Albacete vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa del Rey
Spain - Copa del Rey
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by Geoffrey Ejiga in Football Predictions
It might just be the “end of the road” for Albacete when they face Real Madrid in the RO16 of the Copa del Rey. The last time they faced was 22 years ago in the Spanish top flight, with Albacete losing by only a goal. Can they trouble the Galacticos once again? See our match predictions below.
After having just lost the Super Cup to rivals Barca, Real Madrid will turn to the Copa del Rey in hopes of avoiding back-to-back seasons without domestic titles. They face Albacete with a new coach after Xabi Alonso’s departure following the 3-2 defeat to Barcelona in the final.
Alonso’s performances may have been questionable, but his Real Madrid side still had an impressive season. Real Madrid has five wins in its last six games, and Alonso led the team to 24 victories in his 34 games (losing only six games). Next up for new coach Alvaro Arbeloa should be a relatively easy game against a La Liga B side.
In truth, Albacete are out of form, with only one win in their last five games, which happens to be the victory over Celta Vigo in the last round. They've since drawn two games and lost one, with the latest being a goalless away draw to Real Sociedad’s B team.
Limited Offer. Currently at Betway
The Best Betting Odds for Albacete v Real Madrid Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9 | 6.5 | 1.22 |
|
|
8 | 5.6 | 1.28 |
|
|
9.5 | 6.55 | 1.26 |
|
|
9.2 | 6.2 | 1.26 |
|
|
9.8 | 6.6 | 1.29 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Albacete and Real Madrid?
Our prediction for the Albacete vs Real Madrid match is: Real Madrid wins & over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/01/2026 between Albacete and Real Madrid in Copa del Rey :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 22.28% for a win of Albacete against Real Madrid with odds of 10.5 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Albacete vs Real Madrid is 17.94% with odds of 6.6 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 59.78% chance ⭐ for a win of Real Madrid vs Albacete with odds of 1.29 at Tonybet.
Albacete - Real Madrid Prediction and Best Odds:
| Albacete Real Madrid Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 59.78% | 1.29 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.43% | 1.4 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 71.43% | 1.75 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time: Real Madrid/Real Madrid | 30.96% | 1.8 at Bet365 |
Albacete vs Real Madrid Form
Albacete and Real Madrid Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - LaLiga 2
4 Jan 2026 - LaLiga 2
21 Dec 2025 - LaLiga 2
17 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
14 Dec 2025 - LaLiga 2
8 Dec 2025 - LaLiga 2
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - LaLiga 2
17 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
14 Dec 2025 - LaLiga 2
29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga 2
15 Nov 2025 - LaLiga 2
1 Nov 2025 - LaLiga 2
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - LaLiga 2
21 Dec 2025 - LaLiga 2
8 Dec 2025 - LaLiga 2
4 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
21 Nov 2025 - LaLiga 2
8 Nov 2025 - LaLiga 2
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2026 - Spanish Super Cup
8 Jan 2026 - Spanish Super Cup
4 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
20 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
17 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
14 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
20 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
7 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
1 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
26 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2026 - Spanish Super Cup
8 Jan 2026 - Spanish Super Cup
17 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
14 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
3 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
30 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
Albacete against Real Madrid Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
D. Marino
DefenderA. Velilla Miro
P. Sanchez
J. Gomez
A. Medina
F. Gamez
MidfielderJ. Morcillo
Riki
S. Obeng
V. Valverde da Silva
J. Betancor
S. Mestre
F. Gonzalez
DefenderJ. Martinez
D. Alaba
D. Carvajal
E. Camavinga
Manuel Angel
C. Palacios
D. Ceballos
Missing players
T. Alexander-Arnold
F. Mendy
E. Militao
Albacete - Real Madrid Key Points
- Eight of Madrid’s last nine wins were with over 2.5 goals.
- Additionally, 15 of Madrid’s last 19 wins featured over 2.5 goals.
- Eight of Albacete’s nine defeats this season featured over 2.5 goals.
- Albacete has conceded 34 goals, the joint second-most goals in La Liga B.
- Real Madrid have scored 41 La Liga goals this season, the fifth-most in a top 5 European league.
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Our Albacete vs Real Madrid Prediction
With a new manager to impress, you can expect every Real Madrid player to be on their A game when they face Albacete on Wednesday. They may not have had the season they were expecting up until this point, but the Galacticos have still been lethal in front of opposition defences.
They've netted 41 goals in the league alone and won this bet in 15 of their 20 victories this season. What's more, they face an Albacete side that's allowed the second-most goals in their league. Hence, our Albacete vs Real Madrid prediction is that Real Madrid wins & over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Albacete Real Madrid
| Albacete vs Real Madrid | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete wins | 10.5 | 10.5 | 0% |
| Draw | 6.6 | 6.6 | 0% |
| Real Madrid wins | 1.24 | 1.29 | +4.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Real Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 4.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 80.6% and is now 77.5% (-3.1%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Albacete vs. Real Madrid game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Albacete and Real Madrid when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Copa del Rey!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
