Saudi Arabia - Super Cup
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by Thobelani Moyo in Football Predictions
2016-17 Saudi Super Cup champions Al Ahli will lock horns with Al Qadsiah at Hong Kong Stadium this Wednesday. Let's head into the match prediction.
Al Qadsiah, who secured promotion to the Saudi Pro League last season after a four-year absence, managed to finish in fourth place behind third-placed Al Nassr.
Michel's men also reached the 2024-25 King's Cup final. Unfortunately, the Knight of the East could not get their hands on the trophy as they lost 3-1 to Al Ittihad and finished as runners-up.
That cup performance alone was enough to earn them a spot in this season's Super Cup competition. It is worth mentioning that this is their first-ever appearance in this competition.
Al Ahli have renewed ambitions for the upcoming 2025-26 Saudi Pro League season, which is set to take place in late August. The previous campaign saw them fail to meet expectations as they finished fifth and were three points shy of replicating their third-place finish in the 2023-24 season.
Despite a poor league performance, the Royals did put a smile on their fans. In the AFC Champions League Elite final, they beat Japan's Kawasaki Frontale 2-0 to clinch their first-ever trophy in this competition.
However, that's not the reason they are making their third appearance in the Saudi Super Cup. They replace Al Hilal, who had to withdraw from the competition to focus on their FIFA Club World Cup duties.
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The Best Betting Odds for Al Qadsiah v Al Ahli Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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2.5 | 3.2 | 2.5 |
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2.5 | 3.1 | 2.5 |
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2.6 | 3.25 | 2.5 |
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2.55 | 3.55 | 2.33 |
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2.55 | 3.23 | 2.51 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Al Qadsiah and Al Ahli?
Our prediction for the Al Qadsiah vs Al Ahli match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/08/2025 between Al Qadsiah and Al Ahli in Super Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.9% for a win of Al Qadsiah against Al Ahli with odds of 2.69 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Al Qadsiah vs Al Ahli is 25.48% with odds of 3.55 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.62% chance ⭐ for a win of Al Ahli vs Al Qadsiah with odds of 2.67 at 22bet.
Al Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Form
Al Qadsiah and Al Ahli Last Matches

1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 May 2025 - Kings Cup
26 May 2025 - Saudi Pro League
20 May 2025 - Saudi Pro League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
20 May 2025 - Saudi Pro League
15 May 2025 - Saudi Pro League
2 May 2025 - Saudi Pro League
18 Apr 2025 - Saudi Pro League
5 Apr 2025 - Saudi Pro League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 May 2025 - Kings Cup
26 May 2025 - Saudi Pro League
11 May 2025 - Saudi Pro League
23 Apr 2025 - Saudi Pro League

3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 May 2025 - Saudi Pro League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
22 May 2025 - Saudi Pro League
17 May 2025 - Saudi Pro League
7 May 2025 - Saudi Pro League
3 May 2025 - AFC Champions League
26 Apr 2025 - AFC Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 May 2025 - Saudi Pro League
11 May 2025 - Saudi Pro League
Al Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Feb 2025 - Saudi Pro League
27 Sep 2024 - Saudi Pro League
Al Qadsiah - Al Ahli Key Points
- Al Qadsiah have seen two of their last three friendly games end in a goalless draw.
- Al Ahli and Al Qadsiah have seen four of their last five meetings end with under 2.5 goals.
- Five of Al Qadsiah's last seven away matches against Al Ahli have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Al Ahli and Al Qadsiah have seen two of their last three meetings end with a 1-0 scoreline.
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Our Al Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Prediction
Al Qadsiah failed to put in an impressive display in the preseason games. They went four games without a win, and three of those matches ended with under 2.5 goals. That alone is enough to see them struggle here.
Al Ahli have a superior record against Al Qadsiah. They have won two of their last three matches against Al Qadsiah and come into this match as slight favorites. Another contributing factor that could lead to their success here is their performance in the preseason games, where they won three of their last five (L2). Our Al Qadsiah vs Al Ahli prediction: under 2.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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