Argentina vs Algeria Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in World Cup Predictions
Argentina will look to kickstart their World Cup title defence in style when they start the 2026 Group J campaign against tricky underdogs Algeria on Tuesday. This match in Kansas City is the first competitive meeting between ‘La Seleccion’ and the 'Greens', with the winner looking to get an early advantage in a group that also has Austria and Jordan. Considering the attacking outlets at disposal for both teams, are we in for an exciting match full of goals?
The defending champions aren’t unanimous favourites despite starting the tournament with nearly the same team that won in 2022. The ageing unit is a concern, although Lionel Messi could never be discounted despite question marks over his declining form.
Algeria are back on the global stage since 2014 and boast some exciting names in the final third. That gives them enough firepower to spring a surprise or two, but will that be against the South American powerhouses? We present our analysis complete with team news and our predictions.
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Argentina v Algeria Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.6 | 3.75 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.56 | 4.07 | 7.04 |
|
|
1.54 | 3.98 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.43 | 4.44 | 7.9 |
|
|
1.56 | 4.07 | 7.04 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Argentina and Algeria?
Our prediction for the Argentina vs Algeria match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/06/2026 between Argentina and Algeria in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.14% for a win of Argentina against Algeria with odds of 1.6 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Argentina vs Algeria is 10.91% with odds of 4.6 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.95% chance ⭐ for a win of Algeria vs Argentina with odds of 8.25 at 888Starz.
Argentina - Algeria Prediction and Best Odds:
| Argentina Algeria Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Argentina wins | 48.14% | 1.6 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.98% | 2.2 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score: No | 78.57% | 1.79 at 1xbet |
| Half-time / Full-time : Argentina/Argentina | 23.04% | 2.45 at Betsson |
Argentina vs Algeria Form
Argentina and Algeria's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +7 |
|
3
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 |
Argentina and Algeria Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
10 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
3 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
10 Jan 2026 - AFCON
6 Jan 2026 - AFCON
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
10 Jan 2026 - AFCON
6 Jan 2026 - AFCON
28 Dec 2025 - AFCON
24 Dec 2025 - AFCON
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
3 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Dec 2025 - AFCON
6 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
Argentina - Algeria: Form Analysis
Argentina raced through their qualification campaign, finishing top of the standings (W12, D2, L4). They had the most goals scored (31) and the joint-second best defence (10 conceded), dominating at both ends of the pitch.
They come here with seven wins out of the last seven friendlies, although most of those have come against lower-ranked nations. The only consolation is the ongoing trend of defensive performances, as they have maintained six clean sheets in the process.
The last time Argentina failed to score in a World Cup opener was in 1990.
Algeria are making their fifth appearance at a World Cup and their first since 2014. They ended the qualifiers with just one defeat (W8, D1), while scoring 24 goals in the campaign.
The Algerians lost in the quarter-finals of the Africa Cup of Nations, with their eventual defeat against Nigeria proving to be their undoing (W3, D1, L1). Since then, Algeria have remained unbeaten in four preparatory matches (W3, D1), keeping a clean sheet each time.
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Argentina against Algeria Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
J. Musso
G. Rulli
DefenderN. Molina
N. Tagliafico
N. Otamendi
N. Gonzalez
V. Barco
M. Senesi
L. Paredes
G. Lo Celso
E. Palacios
ForwardN. Paz
J. Alvarez
G. Simeone
J. Lopez
M. Mastil
O. Benbot
DefenderZ. Belaid
S. Chergui
M. Tougai
J. Hadjam
A. Abada
MidfielderR. Zerrouki
Y. Titraoui
H. Aouar
N. Benbouali
A. Boulbina
M. Amoura
R. Mahrez
F. Ghedjemis
Argentina & Algeria Squad Analysis
Argentina received a boost with goalkeeper Emiliano Martinez back in training and expected to start. Tottenham Hotspur’s Marcos Senesi has been called up to the squad to replace the injured Leonardo Balerdi.
The champions usually line up in a 4-3-2-1 system with Julian Alvarez leading the line, with the electric striker recently rumoured to be a transfer target for Real Madrid. Alvarez’s Atletico Madrid teammate Thiago Almada could be looking to fill the big shoes of Angel di Maria on the wings.
Messi has 13 goals and eight assists in 26 World Cup matches.
Algeria had a massive goalkeeping crisis, with Luca Zidane suffering a fractured jaw and chin while the backup options were sidelined. Thankfully, Zidane – French legend Zinedine’s son – is back with a protective mask.
There are no such concerns at the other end, where their 4-2-3-1 system is led by Mohammed Amoura, who scored 10 goals in 10 qualifiers. Riyad Mahrez will look to fly on the right wing, while the exciting youngster Ibrahim Maza will be the creative no. 10.
Most goals and assists
Argentina
Algeria
L. Messi
(8 Goals)
R. Mahrez
(2 Goals)
L. Messi
(4 Assists)
H. Aouar
(2 Assists)
Argentina - Algeria Key Points
- Argentina scored in 19 of their last 20 matches.
- Three of Argentina’s last four World Cup matches have all seen both teams score.
- Algeria scored in nine of their last 12 matches during regulation time.
- Algeria recorded only one clean sheet in their 13 World Cup matches.
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Our Argentina vs Algeria Prediction
Argentina and Algeria start the tournament with contrasting objectives, but with a primary inclination of starting with a win. The defending champions will look to avoid the mishap from the last tournament, where they started with a 2-1 loss to Saudi Arabia, although they went on to win the title! Algeria have an offensive unit that can test Argentina and will look to underline their credentials as group underdogs.
Going by the offensive units on display here, our Argentina vs Algeria prediction is BTTS.
Argentina vs Algeria Alternative Predictions
Algeria wins
While many consider Argentina to be one of the top three favourites, there’s a lingering doubt that this ageing unit may have outlived its time. Algeria have an exciting unit at its disposal and could spring one of the early surprises of this tournament by winning here.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Argentina Algeria
| Argentina vs Algeria | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina wins | 1.32 | 1.6 | +21.2% |
| Draw | 5.4 | 4.6 | -14.8% |
| Algeria wins | 10 | 8.25 | -17.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Argentina is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 21.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 75.8% and is now 62.5% (-13.3%)
Argentina vs Algeria - FAQs
The Argentina vs Algeria World Cup match will be shown live on Persiana Sports in Argentina and TVNZ in Algeria. In the UK, STV (Central and Northern Scotland), BBC, and ITV are the official broadcasters.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our World Cup Livescore page!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
