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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Toronto Predictions
Defending champion Alexei Popyrin faces a tough task to retain his Canadian Open title. Round four of this outdoor hard court Masters event in Toronto sees the Australian face fifth-seeded Holger Rune. Time for our match prediction.
Popyrin caused a major shock when winning this title last year in Montreal. His defence has already seen him defeat tenth seed Daniil Medvedev in three sets.and is now 21st in the live rankings.
This year has seen him struggle on hard courts and this is his first time past round three. Only five of his 12 matches on this surface have been won but there seems to be something about this tournament that inspires him.
Holger Rune won the only previous match between these two players but that was on clay.two years ago and went to three sets. The winner of this match will be up against either top seed Alexander Zverev or 14th-seeded Francisco Cerundolo in the last eight.
Rune has won both of his matches this week in straight sets. Round three saw him beat the 29th seed Alexandre Muller for the loss of six games. This year has seen him win 12 of his 17 hard court matches with a runners-up spot at Indian Wells.
We tip Rune to win this match by two sets to one.
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The Best Betting Odds for Alexei Popyrin v Holger Rune Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
3.2 | 1.36 |
|
|
2.75 | 1.44 |
|
|
3 | 1.38 |
|
|
2.87 | 1.4 |
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|
2.95 | 1.4 |
|
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Who will win the Alexei Popyrin vs Holger Rune Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Alexei Popyrin vs Holger Rune match is: Holger Rune to win 2-1.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alexei Popyrin vs Holger Rune game on 02/08/2025 of the current ATP Toronto season:
- Alexei Popyrin has a 31.31% chance to win against Holger Rune according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 3.2.
- Holger Rune has a 68.69% probability of winning facing Alexei Popyrin ⭐ with odds of 1.44 at William Hill.
Alexei Popyrin vs Holger Rune Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alexei Popyrin has a 31.31 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Alexei Popyrin | 31.31 % |
| Holger Rune | 68.69 % |
Alexei Popyrin vs Holger Rune Form
Alexei Popyrin and Holger Rune Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
31 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
29 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
23 Jul 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
30 Jun 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
18 Jun 2025 - ATP London - Queen's
17 Jun 2025 - ATP London - Queen's
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
31 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
29 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
30 Jun 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
20 Jun 2025 - ATP London - Queen's
18 Jun 2025 - ATP London - Queen's
16 Jun 2025 - ATP London - Queen's
Alexei Popyrin vs Holger Rune Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
16 May 2023 - ATP Italian Open
Alexei Popyrin - Holger Rune Key Points
- Popyrin beat Medvedev in the last round.
- The only previous meeting between these players was won 2-1 by Rune.
- Rune has dropped at least one set in three of his last five matches.
- Popyrin has won a set in all but one of his last 11 matches.
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Our Alexei Popyrin vs Holger Rune Prediction
Alexei Popyrin has not enjoyed a successful hard court season but seems to come alive in Canada. He won this title last year and is going well again in Toronto. The last round saw him get the better of Daniil Medvedev after losing the first set.
He takes on Holger Rune who earlier this year made it to the final at Indian Wells. He's yet to drop a set so far this week but this is his toughest task to date. Our Alexei Popyrin v Holger Rune prediction is Holger Rune to win 2-1.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Alexei Popyrin vs. Holger Rune game!
When you place a bet on the match between Alexei Popyrin and Holger Rune you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Alexei Popyrin or Holger Rune , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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