Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Corentin Moutet Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Indian Wells
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Indian Wells Predictions
Corentin Moutet will attempt to reach round three of the BNP Paribas Open for the first time. The 31st seed is up against unseeded Aleksandar Kovacevic in round two at Indian Wells. Time now for our match prediction.
A tough match could await in round three of this outdoor hard court tournament with either third seed Novak Djokovic or unseeded Kamil Majchrzak. To get to that match though, Moutet has to win in round two, unlike last year when losing to Holger Rune.
The Frenchman is 32nd in the live rankings and has only played five matches this year, winning two of them His two victories were in the Australian Open. He's had tough draws though with his three losses being to Carlos Alcaraz, Tommy Paul and Alexander Zverev.
Aleksandar Kovacevic hadn't won a match in this Sunshine Swing tournament before this week. All three previous first round matches here have been lost. That poor run ended when he beat Hubert Hurkacz in straight sets in round one.
He has a 5-5 record on this surface in 2026 with a best of a semi-final in Brisbane. A side bet on a tie-break could win as both the sets in his first round match went to one. Overall, we tip more than 21.5 games to be played.
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Aleksandar Kovacevic v Corentin Moutet Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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2.21 | 1.67 |
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2.17 | 1.69 |
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2.5 | 1.53 |
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2.16 | 1.63 |
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2.2 | 1.61 |
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Who will win the Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Corentin Moutet Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Corentin Moutet match is: more than 21.5 games.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Corentin Moutet game on 07/03/2026 of the current ATP Indian Wells season:
- Aleksandar Kovacevic has a 50.84% chance to win against Corentin Moutet according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 2.5.
- Corentin Moutet has a 49.16% probability of winning facing Aleksandar Kovacevic ⭐ with odds of 1.72 at Shangrila.
Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Corentin Moutet Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Aleksandar Kovacevic has a 50.84 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | 50.84 % |
| Corentin Moutet | 49.16 % |
Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Corentin Moutet Form
Aleksandar Kovacevic and Corentin Moutet Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
5 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
25 Feb 2026 - ATP Acapulco Open
23 Feb 2026 - ATP Acapulco Open
17 Feb 2026 - ATP Delray Beach Open
12 Feb 2026 - Dallas Open
10 Feb 2026 - Dallas Open
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
24 Feb 2026 - ATP Acapulco Open
17 Feb 2026 - ATP Delray Beach Open
22 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
17 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
18 Nov 2025 - Davis Cup
4 Nov 2025 - Moselle Open
Aleksandar Kovacevic - Corentin Moutet Key Points
- More than 21.5 games have been played in five of the last eight best-of-three set matches played by Moutet.
- Kovacevic has played more than 21.5 games in 13 of the last 14 best-of-three sets matches he's played.
- 13 of the last 15 matches played by Kovacevic have included at least one tie-break.
- Two of the last three matches Kovavevic has played have seen a couple of tie-breaks played.
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Our Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Corentin Moutet Prediction
We could be in for a long match in round two of the BNP Paribas Open. Aleksandar Kovacevic only played a couple of sets in his first round match but 26 games were played. Both sets went to a tie-break and 7-6 scorelines are very common in his matches.
Corentin Moutet is the seeded player here and 60 places above his opponent in the live rankings. He has only played five matches this year with just a couple of victories but two losses were against top ten ranked players. Our Aleksandar Kovacevic v Corentin Moutet prediction is more than 21.5 games.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.