing Argentina. Back the Both Teams To Score No option in this one.

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Other interesting tips

Mexico +1 Asian Handicap - odds : 1.86 at Bet365

Despite Argentina boasting an impressive international run (barring their Qatar opener), the odds simply do not represent the difficulty of the game. Although the Albiceleste do boast a positive tradition against Mexico, they are low on morale and under immense pressure to win this game and Mexico could capitalise on the opportunity claiming at least a draw. Backing the El Tri side on a +1 Asian Handicap, which offers us money back in case they lose by a single goal, is a great alternative value pick.

Goal after 72:59 - odds : 1.83 at Bet365

Given the immense ramifications of this encounter for the future of the group, expect it to go down to the wire. Backing a late goal for any team is another way into this fixture.

Up to $1000 to bet on Argentina - Mexico! 

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Argentina vs Mexico match : Frequently asked questions

Argentina have zero points so far and will surpass Mexico in the standings should they prevail. Concerning Mexico, they could be okay with a point, which would bring their tally to two, meaning that a win against Saudi Arabia on the last round would all but ensure progression to the next stage.
The venue for this matchup will be the Lusail Iconic Stadium in Lusail.
The local time will be 10 pm while UK viewers can see the match kick off at 7 pm.
The match will be available on ITV for UK viewers.
The late kick-off time should come to the players' benefit in this one, with clear skies and 20 degrees expected here.
The referee for the match is Daniele Orsato of Italy, who also refereed the opening match of the tournament between Ecuador and Qatar.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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