Algeria vs Burkina Faso Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
Africa - AFCON
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by Joseph King | in AFCON Predictions
First place meets second place in Group E of the 2025 African Cup of Nations as Algeria battles Burkina Faso in Rabat. It’s a pivotal clash for supremacy of the group; will the Fennec Foxes prevail or will the Stallions be able to stand up to them? Check out our match prediction below.
After catastrophic AFCON results which saw Algeria finish dead-last in their group in 2023 and 2021, the North African side is seeking redemption in the 2025 edition. They’ve gotten off to the perfect start with a comfortable win in their opener as they look to add a third AFCON title to their collection.
Burkina Faso have a proud history in this competition, despite having yet to win it. They’ve made the semi-finals four times, which includes a runners-up finish in 2013. Burkina Faso pulled off a historic comeback in their opening match which has put them in a great position to qualify for the knockout stages. These two teams actually met in the group stage of the last edition of this competition, where they played out to a 2-2 draw. Will we see another high-scoring match on Sunday?
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The Best Betting Odds for Algeria v Burkina Faso Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.83 | 3.4 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.3 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.1 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.86 | 3.3 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.25 | 4.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Algeria and Burkina Faso?
Our prediction for the Algeria vs Burkina Faso match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/12/2025 between Algeria and Burkina Faso in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.74% for a win of Algeria against Burkina Faso with odds of 2.15 at BC Game.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Algeria vs Burkina Faso is 26.07% with odds of 3.4 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.19% chance ⭐ for a win of Burkina Faso vs Algeria with odds of 5 at Shangrila.
Algeria vs Burkina Faso Form
Algeria and Burkina Faso's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
|
2
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Algeria and Burkina Faso Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Dec 2025 - AFCON
12 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
9 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
6 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
3 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Dec 2025 - AFCON
12 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
9 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
3 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
13 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
23 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
15 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Dec 2025 - AFCON
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Dec 2025 - AFCON
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
16 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
13 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
2 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
2 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
Algeria vs Burkina Faso Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Jan 2024 - AFCON
16 Nov 2021 - World Cup
7 Sept 2021 - World Cup
Algeria - Burkina Faso: Form Analysis
After Riyad Mahrez opened the scoring after just two minutes, a first half record card from Sudan all but sealed the three points for Algeria. They would go on to add two more goals in the second half to cruise to a comfortable 3-0 victory.
Prior to the start of AFCON 2025, Algeria were knocked out in the quarter-finals of the Arab Cup by the UAE on penalties, although the Fennec Foxes took a completely different squad to that tournament.
The last time the usual senior team played was in a pair of international friendly games back in November. There, Algeria walked away with two wins – the first a 3-1 victory over Zimbabwe which was followed up by a 2-0 win over Saudi Arabia.
Burkina Faso became the first team in AFCON history to win despite trailing from the 95th minute.
In one of the wildest matches of the tournament so far, Burkina Faso pulled off a historic late comeback as they scored twice deep into stoppage time to beat 10-men Equatorial Guinea 2-1 on Wednesday. The Stallions are now well-placed to qualify for the round of 16 for the fourth time since 2017.
Burkina Faso’s dynamic attack has really been flexing their muscles in recent months with the team currently riding a five-match winning streak. During that stretch, Burkina Faso have scored a total of 12 goals, which includes 2+ goals in their last four straight.
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Algeria vs Burkina Faso last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Algeria & Burkina Faso Squad Analysis
The two notable absences for manager Vladimir Petkovic are Amine Gouiri and goalkeeper Alexis Guendouz. Zinedine Zidane’s son Luca started between the sticks for Algeria in their opener and performed well when called upon. He should retain his spot for this game.
Stealing the Matchday 1 headlines was of course Riyad Mahrez. The former Leicester and Manchester City winger was at his clinical best, scoring a brace from his two shots taken.
Riyad Mahrez is now Algeria’s all time top goalscorer in AFCON (7).
The 33-year-old, now plying his trade in the Saudi Pro League for Al-Ahli, also moved up to second in Algeria’s all-time goalscorer ranking with 36 goals.
Ibrahim Maza, one of the top young talents in this year’s AFCON, announced his presence with a goal off the bench for Algeria. Petkovic might be tempted to start the Leverkusen man, although it’s likely he will continue to be utilised in a super-sub role.
Burkina Faso manager Brama Traore has a clean bill of health ahead of this Matchday 2 fixture. Maza’s club teammate Edmond Tapsoba will be leading the Stallions from the back, while the danger man in attack is Brentford’s Dango Ouattara.
Ouattara assisted the equaliser against Equatorial Guinea to make it 1-1 and also completed the most dribbles in the match at five. With Bertrand Traore taking up the right wing, expect Burkina Faso to target their pacey wingers on the counter attack.
Most goals and assists
Algeria
Burkina Faso
R. Mahrez
(2 Goals)
H. Boudaoui
(2 Assists)
Algeria and Burkina Faso Stats in AFCON
Algeria - Burkina Faso Key Points
- Burkina Faso have scored in their last five consecutive matches.
- Burkina Faso have scored a total of 18 goals in their last seven matches (2.57 average).
- The last match between these two teams (AFCON 2023) finished in a 2-2 draw.
- These two teams combined for a total of 10 clear cut chances created in Matchday 1.
- Burkina Faso have seen BTTS in three of their last four matches.
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Our Algeria vs Burkina Faso Prediction
Algeria’s defense wasn’t really tested in their opener after Sudan were reduced to 10 men in the first half. The Fennec Foxes are sure to face a sterner test here against an in-form Burkina Faso with plenty of attacking weapons. Still, boasting the likes of Mahrez, Amoura and Maza, Algeria will always back themselves to get on the scoresheet.
They shouldn’t underestimate Burkina Faso though, as they have the ability to cause the favourites some problems on the counter with their pacey wingplay in the form of Ouattara and Traore. Our Algeria vs Burkina Faso prediction: BTTS.Algeria vs Burkina Faso - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
Both of these sides managed to create five clear cut scoring chances a piece in their opening fixture, albeit they were both playing against 10 men for an extended period of time. With that being said, it’s certainly encouraging for those hoping for goals as both sides should be full of confidence.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
